Skip to main content
← League Two
#9 · 10 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#21 · 5 pts
Model wrong — prediction Swindon Town, result Draw
O. Palmer (ast. J. Batty) 18'
A. Drinan 20'
1' J. Woods
90'+2 L. Butterfield
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swindon Town a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Accrington ST 21%). The final result was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST. In 1 previous meetings, Swindon Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
5
Corners
6
19
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
1'
J. Woods
O. Palmer · ast. J. Batty
18'
A. Drinan
20'
26'
C. Brown / F. Sass
T. Wilson-Brown / J. Scanlon
58'
J. Hoilett / D. Oldaker
58'
63'
L. Coyle
72'
P. Madden / I. Sinclair
J. Snowdon / J. McGregor
78'
O. Clarke / B. Bodin
78'
O. Palmer / F. Holman
78'
90'+2
L. Butterfield
Pre-match prediction
52.63%
Swindon
26.04%
X ←
21.33%
Accrington
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.04% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Swindon
1.48
Accrington
1.06
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barnet Barnet 6 12
2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 6 12
3 York York 6 11
4 Cheltenham Cheltenham 6 11
5 Walsall Walsall 6 10
6 Grimsby Grimsby 6 10
7 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 6 10
8 Crewe Crewe 6 10
9 Swindon Town Swindon Town 6 10
10 Tranmere Tranmere 6 9
11 Gillingham Gillingham 6 9
12 Chesterfield Chesterfield 6 8
13 Colchester Colchester 6 8
14 Oldham Oldham 6 7
15 Salford City Salford City 6 7
16 Rotherham Rotherham 6 6
17 Northampton Northampton 6 6
18 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 6 6
19 Newport County Newport County 6 5
20 Exeter City Exeter City 6 5
21 Accrington ST Accrington ST 6 5
22 Port Vale Port Vale 6 5
23 Crawley Town Crawley Town 6 4
24 Rochdale Rochdale 6 4
Lineups
Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
16 T. Wilson-Brown T. Wilson-Brown 58' D 6.20
22
D 6.00
3
D 5.90
26
1 👟 M 7.00
25
A. Borland M 6.90
8 O. Clarke O. Clarke 78' M 6.90
19
J. Snowdon 78' M 6.60
30 J. Hoilett J. Hoilett 58' F 7.00
23 A. Drinan A. Drinan 1 ⚽ F 6.90
28 Ollie Palmer Ollie Palmer 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.20
Bench
31
B. Bodin 12' F 6.70
44
D. Oldaker 32' M 6.90
24
F. Holman 12' F 6.30
Accrington ST Accrington ST 3-4-1-2
13
Oliver Wright G 7.30
3 Freddie  Sass Freddie Sass 26' D 5.90
5
D 6.60
17
D 6.90
2 Donald Love Donald Love M 6.30
24 Luke Butterfield Luke Butterfield 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6
L. Coyle M 6.30
38 C. O'Brien C. O'Brien M 6.90
7 S. Whalley S. Whalley F 7.20
39 Josh Woods Josh Woods 1 ⚽ F 6.50
11
I. Sinclair 72' F 6.50
Bench
22
D. Martin M
8 P. Madden P. Madden 18' F 6.30
28 Seamus Conneely Seamus Conneely M
Best on the pitch
Luke Butterfield
Luke Butterfield
M · Accrington
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
Oliver Wright
G · Accrington
7.30
· 33 pass
S. Whalley
S. Whalley
F · Accrington
7.20
2 shots · 43 pass
Ollie Palmer
Ollie Palmer
F · Swindon
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
M · Swindon
7.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Hoilett
J. Hoilett
F · Swindon
7.00
· 18 pass
Swindon Town Swindon Town — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 37 14%
T. Wilson-Brown D 58 6.20 18 15%
D 90 6.00 32 23% 2
D 90 5.90 19 13% 1
M 90 7.00 1 24 12% 2
A. Borland M 90 6.90 21 14% 4
O. Clarke M 78 6.90 16 8% 3
J. Snowdon M 78 6.60 1 19 10% 3
J. Hoilett F 58 7.00 18 9% 2
A. Drinan F 90 6.90 1 2 17 12%
Ollie Palmer F 78 7.20 1 3 11 5% 1
B. Bodin F 12 6.70 2
D. Oldaker M 32 6.90 5 3% 1
F. Holman F 12 6.30 1
Accrington ST Accrington ST — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Oliver Wright G 90 7.30 33 23%
Freddie Sass D 26 5.90 7 4%
D 90 6.60 49 44%
D 90 6.90 1 62 51% 1
Donald Love M 90 6.30 76 54%
Luke Butterfield M 90 7.90 1 1 50 47% 1
L. Coyle M 90 6.30 54 41% 1 1
C. O'Brien M 90 6.90 38 31% 4
S. Whalley F 90 7.20 2 43 35%
Josh Woods F 90 6.50 1 3 37 26% 1
I. Sinclair F 72 6.50 1 13 12%
P. Madden F 18 6.30 2 7 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Swindon Town win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Accrington ST win.