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Temperley - Tristan Suarez

Primera Nacional July 04, 2026 20:30
#5 · 27 pts
vs
#3 · 30 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.3%
Win
Temperley
21.91%
Draw
14.8%
Win
Tristan Suarez
1.71
Expected xG
0.55
Most likely result 1–0 (17.8%)
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
39%
Model prediction
Temperley
63.3%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Temperley a 63% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Tristan Suarez. Expected goals are 1.7 for Temperley and 0.6 for Tristan Suarez (total 2.3), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Temperley have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tristan Suarez.

Season Stats

Temperley
5W 8D 2L
Tristan Suarez
6W 7D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
54%
O 1.5
37%
O 2.5
25%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
Temperley
4W 3D 1L · at home
Tristan Suarez
4W 4D 1L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.8
1.5
Conceded
0.4
50%
Win %
44%
88%
Win or Draw
89%
75%
O 1.5
33%
63%
O 2.5
11%
38%
O 3.5
11%
63%
BTTS
22%
25%
Clean Sht
78%
25%
Failed to Score
33%
last 9
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Temperley Tristan Suarez →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3%
1 17.8% 9.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 15.2% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2%
4 3.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

D San Martin Tucuman 1–1
W Club Atlético Güemes 4–1
W Chacarita Juniors 0–1
W San Martin S.J. 2–1
D Nueva Chicago 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
D Chacarita Juniors 0–0
W Deportivo Maipu 0–1
D Almagro 0–0
D Patronato 1–1
D Colegiales 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 51%

Playing profile

Temperley Temperley
Attack
33
Defence
70
Form
54
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
Attack
15
Defence
81
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Temperley
1
Draw
0
Tristan Suarez
14 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 0–0

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Temperley Tristan Suarez
Current #5 #3
Temperley #4 #3
Draw #4 #3
Tristan Suarez #5 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
The model gives Temperley a 63% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 14% for an Tristan Suarez win.
How many goals are expected in Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
Expected goals: Temperley 1.7, Tristan Suarez 0.6 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.8%.