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#14 · 16 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#9 · 18 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Swindon Town, result Draw
O. Palmer (ast. J. Batty) 18'
A. Drinan 20'
1' J. Woods
90'+2 L. Butterfield
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swindon Town a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Accrington ST 21%). The final result was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST. In 2 previous meetings, Swindon Town have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
5
Corners
6
19
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
1'
J. Woods⚽
⚽O. Palmer · ast. J. Batty
18'
⚽A. Drinan
20'
26'
C. Brown / F. Sass ↕
↕ T. Wilson-Brown / J. Scanlon
58'
↕ J. Hoilett / D. Oldaker
58'
63'
L. Coyle
72'
P. Madden / I. Sinclair ↕
↕ J. Snowdon / J. McGregor
78'
↕ O. Clarke / B. Bodin
78'
↕ O. Palmer / F. Holman
78'
90'+2
L. Butterfield⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.63%
Swindon
26.04%
X ←
21.33%
Accrington
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Swindon
1.48
—
—
Accrington
1.06
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Salford City Salford City 13 28
2 Barnet Barnet 12 25
3 Cheltenham Cheltenham 13 21
4 Crewe Crewe 13 21
5 York York 13 20
6 Walsall Walsall 12 19
7 Chesterfield Chesterfield 13 19
8 Exeter City Exeter City 13 19
9 Accrington ST Accrington ST 13 18
10 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 13 18
11 Grimsby Grimsby 13 17
12 Gillingham Gillingham 13 17
13 Tranmere Tranmere 13 16
14 Swindon Town Swindon Town 13 16
15 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 13 16
16 Newport County Newport County 13 15
17 Rochdale Rochdale 13 15
18 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 13 14
19 Northampton Northampton 11 13
20 Oldham Oldham 12 12
21 Colchester Colchester 12 12
22 Rotherham Rotherham 13 12
23 Port Vale Port Vale 11 12
24 Crawley Town Crawley Town 11 6
Lineups
Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
16 T. Wilson-Brown T. Wilson-Brown 58' D 6.20
22
D 6.00
3
D 5.90
26
1 👟 M 7.00
25
A. Borland M 6.90
8 O. Clarke O. Clarke 78' M 6.90
19
J. Snowdon 78' M 6.60
30 J. Hoilett J. Hoilett 58' F 7.00
23 A. Drinan A. Drinan 1 ⚽ F 6.90
28 Ollie Palmer Ollie Palmer 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.20
Bench
31
B. Bodin 12' F 6.70
44
D. Oldaker 32' M 6.90
24
F. Holman 12' F 6.30
Accrington ST Accrington ST 3-4-1-2
13
Oliver Wright G 7.30
3 Freddie  Sass Freddie Sass 26' D 5.90
5
D 6.60
17
D 6.90
2 D. Love D. Love M 6.30
24 Luke Butterfield Luke Butterfield 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6
L. Coyle M 6.30
38 C. O'Brien C. O'Brien M 6.90
7 S. Whalley S. Whalley F 7.20
39 J. Woods J. Woods 1 ⚽ F 6.50
11
I. Sinclair 72' F 6.50
Bench
22
D. Martin M
8 P. Madden P. Madden 18' F 6.30
28 Seamus Conneely Seamus Conneely M
Best on the pitch
Luke Butterfield
Luke Butterfield
M · Accrington
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
Oliver Wright
G · Accrington
7.30
· 33 pass
S. Whalley
S. Whalley
F · Accrington
7.20
2 shots · 43 pass
Ollie Palmer
Ollie Palmer
F · Swindon
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
M · Swindon
7.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Hoilett
J. Hoilett
F · Swindon
7.00
· 18 pass
Swindon Town Swindon Town — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 37 14% — — —
T. Wilson-Brown D 58 6.20 — — — 18 15% — — —
D 90 6.00 — — — 32 23% 2 — —
D 90 5.90 — — — 19 13% 1 — —
M 90 7.00 — 1 — 24 12% 2 — —
A. Borland M 90 6.90 — — — 21 14% 4 — —
O. Clarke M 78 6.90 — — — 16 8% 3 — —
J. Snowdon M 78 6.60 — — 1 19 10% 3 — —
J. Hoilett F 58 7.00 — — — 18 9% 2 — —
A. Drinan F 90 6.90 1 — 2 17 12% — — —
Ollie Palmer F 78 7.20 1 — 3 11 5% 1 — —
B. Bodin F 12 6.70 — — — 2 — — — —
D. Oldaker M 32 6.90 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
F. Holman F 12 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Accrington ST Accrington ST — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Oliver Wright G 90 7.30 — — — 33 23% — — —
Freddie Sass D 26 5.90 — — — 7 4% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 49 44% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 62 51% 1 — —
D. Love M 90 6.30 — — — 76 54% — — —
Luke Butterfield M 90 7.90 1 — 1 50 47% 1 — —
L. Coyle M 90 6.30 — — — 54 41% 1 1 —
C. O'Brien M 90 6.90 — — — 38 31% 4 — —
S. Whalley F 90 7.20 — — 2 43 35% — — —
J. Woods F 90 6.50 1 — 3 37 26% 1 — —
I. Sinclair F 72 6.50 — — 1 13 12% — — —
P. Madden F 18 6.30 — — 2 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Swindon Town win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Accrington ST win.