← National 2 - Group B

Thionville Lusitanos - Chambly Thelle FC

National 2 - Group B May 16, 2026 18:00
#1 · 60 pts
vs
#14 · 31 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 13.6°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 65% · Thionville
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.55%
Win
Thionville Lusitanos
26.61%
Draw
28.84%
Win
Chambly Thelle FC
1.55
Expected xG
1.25

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Thionville Lusitanos a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Chambly Thelle FC. Expected goals are 1.6 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.2 for Chambly Thelle FC (total 2.8), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Thionville Lusitanos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chambly Thelle FC.

Score Matrix
↕ Thionville Lusitanos Chambly Thelle FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.4% 11.8% 7.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.1% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Recent form
L Bastia-Borgo 3–0
L Bourges Foot 18 1–4
W Chantilly 3–1
D Colmar 0–0
W Feignies-Aulnoye 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
W Colmar 6–0
L Feignies-Aulnoye 3–0
W Dieppe 3–0
D Beauvais 0–0
W Furiani-Agliani 3–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 40%
Playing profile
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
Attack
36
Defence
63
Form
55
Chambly Thelle FC Chambly Thelle FC
Attack
36
Defence
75
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Thionville Lusitanos
0
Draw
1
Chambly Thelle FC
L 16 Aug 2025 National 2 - Group B 0–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 29 60
2 Haguenau Haguenau 29 50
3 Bourges Foot 18 Bourges Foot 18 29 49
4 Feignies-Aulnoye Feignies-Aulnoye 29 45
5 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 29 42
6 Furiani-Agliani Furiani-Agliani 29 42
7 Dieppe Dieppe 29 41
8 Bastia-Borgo Bastia-Borgo 29 40
9 Biesheim Biesheim 29 39
10 Epinal Epinal 29 37
11 Colmar Colmar 29 36
12 Wasquehal Wasquehal 29 33
13 Beauvais Beauvais 29 32
14 Chambly Thelle FC Chambly Thelle FC 29 31
15 Chantilly Chantilly 29 27
16 Blois Blois 29 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Chambly Thelle FC?
The model gives Thionville Lusitanos a 44% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 28% for an Chambly Thelle FC win.
How many goals are expected in Thionville Lusitanos vs Chambly Thelle FC?
Expected goals: Thionville Lusitanos 1.6, Chambly Thelle FC 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Thionville Lusitanos vs Chambly Thelle FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.