Threave Rovers - Alloa Athletic
Scottish Cup
November 28, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.04%
Win
Threave Rovers
29.64%
Draw
29.32%
Win
Alloa Athletic
4.09
0.7
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.13%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
59%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Threave Rovers a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Alloa Athletic. Expected goals are 4.1 for Threave Rovers and 0.7 for Alloa Athletic (total 4.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.13% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
3.2
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
75%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Scottish Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
4.5
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Threave Rovers
Alloa Athletic →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Threave Rovers
Attack
86
Defence
62
Form
81
Alloa Athletic
Attack
26
Defence
50
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Threave Rovers vs Alloa Athletic?
The model gives Threave Rovers a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Alloa Athletic win.
How many goals are expected in Threave Rovers vs Alloa Athletic?
Expected goals: Threave Rovers 4.1, Alloa Athletic 0.7 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Threave Rovers vs Alloa Athletic?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.13%.