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Switzerland - Scotland

#1 · 12 pts
vs
#3 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.63%
Win
Switzerland
22.86%
Draw
8.5%
Win
Scotland
1.9
Expected xG
0.53
Most likely outcome
Switzerland
68.63%
Probability
62.9%
1X2 accuracy · 35 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (15.97%)
1X2 Result
1 69%
X 23%
2 9%
Double Chance
1X 92%
X2 31%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Switzerland a 68% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 8% for Scotland. Expected goals are 1.9 for Switzerland and 0.5 for Scotland (total 2.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 15.97% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Switzerland have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Scotland.

Season Stats

Switzerland
4W 2D 4L
Scotland
4W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.9
1.5
Conceded
1.3
5.5
Shots OT
3.8
5.4
Corners
3.7
60%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
70%
O 2.5
58%
50%
BTTS
42%
30%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Switzerland
2W 2D 1L · at home
Scotland
3W 1D 2L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
1.6
Conceded
0.8
40%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
80%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
0%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Switzerland Scotland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% — —
1 16.8% 8.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 16.0% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 10.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% — —
4 4.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% — —
5 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% — — —

Recent form

W FYR Macedonia 3–0
W Slovenia 2–1
W Scotland 0–3
W FYR Macedonia 0–3
L Spain 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L Slovenia 1–2
W FYR Macedonia 0–2
L Switzerland 0–3
D Slovenia 0–0
L Greece 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Switzerland Switzerland
Attack
60
Defence
84
Form
73
Scotland Scotland
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

Switzerland
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
Injured
L. Jaquez
L. Jaquez
Injured
M. Aebischer
M. Aebischer
Injured
M. Muheim
M. Muheim
Injured

League B - Group A

# Team G Pts
1 Switzerland Switzerland 4 12
2 Slovenia Slovenia 4 7
3 Scotland Scotland 4 4
4 FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia 4 0

What's at stake · League B - Group A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Switzerland Scotland
Current #1 #3
→ Switzerland #1 #3
→ Draw #1 #3
→ Scotland #1 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Switzerland vs Scotland?
The model gives Switzerland a 68% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 8% for an Scotland win.
How many goals are expected in Switzerland vs Scotland?
Expected goals: Switzerland 1.9, Scotland 0.5 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Switzerland vs Scotland?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.97%.