R. Vargas
(ast. J. Manzambi)
46'
J. Manzambi
(ast. B. Embolo)
57'
76'
(ast. N. Saliba)
P. David
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Switzerland a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Canada 24%). The final result was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.19
4
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
7
15
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
C. Larin
G. Xhaka
32'
⚽R. Vargas
· ast. J. Manzambi
46'
⚽J. Manzambi
· ast. B. Embolo
57'
58'
S. Eustaquio
/
M. Choiniere
58'
L. Millar
/
A. Ahmed
58'
T. Oluwaseyi
/
C. Larin
L. Jaquez
/ S. Widmer
74'
D. Sow
/ M. Aebischer
74'
75'
P. David
/
T. Buchanan
76'
ast. N. Saliba ·
P. David⚽
R. Vargas
/ D. Ndoye
80'
83'
J. Shaffelburg
/
R. Laryea
J. Manzambi
/ C. Fassnacht
85'
B. Embolo
/ C. Itten
85'
87'
L. Millar
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Switzerland ←
28.93%
X
24.1%
Canada
we assigned to the actual result (Switzerland)
46.97%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.06
-0.72
1.16
1.19
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
13
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
5
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
4
Nico Elvedi
D
Nico Elvedi
D
25
Luca Jaquez
74'
D
Luca Jaquez
74'
D
10
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
8
R. Freuler
M
R. Freuler
M
17
Rubén Vargas
1 ⚽
80'
M
Rubén Vargas
1 ⚽
80'
M
9
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
15
Djibril Sow
74'
M
Djibril Sow
74'
M
7
B. Embolo
1 👟
85'
F
B. Embolo
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
14
Ardon Jashari
M
Ardon Jashari
M
24
Aurèle Amenda
D
Aurèle Amenda
D
26
Cédric Itten
9'
F
Cédric Itten
9'
F
16
Christian Fassnacht
9'
M
Christian Fassnacht
9'
M
11
D. Ndoye
14'
F
D. Ndoye
14'
F
6
D. Zakaria
M
D. Zakaria
M
18
Eray Cömert
D
Eray Cömert
D
22
Fabian Rieder
M
Fabian Rieder
M
20
M. Aebischer
20'
M
M. Aebischer
20'
M
21
Marvin Keller
G
Marvin Keller
G
19
N. Okafor
F
N. Okafor
F
3
S. Widmer
20'
D
S. Widmer
20'
D
12
Yvon Mvogo
G
Yvon Mvogo
G
23
Z. Amdouni
F
Z. Amdouni
F
16
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
22
Richie Laryea
83'
D
Richie Laryea
83'
D
13
D. Cornelius
D
D. Cornelius
D
4
L. De Fougerolles
D
L. De Fougerolles
D
2
Alistair Johnston
D
Alistair Johnston
D
20
Ali Ahmed
58'
M
Ali Ahmed
58'
M
6
Mathieu Choinière
58'
M
Mathieu Choinière
58'
M
25
N. Saliba
1 👟
M
N. Saliba
1 👟
M
17
T. Buchanan
75'
M
T. Buchanan
75'
M
9
C. Larin
58'
F
C. Larin
58'
F
10
J. David
F
J. David
F
Bench
19
Alphonso Davies
D
Alphonso Davies
D
1
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
14
Jacob Shaffelburg
11'
F
Jacob Shaffelburg
11'
F
26
Jayden Nelson
F
Jayden Nelson
F
5
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
21
J. Osorio
M
J. Osorio
M
11
L. Millar
36'
F
L. Millar
36'
F
15
Moise Bombito
D
Moise Bombito
D
23
Niko Sigur
M
Niko Sigur
M
18
Owen Goodman
G
Owen Goodman
G
24
Promise David
1 ⚽
19'
F
Promise David
1 ⚽
19'
F
7
Stephen Eustaquio
36'
M
Stephen Eustaquio
36'
M
12
T. Oluwaseyi
36'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
36'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Manzambi
M · Switzerland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
Promise David
F · Canada
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
Rubén Vargas
M · Switzerland
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
B. Embolo
F · Switzerland
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Gregor Kobel
G · Switzerland
7.30
· 46 pass
N. Saliba
M · Canada
7.30
1 👟
· 40 pass
Switzerland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Jaquez | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Rubén Vargas | M | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Embolo | F | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Cédric Itten | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Fassnacht | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Widmer | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. David | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Millar | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Promise David | F | 19 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Switzerland vs Canada?
The final score was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.
What did the model predict before Switzerland vs Canada?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Switzerland win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Canada win.