Tanzania - Guinea-Bissau
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.56%
Win
Tanzania
31.01%
Draw
30.43%
Win
Guinea-Bissau
1.94
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.1%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
31%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
61%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tanzania a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Guinea-Bissau. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tanzania and 1.2 for Guinea-Bissau (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.1% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Tanzania
Guinea-Bissau →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Tanzania
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
53
Guinea-Bissau
Attack
13
Defence
38
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau?
The model gives Tanzania a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Guinea-Bissau win.
How many goals are expected in Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau?
Expected goals: Tanzania 1.9, Guinea-Bissau 1.2 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tanzania vs Guinea-Bissau?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.