USL Championship · Group Stage August 02, 2026 02:00

Tampa Bay Rowdies

#1 · 48 pts

5 – 4

Final score

Louisville City

#5 · 33 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies

R. Cicerone (ast. L. Perez) 48'

M. Micaletto (ast. C. Ostrem) 51'

M. Myers 54'

R. Cicerone (ast. L. Hilton) 86'

M. Myers (ast. C. Ostrem) 89'

21' J. Wilson

25' (ast. E. Davila) C. Donovan

29' J. Morris

63' (ast. T. Davila) J. Morris

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Louisville City 23%). The final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies 5–4 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

21'

J. Wilson⚽

25'

ast. E. Davila · C. Donovan⚽

↕ Y. Leerman / L. Hilton

28'

29'

J. Morris⚽

43'

T. Davila

⚽R. Cicerone · ast. L. Perez

48'

⚽M. Micaletto · ast. C. Ostrem

51'

⚽M. Myers

54'

59'

C. Moguel / E. Davila ↕

59'

E. Perez / A. McFadden ↕

59'

T. Showunmi / C. Donovan ↕

↕ G. Nigro / L. Wyke

61'

↕ L. Perez / Pedro Becker

61'

63'

ast. T. Davila · J. Morris⚽

↕ M. Micaletto / D. Acoff

69'

75'

C. Duke / J. Morris ↕

80'

R. Serrano / J. Wilson ↕

⚽R. Cicerone · ast. L. Hilton

86'

⚽M. Myers · ast. C. Ostrem

89'

↕ M. Myers / K. Henderlong

90'+12

90'+12

Q. Huerman / K. Lambert ↕

Pre-match prediction

57.72%

Tampa ←

18.75%

X

23.53%

Louisville

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) 57.72% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Tampa

2.48

—

—

Louisville

1.51

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	23	48
2	Charleston Battery	23	39
3	Detroit City	22	37
4	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	24	35
5	Louisville City	23	33
6	Hartford Athletic	22	31
7	Indy Eleven	22	30
8	Rhode Island	21	29
9	Miami FC	23	23
10	Loudoun United	22	20
10	Birmingham	9	10
11	Birmingham Legion	21	18
12	Brooklyn	21	16
13	Sporting JAX	23	14