✓Model correct — prediction Feyenoord
Tyrone Owusu
(ast. Noach Shenkman)
30'
Patrick Brouwer
37'
Noach Shenkman
(ast. Sem valk)
69'
1'
Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
21'
Nacho Ferri
32'
(ast. Givairo Read)
Sem Steijn
(pen.)
57'
Sem Steijn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Feyenoord a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Telstar 19%). The final result was Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord. In 2 previous meetings, Telstar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Feyenoord.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
22
9
Shots on target
11
1.43
Actual xG
3.83
6
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
8
24
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
1'
Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra⚽
21'
Nacho Ferri⚽
Gerald Alders
29'
⚽Tyrone Owusu
· ast. Noach Shenkman
30'
32'
ast. Givairo Read ·
Sem Steijn⚽
⚽Patrick Brouwer
37'
41'
Charles Vanhoutte
57'
(pen.)
Sem Steijn⚽
65'
Oussama Targhalline
/
Charles Vanhoutte
65'
Javi López
/
Thijs Kraaijeveld
Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
/ Jelani Seedorf
65'
66'
Gjivai Zechiel
⚽Noach Shenkman
· ast. Sem valk
69'
72'
Nacho Ferri
Ar'jany Martha
/ Emirhan Demircan
77'
77'
Tobias van den Elshout
/
Sem Steijn
77'
Luciano Valente
/
Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
Noach Shenkman
/ Jeff Hardeveld
84'
Gerald Alders
/ Harrie Kuster
84'
90'+7
Javi López
Pre-match prediction
19.56%
Telstar
22.65%
X
57.79%
Feyenoord ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Feyenoord)
57.79%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.45
1.43
+0.98
2.37
3.83
+1.46
Feyenoord dominated by xG (3.83 vs 1.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ronald Koeman Jr
G
Ronald Koeman Jr
G
43
Marvin Peersman
D
Marvin Peersman
D
4
Abdelnour Soualhia
D
Abdelnour Soualhia
D
16
Sem Valk
1 👟
D
Sem Valk
1 👟
D
3
Gerald Alders
84'
D
Gerald Alders
84'
D
17
Nils Rossen
M
Nils Rossen
M
10
Tyrone Owusu
1 ⚽
M
Tyrone Owusu
1 ⚽
M
23
Noach Shenkman
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
Noach Shenkman
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
27
Patrick Brouwer
1 ⚽
F
Patrick Brouwer
1 ⚽
F
11
Nökkvi Þórisson
65'
F
Nökkvi Þórisson
65'
F
42
A. Martha
77'
F
A. Martha
77'
F
Bench
20
Daan Reiziger
G
Daan Reiziger
G
8
Emirhan Demircan
13'
F
Emirhan Demircan
13'
F
19
Fabiano Rust
F
Fabiano Rust
F
13
Finn Mulder
G
Finn Mulder
G
21
Fofin Turay
F
Fofin Turay
F
18
Gabi Caschili
D
Gabi Caschili
D
14
Harrie Kuster
6'
M
Harrie Kuster
6'
M
6
Isaiah Ahmed
M
Isaiah Ahmed
M
2
Jeff Hardeveld
6'
D
Jeff Hardeveld
6'
D
9
Jelani Seedorf
25'
F
Jelani Seedorf
25'
F
5
Prince Aning
M
Prince Aning
M
28
Rojendro Oudsten
D
Rojendro Oudsten
D
1
T. Ernst
G
T. Ernst
G
35
Mika Màrmol
D
Mika Màrmol
D
24
T. Kraaijeveld
65'
D
T. Kraaijeveld
65'
D
4
T. Watanabe
D
T. Watanabe
D
26
G. Read
1 👟
D
G. Read
1 👟
D
34
C. Vanhoutte
65'
M
C. Vanhoutte
65'
M
8
G. Zechiël
M
G. Zechiël
M
27
G. Diarra
1 ⚽
77'
M
G. Diarra
1 ⚽
77'
M
14
S. Steijn
2 ⚽
77'
M
S. Steijn
2 ⚽
77'
M
23
A. Hadj-Moussa
M
A. Hadj-Moussa
M
19
Nacho Ferri
1 ⚽
F
Nacho Ferri
1 ⚽
F
Bench
33
F. Kastenmeier
G
F. Kastenmeier
G
11
Gonçalo Borges
F
Gonçalo Borges
F
16
Javi López
25'
D
Javi López
25'
D
57
J. Schaken
F
J. Schaken
F
6
J. St. Juste
D
J. St. Juste
D
39
L. Bossin
G
L. Bossin
G
10
L. Valente
13'
M
L. Valente
13'
M
20
M. Deijl
D
M. Deijl
D
28
O. Targhalline
25'
M
O. Targhalline
25'
M
22
T. van den Elshout
13'
M
T. van den Elshout
13'
M
32
T. Wessels
D
T. Wessels
D
Best on the pitch
Noach Shenkman
M · Telstar
8.82
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 40 pass
S. Steijn
M · Feyenoord
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Nacho Ferri
F · Feyenoord
8.13
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
Patrick Brouwer
F · Telstar
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
G. Diarra
M · Feyenoord
7.55
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
Tyrone Owusu
M · Telstar
7.53
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 54 pass
Telstar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Koeman Jr | G | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Marvin Peersman | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdelnour Soualhia | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 3 | 64 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Sem Valk | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | 1 | 0 | 76 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Gerald Alders | D | 84 | 5.56 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nils Rossen | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Tyrone Owusu | M | 90 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Noach Shenkman | M | 84 | 8.82 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| Patrick Brouwer | F | 90 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Nökkvi Þórisson | F | 65 | 6.42 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Martha | F | 77 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Emirhan Demircan | F | 13 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Harrie Kuster | M | 6 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Jeff Hardeveld | D | 6 | 6.22 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Jelani Seedorf | F | 25 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Feyenoord — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ernst | G | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Mika Màrmol | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Kraaijeveld | D | 65 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Watanabe | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Read | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | 1 | 2 | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 65 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Diarra | M | 77 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Steijn | M | 77 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | M | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Nacho Ferri | F | 90 | 8.13 | 1 | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Javi López | D | 25 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Valente | M | 13 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Targhalline | M | 25 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| T. van den Elshout | M | 13 | 6.06 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Telstar vs Feyenoord?
The final score was Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord.
What did the model predict before Telstar vs Feyenoord?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Telstar win, 22% to a draw, and 57% to an Feyenoord win.