League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Swindon Town, result Draw
O. Palmer
(ast. J. Batty)
18'
A. Drinan
20'
1'
J. Woods
90'+2
L. Butterfield
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swindon Town a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Accrington ST 21%). The final result was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST. In 1 previous meetings, Swindon Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
5
Corners
6
19
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
1'
J. Woods⚽
⚽O. Palmer
· ast. J. Batty
18'
⚽A. Drinan
20'
26'
C. Brown
/
F. Sass
T. Wilson-Brown
/ J. Scanlon
58'
J. Hoilett
/ D. Oldaker
58'
63'
L. Coyle
72'
P. Madden
/
I. Sinclair
J. Snowdon
/ J. McGregor
78'
O. Clarke
/ B. Bodin
78'
O. Palmer
/ F. Holman
78'
90'+2
L. Butterfield⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.63%
Swindon
26.04%
X ←
21.33%
Accrington
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
—
—
1.06
—
—
Lineups
1
G
16
T. Wilson-Brown
58'
D
T. Wilson-Brown
58'
D
22
D
3
D
26
1 👟
M
25
A. Borland
M
8
O. Clarke
78'
M
O. Clarke
78'
M
19
J. Snowdon
78'
M
30
J. Hoilett
58'
F
J. Hoilett
58'
F
23
A. Drinan
1 ⚽
F
A. Drinan
1 ⚽
F
28
Ollie Palmer
1 ⚽
78'
F
Ollie Palmer
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
31
B. Bodin
12'
F
44
D. Oldaker
32'
M
24
F. Holman
12'
F
13
Oliver Wright
G
3
Freddie Sass
26'
D
Freddie Sass
26'
D
5
D
17
D
2
Donald Love
M
Donald Love
M
24
Luke Butterfield
1 ⚽
M
Luke Butterfield
1 ⚽
M
6
L. Coyle
M
38
C. O'Brien
M
C. O'Brien
M
7
S. Whalley
F
S. Whalley
F
39
Josh Woods
1 ⚽
F
Josh Woods
1 ⚽
F
11
I. Sinclair
72'
F
Bench
22
D. Martin
M
8
P. Madden
18'
F
P. Madden
18'
F
28
Seamus Conneely
M
Seamus Conneely
M
Best on the pitch
Luke Butterfield
M · Accrington
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Oliver Wright
G · Accrington
7.30
· 33 pass
S. Whalley
F · Accrington
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
Ollie Palmer
F · Swindon
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
M · Swindon
7.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Hoilett
F · Swindon
7.00
· 18 pass
Swindon Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| T. Wilson-Brown | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Borland | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Clarke | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Snowdon | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hoilett | F | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Drinan | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ollie Palmer | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bodin | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Oldaker | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Holman | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Accrington ST — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Freddie Sass | D | 26 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — | |
| Donald Love | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Luke Butterfield | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. O'Brien | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Whalley | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Josh Woods | F | 90 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sinclair | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Madden | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Swindon Town win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Accrington ST win.