Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina — pre-match prediction — World Cup — June 18, 2026

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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 June 18, 2026 21:00

Switzerland

#1 · 7 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Bosnia & Herzegovina

#3 · 4 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Switzerland

J. Manzambi 74'

R. Vargas (ast. B. Embolo) 84'

G. Xhaka 90'+7 (pen.)

J. Manzambi (ast. R. Vargas) 90'

90'+3 E. Mahmic

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Switzerland a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 15%). The final result was Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.20

Actual xG

0.24

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

59'

A. Dedic

61'

E. Dzeko

63'

I. Basic / B. Tahirovic ↕

64'

E. Bajraktarevic / E. Dzeko ↕

N. Elvedi

65'

↕ D. Ndoye / J. Manzambi

71'

↕ F. Rieder / R. Vargas

71'

↕ M. Aebischer / D. Sow

71'

⚽J. Manzambi

74'

80'

T. Muharemovic

⚽R. Vargas · ast. B. Embolo

84'

86'

J. Lukic / E. Demirovic ↕

86'

A. Hadziahmetovic / I. Sunjic ↕

↕ S. Widmer / L. Jaquez

86'

↕ B. Embolo / C. Itten

89'

90'+1

E. Mahmic / K. Alajbegovic ↕

90'+3

E. Mahmic⚽

⚽G. Xhaka (pen.)

90'+7

⚽J. Manzambi · ast. R. Vargas

90'

Pre-match prediction

62.81%

Switzerland ←

21.88%

15.3%

Bosnia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Switzerland) 62.81% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Switzerland

2.08

1.20

-0.88

Bosnia

0.81

0.24

-0.57

Switzerland dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	7
2	Canada	3	4
3	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	4
4	Qatar	3	1

Lineups

Switzerland 4-3-1-2

G. Kobel G 5.90

Ricardo Rodríguez D 6.30

M. Akanji D 7.70

N. Elvedi D 6.90

S. Widmer 86' D 6.20

R. Freuler M 7.50

G. Xhaka 1 ⚽ M 7.70

M. Aebischer 71' M 6.90

F. Rieder 71' M 7.00

D. Ndoye 71' F 6.30

B. Embolo 1 👟 89' F 7.60

Bench

A. Amenda D

Ardon Jashari M

C. Fassnacht M

C. Itten 6' F

Djibril Sow 24' M 6.70

D. Zakaria M

E. Cömert D

J. Manzambi 2 ⚽ 24' M 8.50

Luca Jaquez 9' D 6.20

M. Keller G

N. Okafor F

R. Vargas 1 ⚽ 1 👟 24' M 8.50

Y. Mvogo G

Z. Amdouni F

Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2

N. Vasilj G 5.30

S. Kolašinac D 5.90

T. Muharemović 80' D 6.30

N. Katić D 6.70

A. Dedić D 6.00

Kerim-Sam Alajbegović M 6.30

Ivan Šunjić 86' M 6.50

B. Tahirović 63' M 6.00

A. Memić M 6.30

E. Džeko 64' F 6.70

E. Demirović 86' F 6.20

Bench

A. Gigović M

Amir Hadžiahmetović 9' M 6.50

Arjan Malić D

D. Hadžikadunić D

Dženis Burnić M

E. Bajraktarevic 31' F 6.20

Ermin Mahmić 1 ⚽ 4' M 7.70

H. Tabaković F

Ivan Bašić 32' M 6.20

J. Lukić 9' F 6.30

Martin Zlomislić G

Mladen Jurkas G

N. Mujakić D

S. Baždar F

S. Radeljić D

Best on the pitch

R. Vargas

M · Switzerland

8.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 9 pass

J. Manzambi

M · Switzerland

8.50

2 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

M. Akanji

D · Switzerland

7.70

· 78 pass

Ermin Mahmić

M · Bosnia

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots

G. Xhaka

M · Switzerland

7.70

1 ⚽

· 105 pass

B. Embolo

F · Switzerland

7.60

1 👟

· 15 pass

Switzerland — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobel	G	95	5.90	—	—	—	36	24%	—	—	—
Ricardo Rodríguez	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	60	51%	3	—	—
M. Akanji	D	95	7.70	—	—	—	78	77%	3	—	—
N. Elvedi	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	69	66%	—	1	—
S. Widmer	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
R. Freuler	M	95	7.50	—	—	1	76	70%	2	—	—
G. Xhaka	M	95	7.70	1	—	—	105	96%	2	—	—
M. Aebischer	M	71	6.90	—	—	1	31	27%	4	—	—
F. Rieder	M	71	7.00	—	—	—	29	26%	3	—	—
D. Ndoye	F	71	6.30	—	—	3	16	13%	1	—	—
B. Embolo	F	89	7.60	—	1	—	15	10%	—	—	—
C. Itten	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Djibril Sow	M	24	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
J. Manzambi	M	24	8.50	2	—	2	13	9%	—	—	—
Luca Jaquez	D	9	6.20	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
R. Vargas	M	24	8.50	1	1	2	9	8%	1	—	—

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Vasilj	G	95	5.30	—	—	—	39	20%	—	—	—
S. Kolašinac	D	95	5.90	—	—	—	51	40%	3	—	—
T. Muharemović	D	80	6.30	—	—	—	43	36%	—	—	1
N. Katić	D	95	6.70	—	—	—	38	31%	3	—	—
A. Dedić	D	95	6.00	—	—	1	26	22%	2	1	—
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović	M	91	6.30	—	—	—	23	17%	—	—	—
Ivan Šunjić	M	86	6.50	—	—	—	34	33%	2	—	—
B. Tahirović	M	63	6.00	—	—	—	21	20%	—	—	—
A. Memić	M	95	6.30	—	—	1	18	17%	2	—	—
E. Džeko	F	64	6.70	—	—	1	21	16%	—	1	—
E. Demirović	F	86	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
Amir Hadžiahmetović	M	9	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
E. Bajraktarevic	F	31	6.20	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Ermin Mahmić	M	4	7.70	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
Ivan Bašić	M	32	6.20	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
J. Lukić	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The final score was Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

What did the model predict before Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The model assigned 62% probability to a Switzerland win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an Bosnia & Herzegovina win.