USL Championship · Group Stage August 02, 2026 02:00

Tampa Bay Rowdies

#1 · 61 pts

5 – 4

Final score

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies

R. Cicerone (ast. L. Perez) 48'

M. Micaletto (ast. C. Ostrem) 51'

M. Myers 54'

R. Cicerone (ast. L. Hilton) 86'

M. Myers (ast. C. Ostrem) 89'

21' J. Wilson

25' (ast. E. Davila) C. Donovan

29' J. Morris

63' (ast. T. Davila) J. Morris

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Louisville City 23%). The final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies 5–4 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

21'

J. Wilson⚽

25'

ast. E. Davila · C. Donovan⚽

↕ Y. Leerman / L. Hilton

28'

29'

J. Morris⚽

43'

T. Davila

⚽R. Cicerone · ast. L. Perez

48'

⚽M. Micaletto · ast. C. Ostrem

51'

⚽M. Myers

54'

59'

C. Moguel / E. Davila ↕

59'

E. Perez / A. McFadden ↕

59'

T. Showunmi / C. Donovan ↕

↕ G. Nigro / L. Wyke

61'

↕ L. Perez / Pedro Becker

61'

63'

ast. T. Davila · J. Morris⚽

↕ M. Micaletto / D. Acoff

69'

75'

C. Duke / J. Morris ↕

80'

R. Serrano / J. Wilson ↕

⚽R. Cicerone · ast. L. Hilton

86'

⚽M. Myers · ast. C. Ostrem

89'

↕ M. Myers / K. Henderlong

90'+12

90'+12

Q. Huerman / K. Lambert ↕

Pre-match prediction

57.72%

Tampa ←

18.75%

X

23.53%

Louisville

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) 57.72% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Tampa

2.48

—

—

Louisville

1.51

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14