Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 4
August 30, 2026 16:45
37'
(ast. S. Berghuis)
D. Klaassen
56'
(ast. O. Gloukh)
S. Berghuis
60'
(ast. S. Berghuis)
T. Arokodare
78'
Marcos Leonardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Telstar 30%). The final result was Telstar 0–4 Ajax. In 2 previous meetings, Telstar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ajax.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
12
Match Events
37'
ast. S. Berghuis ·
D. Klaassen⚽
44'
56'
ast. O. Gloukh ·
S. Berghuis⚽
60'
ast. S. Berghuis ·
T. Arokodare⚽
65'
A. Ouazane
/
D. Klaassen
R. Mendes
/ F. Rust
65'
J. Seedorf
/ F. Turay
65'
J. Hardeveld
/ P. Aning
65'
66'
Y. Baas
/
J. Brandt
73'
Marcos Leonardo
/
S. Berghuis
73'
O. Edvardsen
/
O. Gloukh
G. Alders
/ G. Caschili
74'
M. Peersman
/ E. Demircan
77'
78'
Marcos Leonardo⚽
82'
J. Torrents
/
Caio Henrique
Pre-match prediction
30.25%
Telstar
29.15%
X
40.6%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax)
40.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
1.13
-0.84
2.44
2.06
-0.38
Ajax dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Koeman
G
R. Koeman
G
43
M. Peersman
77'
D
M. Peersman
77'
D
4
A. Soualhia
D
A. Soualhia
D
16
S. Valk
D
S. Valk
D
2
J. Hardeveld
65'
M
J. Hardeveld
65'
M
10
T. Owusu
M
T. Owusu
M
17
N. Rossen
M
N. Rossen
M
3
Gerald Alders
74'
M
Gerald Alders
74'
M
27
P. Brouwer
F
P. Brouwer
F
7
Rui Mendes
65'
F
Rui Mendes
65'
F
9
Jelani Seedorf
65'
F
Jelani Seedorf
65'
F
Bench
20
D. Reiziger
G
D. Reiziger
G
8
E. Demircan
13'
F
E. Demircan
13'
F
19
Fabiano Rust
25'
F
Fabiano Rust
25'
F
13
Finn Mulder
G
Finn Mulder
G
21
F. Turay
25'
F
F. Turay
25'
F
18
Gabi Caschili
16'
D
Gabi Caschili
16'
D
14
H. Kuster
M
H. Kuster
M
6
Isaiah Ahmed
M
Isaiah Ahmed
M
15
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
23
N. Shenkman
M
N. Shenkman
M
5
P. Aning
25'
M
P. Aning
25'
M
28
R. Oudsten
D
R. Oudsten
D
1
M. ter Stegen
G
M. ter Stegen
G
12
Caio Henrique
82'
D
Caio Henrique
82'
D
36
D. Janse
D
D. Janse
D
30
A. Bouwman
D
A. Bouwman
D
3
A. Gaaei
D
A. Gaaei
D
10
O. Gloukh
1 👟
73'
M
O. Gloukh
1 👟
73'
M
24
J. Mokio
M
J. Mokio
M
18
D. Klaassen
1 ⚽
65'
M
D. Klaassen
1 ⚽
65'
M
23
S. Berghuis
1 ⚽
2 👟
73'
M
S. Berghuis
1 ⚽
2 👟
73'
M
8
J. Brandt
66'
F
J. Brandt
66'
F
99
T. Arokodare
1 ⚽
F
T. Arokodare
1 ⚽
F
Bench
68
A. Ouazane
25'
M
A. Ouazane
25'
M
22
Joeri Heerkens
G
Joeri Heerkens
G
21
Jofre Torrents
8'
D
Jofre Torrents
8'
D
9
K. Dolberg
F
K. Dolberg
F
38
Marcos Leonardo
1 ⚽
17'
F
Marcos Leonardo
1 ⚽
17'
F
67
Mohamed Abdalla
M
Mohamed Abdalla
M
26
M. Paes
G
M. Paes
G
20
O. Edvardsen
17'
F
O. Edvardsen
17'
F
5
O. Wijndal
D
O. Wijndal
D
15
Y. Baas
24'
D
Y. Baas
24'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Berghuis
M · Ajax
9.20
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
T. Arokodare
F · Ajax
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
M. ter Stegen
G · Ajax
8.20
· 42 pass
D. Klaassen
M · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
D. Janse
D · Ajax
7.60
1 shots
· 77 pass
P. Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
Telstar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Koeman | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Peersman | D | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| A. Soualhia | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Valk | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hardeveld | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| T. Owusu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Rossen | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Gerald Alders | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Brouwer | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Rui Mendes | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jelani Seedorf | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Demircan | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fabiano Rust | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Turay | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gabi Caschili | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Aning | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Ajax — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ter Stegen | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Caio Henrique | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Janse | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouwman | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 89 | 88% | — | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Gloukh | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Mokio | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Klaassen | M | 65 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | M | 73 | 9.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Ouazane | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jofre Torrents | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 17 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| O. Edvardsen | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Telstar vs Ajax?
The final score was Telstar 0–4 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Telstar vs Ajax?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Telstar win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an Ajax win.