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#1 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#2 · 4 pts
R. Vargas (ast. J. Manzambi) 46'
J. Manzambi (ast. B. Embolo) 57'
76' (ast. N. Saliba) P. David
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Switzerland a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Canada 24%). The final result was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
1.19
4
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
7
15
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
C. Larin
G. Xhaka
32'
⚽R. Vargas · ast. J. Manzambi
46'
⚽J. Manzambi · ast. B. Embolo
57'
58'
S. Eustaquio / M. Choiniere ↕
58'
L. Millar / A. Ahmed ↕
58'
T. Oluwaseyi / C. Larin ↕
↕ L. Jaquez / S. Widmer
74'
↕ D. Sow / M. Aebischer
74'
75'
P. David / T. Buchanan ↕
76'
ast. N. Saliba · P. David⚽
↕ R. Vargas / D. Ndoye
80'
83'
J. Shaffelburg / R. Laryea ↕
↕ J. Manzambi / C. Fassnacht
85'
↕ B. Embolo / C. Itten
85'
87'
L. Millar
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Switzerland ←
28.93%
X
24.1%
Canada
we assigned to the actual result (Switzerland) 46.97% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Switzerland
1.78
1.06
-0.72
Canada
1.16
1.19
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 1.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Switzerland Switzerland 3 7
2 Canada Canada 3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 4
4 Qatar Qatar 3 1
Lineups
Switzerland Switzerland 4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G. Kobel G 7.30
13 R. Rodríguez R. Rodríguez D 7.20
5 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 6.90
4 N. Elvedi N. Elvedi D 6.90
25 Luca Jaquez Luca Jaquez 74' D 6.70
10 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 7.30
8 R. Freuler R. Freuler M 6.60
17 R. Vargas R. Vargas 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.50
9 J. Manzambi J. Manzambi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' M 8.20
15 D. Sow D. Sow 74' M 6.30
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 1 👟 85' F 7.50
Bench
24 A. Amenda A. Amenda D
14 A. Jashari A. Jashari M
16 C. Fassnacht C. Fassnacht 9' M 6.30
26 C. Itten C. Itten 9' F 6.20
11 D. Ndoye D. Ndoye 14' F 6.70
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria M
18 E. Cömert E. Cömert D
22 F. Rieder F. Rieder M
20 M. Aebischer M. Aebischer 20' M 6.20
21 M. Keller M. Keller G
19 N. Okafor N. Okafor F
3 S. Widmer S. Widmer 20' D 6.20
12 Y. Mvogo Y. Mvogo G
23 Z. Amdouni Z. Amdouni F
Canada Canada 4-4-2
16 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 6.50
22 Richie Laryea Richie Laryea 83' D 6.20
13 D. Cornelius D. Cornelius D 5.60
4 Luc De Fougerolles Luc De Fougerolles D 6.50
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston D 6.30
20 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 58' M 6.90
6 Mathieu Choinière Mathieu Choinière 58' M 6.90
25 N. Saliba N. Saliba 1 👟 M 7.30
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 75' M 6.30
9 Cyle Larin Cyle Larin 58' F 6.30
10 J. David J. David F 6.50
Bench
19 A. Davies A. Davies D
1 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G
26 J. Nelson J. Nelson F
5 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman D
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio M
14 J. Shaffelburg J. Shaffelburg 11' F 6.50
11 Liam Millar Liam Millar 36' F 6.70
15 Moise Bombito Moise Bombito D
23 Niko Sigur Niko Sigur M
18 Owen Goodman Owen Goodman G
24 Promise David Promise David 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.50
7 Stephen Eustaquio Stephen Eustaquio 36' M 6.70
12 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 36' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
M · Switzerland
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
Promise David
Promise David
F · Canada
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
R. Vargas
R. Vargas
M · Switzerland
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
B. Embolo
B. Embolo
F · Switzerland
7.50
1 👟
2 shots · 13 pass
G. Kobel
G. Kobel
G · Switzerland
7.30
· 46 pass
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
M · Canada
7.30
1 👟
· 40 pass
Switzerland Switzerland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Kobel G 94 7.30 — — — 46 40% — — —
R. Rodríguez D 94 7.20 — — — 34 25% 3 — —
M. Akanji D 94 6.90 — — — 72 65% 2 — —
N. Elvedi D 94 6.90 — — — 66 58% 1 — —
Luca Jaquez D 74 6.70 — — — 31 22% 2 — —
G. Xhaka M 94 7.30 — — 1 58 54% 1 1 —
R. Freuler M 94 6.60 — — — 46 39% 2 — —
R. Vargas M 80 7.50 1 — 1 15 8% 1 — —
J. Manzambi M 85 8.20 1 1 1 15 10% — — —
D. Sow M 74 6.30 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
B. Embolo F 85 7.50 — 1 2 13 10% — — —
C. Fassnacht M 9 6.30 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
C. Itten F 9 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
D. Ndoye F 14 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
M. Aebischer M 20 6.20 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
S. Widmer D 20 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Canada Canada — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 94 6.50 — — — 20 14% — — —
Richie Laryea D 83 6.20 — — — 29 24% — — —
D. Cornelius D 94 5.60 — — 1 44 36% 1 — —
Luc De Fougerolles D 94 6.50 — — 1 42 35% 2 — —
Alistair Johnston D 94 6.30 — — 1 30 18% — — —
Ali Ahmed M 58 6.90 — — 1 13 10% — — —
Mathieu Choinière M 58 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
N. Saliba M 94 7.30 — 1 — 40 35% 2 — —
T. Buchanan M 75 6.30 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Cyle Larin F 58 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — 1 —
J. David F 94 6.50 — — 1 25 17% — — —
J. Shaffelburg F 11 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Liam Millar F 36 6.70 — — — 10 8% — 1 —
Promise David F 19 7.50 1 — 2 2 1% — — —
Stephen Eustaquio M 36 6.70 — — — 25 22% — — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 36 6.30 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Switzerland vs Canada?
The final score was Switzerland 2–1 Canada.
What did the model predict before Switzerland vs Canada?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Switzerland win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Canada win.