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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 August 30, 2026 16:45
Telstar
#16 · 6 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Ajax
#2 · 21 pts
37' (ast. S. Berghuis) D. Klaassen
56' (ast. O. Gloukh) S. Berghuis
60' (ast. S. Berghuis) T. Arokodare
78' Marcos Leonardo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Telstar 30%). The final result was Telstar 0–4 Ajax. In 2 previous meetings, Telstar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.06
5
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
12
Match Events
37'
ast. S. Berghuis · D. Klaassen⚽
44'
56'
ast. O. Gloukh · S. Berghuis⚽
60'
ast. S. Berghuis · T. Arokodare⚽
65'
A. Ouazane / D. Klaassen ↕
↕ R. Mendes / F. Rust
65'
↕ J. Seedorf / F. Turay
65'
↕ J. Hardeveld / P. Aning
65'
66'
Y. Baas / J. Brandt ↕
73'
Marcos Leonardo / S. Berghuis ↕
73'
O. Edvardsen / O. Gloukh ↕
↕ G. Alders / G. Caschili
74'
↕ M. Peersman / E. Demircan
77'
78'
Marcos Leonardo⚽
82'
J. Torrents / Caio Henrique ↕
Pre-match prediction
30.25%
Telstar
29.15%
X
40.6%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 40.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Telstar
1.97
1.13
-0.84
Ajax
2.44
2.06
-0.38
Ajax dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 Ronald Koeman Jr Ronald Koeman Jr G 5.70
43 Marvin Peersman Marvin Peersman 77' D 5.90
4 Abdelnour Soualhia Abdelnour Soualhia D 6.50
16 Sem Valk Sem Valk D 6.00
2 Jeff Hardeveld Jeff Hardeveld 65' M 6.20
10 Tyrone Owusu Tyrone Owusu M 6.90
17 Nils Rossen Nils Rossen M 6.60
3 Gerald Alders Gerald Alders 74' M 6.50
27 Patrick Brouwer Patrick Brouwer F 7.20
7 Rui Mendes Rui Mendes 65' F 6.60
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 65' F 6.50
Bench
20 Daan Reiziger Daan Reiziger G
8 Emirhan Demircan Emirhan Demircan 13' F 6.70
19 Fabiano Rust Fabiano Rust 25' F 6.30
13 Finn Mulder Finn Mulder G
21 Fofin Turay Fofin Turay 25' F 6.20
18 Gabi Caschili Gabi Caschili 16' D 6.60
14 Harrie Kuster Harrie Kuster M
6 Isaiah Ahmed Isaiah Ahmed M
15 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D
23 Noach Shenkman Noach Shenkman M
5 Prince Aning Prince Aning 25' M 6.50
28 Rojendro Oudsten Rojendro Oudsten D
Ajax Ajax 4-4-1-1
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G 8.20
12 Caio Henrique Caio Henrique 82' D 7.20
36 D. Janse D. Janse D 7.60
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman D 7.20
3 A. Gaaei A. Gaaei D 6.20
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 1 👟 73' M 6.90
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio M 6.30
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.70
23 S. Berghuis S. Berghuis 1 ⚽ 2 👟 73' M 9.20
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt 66' F 6.20
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 1 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 25' M 6.50
22 J. Heerkens J. Heerkens G
21 Jofre Torrents Jofre Torrents 8' D 6.70
9 K. Dolberg K. Dolberg F
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo 1 ⚽ 17' F 6.90
67 Mohamed Abdalla Mohamed Abdalla M
26 M. Paes M. Paes G
20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 17' F 6.70
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal D
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas 24' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
S. Berghuis
S. Berghuis
M · Ajax
9.20
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 27 pass
T. Arokodare
T. Arokodare
F · Ajax
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
M. ter Stegen
M. ter Stegen
G · Ajax
8.20
· 42 pass
D. Klaassen
D. Klaassen
M · Ajax
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
D. Janse
D. Janse
D · Ajax
7.60
1 shots · 77 pass
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.20
1 shots · 32 pass
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronald Koeman Jr G 90 5.70 — — — 44 23% — — —
Marvin Peersman D 77 5.90 — — 1 29 23% — — —
Abdelnour Soualhia D 90 6.50 — — — 47 43% 2 — —
Sem Valk D 90 6.00 — — — 54 48% 1 — —
Jeff Hardeveld M 65 6.20 — — — 17 13% — — —
Tyrone Owusu M 90 6.90 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
Nils Rossen M 90 6.60 — — — 47 44% — — —
Gerald Alders M 74 6.50 — — 1 30 24% 1 — —
Patrick Brouwer F 90 7.20 — — 1 32 24% — — —
Rui Mendes F 65 6.60 — — 4 9 8% — — —
Jelani Seedorf F 65 6.50 — — — 9 8% — — —
Emirhan Demircan F 13 6.70 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Fabiano Rust F 25 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Fofin Turay F 25 6.20 — — — 10 9% — — —
Gabi Caschili D 16 6.60 — — — 10 10% 3 — —
Prince Aning M 25 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. ter Stegen G 90 8.20 — — — 42 31% — — —
Caio Henrique D 82 7.20 — — — 56 50% 3 — —
D. Janse D 90 7.60 — — 1 77 72% 1 — —
A. Bouwman D 90 7.20 — — — 89 88% — — —
A. Gaaei D 90 6.20 — — — 45 36% 2 — —
O. Gloukh M 73 6.90 — 1 1 38 34% — — —
J. Mokio M 90 6.30 — — — 41 38% 3 — —
D. Klaassen M 65 7.70 1 — 2 18 17% 1 — —
S. Berghuis M 73 9.20 1 2 2 27 24% 1 — —
J. Brandt F 66 6.20 — — — 36 27% — — —
T. Arokodare F 90 8.50 1 — 2 11 10% — — —
A. Ouazane M 25 6.50 — — 1 13 10% — — —
Jofre Torrents D 8 6.70 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Marcos Leonardo F 17 6.90 1 — 2 4 2% — — —
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F 17 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Y. Baas D 24 6.60 — — — 16 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Telstar vs Ajax?
The final score was Telstar 0–4 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Telstar vs Ajax?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Telstar win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an Ajax win.