USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 05, 2026 00:00
G. Vivi Quesada
(ast. C. Ostrem)
78'
12'
(ast. B. P. Rodrigues)
X. Zengue
14'
(ast. P. Goodrum)
Nick Firmino
44'
(ast. A. Molloy)
M. Epps
86'
(ast. A. Molloy)
T. Scott
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Lexington 33%). The final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–4 Lexington.
Match statistics
Match Events
12'
ast. B. P. Rodrigues ·
X. Zengue⚽
14'
ast. P. Goodrum ·
Nick Firmino⚽
⚽R. Cicerone
(missed pen.)
37'
42'
M. Hemmi
44'
ast. A. Molloy ·
M. Epps⚽
M. Schneider
45'+3
L. Archer
45'+3
L. Perez
/ Pedro Becker
46'
D. Acoff
/ G. Vivi Quesada
46'
L. Archer
/ Y. Leerman
46'
63'
M. Adedokun
/
M. Epps
70'
J. Hafferty
/
X. Zengue
70'
T. Scott
/
B. P. Rodrigues
M. Myers
/ E. Conway
71'
R. Cicerone
/ M. Micaletto
76'
⚽G. Vivi Quesada
· ast. C. Ostrem
78'
86'
ast. A. Molloy ·
T. Scott⚽
90'+1
M. Henry-Scott
/
P. Goodrum
N. Dossantos
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.77%
Tampa
27.73%
X
33.5%
Lexington ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lexington)
33.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
—
—
1.59
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
The final score was Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–4 Lexington.
What did the model predict before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Tampa Bay Rowdies win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Lexington win.