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Tepatitlán - CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX August 08, 2026 03:00
Tepatitlán
#15 · 0 pts
vs
CA La Paz
#14 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.48%
Win
Tepatitlán
32.43%
Draw
34.09%
Win
CA La Paz
0.94
Expected xG
1.34

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.58%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives CA La Paz a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Tepatitlán. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tepatitlán and 1.3 for CA La Paz (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.58% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tepatitlán have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CA La Paz.

Season Stats

Tepatitlán
5W 5D 5L
CA La Paz
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
27%
O 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Tepatitlán
8W 1D 1L · at home
CA La Paz
2W 4D 4L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.1
0.5
Conceded
1.4
80%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tepatitlán CA La Paz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2% 13.7% 9.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.9% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
2 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
L Correcaminos Uat 3–1
L Durango 0–1
L CDS Tampico Madero 2–0
W CDS Tampico Madero 3–1
W CDS Tampico Madero 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
CA La Paz CA La Paz
L Durango 0–1
L Monarcas 4–2
L CDS Tampico Madero 1–2
L CDS Tampico Madero 2–0
D Atlante FC 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
Attack
16
Defence
48
Form
30
CA La Paz CA La Paz
Attack
22
Defence
50
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Tepatitlán
1
Draw
1
CA La Paz
11 Apr 2026 Liga de Expansión MX 1–1
2 Nov 2025 Liga de Expansión MX 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat 3 7
2 Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG 3 6
3 Durango Durango 2 6
4 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3 5
5 Venados FC Venados FC 2 4
6 Dorados Dorados 2 4
7 Piratas Piratas 2 4
8 Tapatío Tapatío 2 4
9 Monarcas Monarcas 2 3
10 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3 3
11 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2 2
12 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2 1
13 Cancún Cancún 1 0
14 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2 0
15 Tepatitlán Tepatitlán 2 0
16 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
The model gives Tepatitlán a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an CA La Paz win.
How many goals are expected in Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
Expected goals: Tepatitlán 0.9, CA La Paz 1.3 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.58%.