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#1 · 40 pts
5 – 1
Final score
#5 · 26 pts
✓Model correct — prediction The New Saints
J. Lock 26'
J. Lock 38'
R. Hughes 42' (pen.)
J. Williams 50'
D. Corness 55'
61' N. Peate
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave The New Saints a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 13%). The final result was The New Saints 5–1 Colwyn Bay. In 4 previous meetings, The New Saints have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Colwyn Bay.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Lock
26'
⚽J. Lock
38'
⚽R. Hughes (pen.)
42'
⚽J. Williams
50'
⚽D. Corness
55'
56'
E. Roberts / R. Astles ↕
56'
D. Roberts / C. Bratley ↕
56'
A. Davies / L. Robles ↕
61'
N. Peate⚽
67'
N. Peate
67'
I. Kargbo / D. Poole ↕
↕ J. Lock / B. Wilson
68'
↕ R. Hughes / R. Holden
73'
↕ I. Jefferies / R. Brobbel
73'
79'
J. Kenny / J. Williams ↕
↕ H. Godsmark-Ford / B. Clark
85'
↕ J. Williams / B. Young
85'
D. Williams
86'
Pre-match prediction
61.37%
The ←
25.27%
X
13.36%
Colwyn
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (The New Saints) 61.37% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
The
1.43
—
—
Colwyn
0.48
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 The New Saints The New Saints 14 40
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 14 34
3 Penybont Penybont 13 30
4 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 14 29
5 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 14 26
6 Barry Town Barry Town 14 25
7 Airbus UK Airbus UK 14 24
8 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 14 22
9 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 14 18
10 Llandudno Llandudno 14 16
11 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 14 13
12 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 14 12
13 Flint Town United Flint Town United 14 11
14 Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 14 9
15 Trefelin Trefelin 14 6
16 Holywell Holywell 13 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The final score was The New Saints 5–1 Colwyn Bay.
What did the model predict before The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The model assigned 61% probability to a The New Saints win, 25% to a draw, and 13% to an Colwyn Bay win.