USL Championship · Group Stage October 25, 2026 01:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies

#1 · 61 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Sporting JAX

#13 · 14 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies

K. Henderlong (ast. L. Hilton) 29'

M. Micaletto (ast. L. Hilton) 82'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 91% win probability (draw 4%, Sporting JAX 3%). The final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Sporting JAX. In 2 previous meetings, Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sporting JAX.

Match statistics

Match Events

4'

T. Roberts

M. Micaletto

26'

⚽K. Henderlong · ast. L. Hilton

29'

G. Vivi Quesada

31'

34'

A. Al Qaq

44'

J. Rossiter / A. Luckhurst ↕

45'+1

J. Rossiter

45'+4

V. Alvarado

↕ L. Archer / Pedro Becker

46'

55'

E. Jaaskelainen / A. Al Qaq ↕

59'

A. Gomez

↕ G. Vivi Quesada / L. Perez

63'

↕ C. Ostrem / G. Nigro

63'

71'

K. Sadlier / T. Roberts ↕

71'

D. Wilson / A. Gomez ↕

72'

W. Kuzain / R. Somersall ↕

L. Perez

73'

75'

R. Pedder

⚽M. Micaletto · ast. L. Hilton

82'

L. Wyke

89'

Pre-match prediction

91.98%

Tampa ←

4.35%

X

3.66%

Sporting

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) 91.98% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Tampa

4.50

—

—

Sporting

0.36

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14