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← Serie D - Girone F

Teramo - Notaresco

Serie D - Girone F September 13, 2026 15:00
#2 · 3 pts
vs
#12 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.85%
Win
Teramo
32.36%
Draw
32.79%
Win
Notaresco
2.4
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.7%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Teramo a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Notaresco. Expected goals are 2.4 for Teramo and 1.6 for Notaresco (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.7% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Teramo have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Notaresco.

Season Stats

Teramo
9W 5D 1L
Notaresco
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone F. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Teramo
6W 4D 0L · at home
Notaresco
4W 2D 4L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.3
1.0
Conceded
1.1
60%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
80%
70%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Teramo Notaresco →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.5% 4.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Maceratese 0–3
W Notaresco 3–1
W Atletico Ascoli 2–1
D Atletico Ascoli 1–1
D Recanatese 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
L Ancona 1–2
L Teramo 3–1
W Ancona 1–3
D Ancona 1–1
L Victor San Marino 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Teramo Teramo
Attack
25
Defence
44
Form
36
Notaresco Notaresco
Attack
24
Defence
40
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigallia 1 3
2 Teramo Teramo 1 3
3 Angelana Angelana 1 3
4 Ancona Ancona 1 3
5 Foligno Calcio Foligno Calcio 1 3
6 Santegidiese Santegidiese 1 3
7 Fossombrone Fossombrone 1 3
8 L'Aquila L'Aquila 1 3
9 Recanatese Recanatese 1 1
10 Pietralunga Pietralunga 1 1
11 Real Giulianova Real Giulianova 1 0
12 Notaresco Notaresco 1 0
13 Montecchio Gallo Montecchio Gallo 1 0
14 Lanciano FC Lanciano FC 1 0
15 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio 1 0
16 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascoli 1 0
17 Sporting Trestina Sporting Trestina 1 0
18 Maceratese Maceratese 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Teramo vs Notaresco?
The model gives Teramo a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Notaresco win.
How many goals are expected in Teramo vs Notaresco?
Expected goals: Teramo 2.4, Notaresco 1.6 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Teramo vs Notaresco?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.