Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28 March 22, 2026 16:45

Telstar

#5 · 3 pts

3 – 1

Final score

PSV Eindhoven

#10 · 1 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction PSV Eindhoven, result Telstar wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Telstar 24%). The final result was Telstar 3–1 PSV Eindhoven. In 1 previous meetings, Telstar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

8

1.83

Actual xG

1.34

48%

Possession

52%

1

Corners

12

Pre-match prediction

24.08%

Telstar ←

18.3%

X

57.62%

PSV

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Telstar) 24.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Telstar

1.31

1.83

+0.52

PSV

2.52

1.34

-1.18

Telstar dominated by xG (1.83 vs 1.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Excelsior	1	3
2	GO Ahead Eagles	1	3
3	Ajax	1	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	3
5	Telstar	1	3
6	Groningen	1	3
7	Heerenveen	1	3
8	Feyenoord	1	3
9	Fortuna Sittard	1	1
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1
11	NEC Nijmegen	1	0
12	Utrecht	1	0
13	Twente	1	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0
15	PEC Zwolle	1	0
16	ADO Den Haag	1	0
17	Willem II	1	0
18	Cambuur	1	0