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Thame United - Exmouth

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Thame United
vs
Exmouth
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.99%
Win
Thame United
32.02%
Draw
32.0%
Win
Exmouth
3.15
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.04%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Thame United a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Exmouth. Expected goals are 3.2 for Thame United and 1.3 for Exmouth (total 4.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.04% probability.

Season Stats

Thame United
2W 0D 1L
Exmouth
2W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.0
1.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Thame United
1W 0D 0L · at home
Exmouth
0W 2D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Thame United Exmouth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 3.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.7% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.0% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Thame United Thame United
W Reading City 3–2
L Chertsey Town 2–1
W Clevedon Town 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Exmouth Exmouth
W Banbury United 2–1
D Banbury United 0–0
L Shaftesbury Town 0–2
D Shaftesbury Town 1–1
W Buckland Athletic 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Thame United Thame United
Attack
71
Defence
52
Form
74
Exmouth Exmouth
Attack
25
Defence
85
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Thame United vs Exmouth?
The model gives Thame United a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Exmouth win.
How many goals are expected in Thame United vs Exmouth?
Expected goals: Thame United 3.2, Exmouth 1.3 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Thame United vs Exmouth?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.04%.