National 1
· Regular Season - 2
August 14, 2026 19:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Thionville Lusitanos a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Caen 30%). The final result was Thionville Lusitanos 4–3 Caen.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
37.94%
Thionville ←
31.16%
X
30.89%
Caen
we assigned to the actual result (Thionville Lusitanos)
37.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
—
—
0.82
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?
The final score was Thionville Lusitanos 4–3 Caen.
What did the model predict before Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Thionville Lusitanos win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Caen win.