League Two
· Regular Season - 44
April 18, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Swindon Town, result Pareggio
O. Palmer
(ast. J. Batty)
18'
A. Drinan
20'
1'
J. Woods
90'+2
L. Butterfield
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swindon Town a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Accrington ST 21%). The final result was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST. In 1 previous meetings, Swindon Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
5
Corners
6
19
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
1'
J. Woods⚽
⚽O. Palmer
· ast. J. Batty
18'
⚽A. Drinan
20'
26'
C. Brown
/
F. Sass
T. Wilson-Brown
/ J. Scanlon
58'
J. Hoilett
/ D. Oldaker
58'
63'
L. Coyle
72'
P. Madden
/
I. Sinclair
J. Snowdon
/ J. McGregor
78'
O. Clarke
/ B. Bodin
78'
O. Palmer
/ F. Holman
78'
90'+2
L. Butterfield⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.63%
Swindon
26.04%
X ←
21.33%
Accrington
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
—
—
1.06
—
—
Lineups
1
G
16
T. Wilson-Brown
58'
D
22
D
3
D
26
1 👟
M
25
A. Borland
M
8
O. Clarke
78'
M
19
J. Snowdon
78'
M
30
J. Hoilett
58'
F
J. Hoilett
58'
F
23
Aaron Drinan
1 ⚽
F
28
O. Palmer
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
31
B. Bodin
12'
F
44
D. Oldaker
32'
M
24
F. Holman
12'
F
13
Oliver Wright
G
3
Freddie Sass
26'
D
5
D
17
D
2
D. Love
M
24
L. Butterfield
1 ⚽
M
6
L. Coyle
M
38
C. O'Brien
M
7
S. Whalley
F
39
Josh Woods
1 ⚽
F
11
I. Sinclair
72'
F
Bench
22
D. Martin
M
8
Paddy Madden
18'
F
28
S. Conneely
M
Best on the pitch
L. Butterfield
M · Accrington
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Oliver Wright
G · Accrington
7.30
· 33 pass
S. Whalley
F · Accrington
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
O. Palmer
F · Swindon
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
M · Swindon
7.00
1 👟
· 24 pass
J. Hoilett
F · Swindon
7.00
· 18 pass
Swindon Town — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| T. Wilson-Brown | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Borland | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Clarke | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Snowdon | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hoilett | F | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Drinan | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| O. Palmer | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bodin | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Oldaker | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Holman | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Accrington ST — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Freddie Sass | D | 26 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Love | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 54% | — | — | — |
| L. Butterfield | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. O'Brien | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Whalley | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Josh Woods | F | 90 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sinclair | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Paddy Madden | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Swindon Town vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Swindon Town win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Accrington ST win.