Temperley - Tristan Suarez
Primera Nacional
July 04, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.3%
Win
Temperley
21.91%
Draw
14.8%
Win
Tristan Suarez
1.71
0.55
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–0
(17.8%)
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
39%
Model prediction
Temperley
63.3%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Temperley a 63% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Tristan Suarez. Expected goals are 1.7 for Temperley and 0.6 for Tristan Suarez (total 2.3), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Temperley have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tristan Suarez.
Season Stats
5W
8D
2L
6W
7D
2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
54%
O 1.5
37%
O 2.5
25%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
4W
3D
1L
· at home
4W
4D
1L
· away
1.6
gls/g
0.8
1.5
Conceded
0.4
50%
Win %
44%
88%
Win or Draw
89%
75%
O 1.5
33%
63%
O 2.5
11%
38%
O 3.5
11%
63%
BTTS
22%
25%
Clean Sht
78%
25%
Failed to Score
33%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Temperley
Tristan Suarez →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 15.2% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Temperley
Attack
33
Defence
70
Form
54
Tristan Suarez
Attack
15
Defence
81
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
14 Feb 2026
0–0
Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
18 | 36 |
| 2 |
Atlanta
|
18 | 33 |
| 3 |
Tristan Suarez
|
18 | 30 |
| 4 |
Atletico DE Rafaela
|
18 | 27 |
| 5 |
Temperley
|
18 | 27 |
| 6 |
Midland
|
18 | 26 |
| 7 |
San Martin S.J.
|
17 | 23 |
| 8 |
Colegiales
|
18 | 23 |
| 9 |
San Martin Tucuman
|
18 | 23 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Maipu
|
18 | 22 |
| 11 |
Nueva Chicago
|
17 | 22 |
| 12 |
Almagro
|
18 | 22 |
| 13 |
Quilmes
|
18 | 21 |
| 14 |
Gimnasia Y Tiro
|
18 | 21 |
| 15 |
Patronato
|
18 | 21 |
| 16 |
Chacarita Juniors
|
18 | 19 |
| 17 |
Club Atlético Güemes
|
18 | 19 |
| 18 |
Agropecuario
|
18 | 18 |
What's at stake · Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #5 | #3 |
| → Temperley | #4 | #3 |
| → Draw | #4 | #3 |
| → Tristan Suarez | #5 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
The model gives Temperley a 63% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 14% for an Tristan Suarez win.
How many goals are expected in Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
Expected goals: Temperley 1.7, Tristan Suarez 0.6 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Temperley vs Tristan Suarez?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.8%.