✗Model wrong — prediction The Strongest, result Independiente Petrolero wins
J. Arrascaita
24'
(pen.)
(pen.)
67'
Willie
90'+7
(ast. A. Mercado)
D. Rojas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave The Strongest a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Independiente Petrolero 20%). The final result was The Strongest 1–2 Independiente Petrolero.
Match statistics
Match Events
Saavedra
12'
⚽J. Arrascaita
(pen.)
24'
47'
L. Crescencio
57'
R. Zamora
59'
C. Urdininea
62'
S. Torres
/
C. Urdininea
62'
K. Sanchez
/
R. Zamora
63'
A. Mercado
/
Gean
C. Ventura
/ R. Castro
65'
J. Welch
/ V. Cuellar
65'
67'
(pen.)
Willie⚽
71'
G. Mendoza
G. Sotomayor
/ W. Saucedo
73'
Saavedra
/ J. Cuellar
74'
77'
W. Soleto
/
G. Cristaldo
F. Quaglio
/ Y. Portuncho
83'
R. Castro
89'
90'+7
S. Torres
90'+7
ast. A. Mercado ·
D. Rojas⚽
90'
Jeferson Carioca
/
Willie
Pre-match prediction
56.44%
The
23.44%
X
20.12%
Independiente ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Petrolero)
20.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
—
—
0.86
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
The final score was The Strongest 1–2 Independiente Petrolero.
What did the model predict before The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model assigned 56% probability to a The Strongest win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Independiente Petrolero win.