Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 22, 2026 16:45

Telstar

#13 · 5 pts

3 – 1

Final score

PSV Eindhoven

#3 · 16 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction PSV Eindhoven, result Telstar wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Telstar 24%). The final result was Telstar 3–1 PSV Eindhoven. In 1 previous meetings, Telstar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

8

1.83

Actual xG

1.34

48%

Possession

52%

1

Corners

12

Pre-match prediction

24.08%

Telstar ←

18.3%

X

57.62%

PSV

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Telstar) 24.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Telstar

1.31

1.83

+0.52

PSV

2.52

1.34

-1.18

Telstar dominated by xG (1.83 vs 1.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	19
2	Feyenoord	7	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	16
4	Twente	7	16
5	Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	Excelsior	7	11
8	Groningen	7	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar	7	5
14	Cambuur	7	5
15	Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II	7	2