R. Vargas
(ast. J. Manzambi)
46'
J. Manzambi
(ast. B. Embolo)
57'
76'
(ast. N. Saliba)
P. David
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Switzerland a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Canada 24%). The final result was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.19
4
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
7
15
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
C. Larin
G. Xhaka
32'
⚽R. Vargas
· ast. J. Manzambi
46'
⚽J. Manzambi
· ast. B. Embolo
57'
58'
S. Eustaquio
/
M. Choiniere
58'
L. Millar
/
A. Ahmed
58'
T. Oluwaseyi
/
C. Larin
L. Jaquez
/ S. Widmer
74'
D. Sow
/ M. Aebischer
74'
75'
P. David
/
T. Buchanan
76'
ast. N. Saliba ·
P. David⚽
R. Vargas
/ D. Ndoye
80'
83'
J. Shaffelburg
/
R. Laryea
J. Manzambi
/ C. Fassnacht
85'
B. Embolo
/ C. Itten
85'
87'
L. Millar
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Switzerland ←
28.93%
X
24.1%
Canada
we assigned to the actual result (Switzerland)
46.97%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.06
-0.72
1.16
1.19
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gregor Kobel
G
Gregor Kobel
G
13
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
D
5
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
4
Nico Elvedi
D
Nico Elvedi
D
25
Luca Jaquez
74'
D
Luca Jaquez
74'
D
10
Granit Xhaka
M
Granit Xhaka
M
8
Remo Freuler
M
Remo Freuler
M
17
R. Vargas
1 ⚽
80'
M
R. Vargas
1 ⚽
80'
M
9
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
15
Djibril Sow
74'
M
Djibril Sow
74'
M
7
B. Embolo
1 👟
85'
F
B. Embolo
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
14
Ardon Jashari
M
Ardon Jashari
M
24
Aurèle Amenda
D
Aurèle Amenda
D
16
Christian Fassnacht
9'
M
Christian Fassnacht
9'
M
26
C. Itten
9'
F
C. Itten
9'
F
11
Dan Ndoye
14'
F
Dan Ndoye
14'
F
6
Denis Zakaria
M
Denis Zakaria
M
18
Eray Cömert
D
Eray Cömert
D
22
Fabian Rieder
M
Fabian Rieder
M
21
Marvin Keller
G
Marvin Keller
G
20
Michel Aebischer
20'
M
Michel Aebischer
20'
M
19
N. Okafor
F
N. Okafor
F
3
Silvan Widmer
20'
D
Silvan Widmer
20'
D
12
Yvon Mvogo
G
Yvon Mvogo
G
23
Zeki Amdouni
F
Zeki Amdouni
F
16
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
22
Richie Laryea
83'
D
Richie Laryea
83'
D
13
D. Cornelius
D
D. Cornelius
D
4
L. De Fougerolles
D
L. De Fougerolles
D
2
A. Johnston
D
A. Johnston
D
20
Ali Ahmed
58'
M
Ali Ahmed
58'
M
6
Mathieu Choinière
58'
M
Mathieu Choinière
58'
M
25
N. Saliba
1 👟
M
N. Saliba
1 👟
M
17
T. Buchanan
75'
M
T. Buchanan
75'
M
9
Cyle Larin
58'
F
Cyle Larin
58'
F
10
J. David
F
J. David
F
Bench
19
Alphonso Davies
D
Alphonso Davies
D
1
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
14
Jacob Shaffelburg
11'
F
Jacob Shaffelburg
11'
F
26
Jayden Nelson
F
Jayden Nelson
F
5
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
Jonathan Osorio
M
11
Liam Millar
36'
F
Liam Millar
36'
F
15
Moise Bombito
D
Moise Bombito
D
23
Niko Sigur
M
Niko Sigur
M
18
Owen Goodman
G
Owen Goodman
G
24
P. David
1 ⚽
19'
F
P. David
1 ⚽
19'
F
7
Stephen Eustaquio
36'
M
Stephen Eustaquio
36'
M
12
T. Oluwaseyi
36'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
36'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Manzambi
M · Switzerland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
P. David
F · Canada
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
R. Vargas
M · Switzerland
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
B. Embolo
F · Switzerland
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 13 pass
Gregor Kobel
G · Switzerland
7.30
· 46 pass
N. Saliba
M · Canada
7.30
1 👟
· 40 pass
Switzerland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Jaquez | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Granit Xhaka | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Remo Freuler | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Embolo | F | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Christian Fassnacht | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Itten | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Ndoye | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Michel Aebischer | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Silvan Widmer | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 94 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| J. David | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Liam Millar | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| P. David | F | 19 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Switzerland vs Canada?
The final score was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.
What did the model predict before Switzerland vs Canada?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Switzerland win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Canada win.