Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Tigre
J. Saralegui
(ast. I. Russo)
47'
A. Barrionuevo
(ast. J. Mosqueira)
77'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 19%). The final result was Tigre 2–0 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.58
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
1
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Garay
/ V. Moreno
7'
37'
S. Quiroga
45'+3
R. Suarez
⚽J. Saralegui
· ast. I. Russo
47'
55'
A. Munoz
57'
M. Barreda
J. Elias
57'
57'
V. Robaldo
/
S. Quiroga
58'
H. Lupu
/
G. Diaz
61'
C. Valladolid
/
F. Coronel
J. Elias
/ J. Mosqueira
67'
J. Saralegui
/ P. Martinez
67'
D. Romero
/ A. Oviedo
75'
S. Lopez
/ G. Pineiro
75'
76'
A. Antilef
/
J. Perez
76'
F. Flores
/
M. Barreda
⚽A. Barrionuevo
· ast. J. Mosqueira
77'
84'
E. Perleche
A. Barrionuevo
88'
90'+5
H. Lupu
Pre-match prediction
55.5%
Tigre ←
24.69%
X
19.8%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
55.5%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.58
+0.06
0.80
0.77
-0.03
Tigre dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
1 ⚽
D
A. Barrionuevo
1 ⚽
D
2
Joaquín Laso
D
Joaquín Laso
D
8
M. Garay
7'
D
M. Garay
7'
D
22
S. López
75'
M
S. López
75'
M
30
J. Elías
67'
M
J. Elías
67'
M
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
10
J. Saralegui
1 ⚽
67'
M
J. Saralegui
1 ⚽
67'
M
29
I. Russo
1 👟
F
I. Russo
1 👟
F
9
D. Romero
75'
F
D. Romero
75'
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
17'
F
Alfio Oviedo
17'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
23
G. Piñeiro
17'
M
G. Piñeiro
17'
M
50
I. Peluffo
F
I. Peluffo
F
55
J. Mosqueira
1 👟
25'
M
J. Mosqueira
1 👟
25'
M
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
18
Manuel Fernandez
F
Manuel Fernandez
F
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
28
P. Martínez
25'
M
P. Martínez
25'
M
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
26
Tomás Sultani
G
Tomás Sultani
G
4
V. Moreno
85'
D
V. Moreno
85'
D
95
D. Prieto
G
D. Prieto
G
19
J. Mendieta
D
J. Mendieta
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
76'
M
Jimmy Pérez
76'
M
10
Germán Díaz
58'
M
Germán Díaz
58'
M
23
A. Muñoz
M
A. Muñoz
M
99
Mariano Barreda
76'
M
Mariano Barreda
76'
M
32
Sergio Quiroga
57'
M
Sergio Quiroga
57'
M
7
Franco Coronel
61'
F
Franco Coronel
61'
F
Bench
24
A. Gordillo
D
A. Gordillo
D
29
Alejo Antilef
16'
M
Alejo Antilef
16'
M
77
Christian Valladolid
31'
F
Christian Valladolid
31'
F
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
8
F. Flores
16'
M
F. Flores
16'
M
15
H. Lupú
34'
M
H. Lupú
34'
M
22
J. del Castillo
M
J. del Castillo
M
6
J. Luján
D
J. Luján
D
37
Juan Delgado
M
Juan Delgado
M
16
S. Fernández
M
S. Fernández
M
9
V. Robaldo
35'
F
V. Robaldo
35'
F
25
W. Guzmán
D
W. Guzmán
D
Best on the pitch
J. Saralegui
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
F. Zenobio
G · Tigre
7.30
· 16 pass
A. Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.00
1 shots
· 32 pass
J. Mosqueira
M · Tigre
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
V. Moreno
D · Tigre
7.00
· 22 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Garay | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. López | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 67 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 92 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alfio Oviedo | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Piñeiro | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Mosqueira | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Martínez | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prieto | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Mendieta | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Suarez | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mariano Barreda | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | M | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alejo Antilef | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Valladolid | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Flores | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| H. Lupú | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Robaldo | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Tigre 2–0 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Tigre win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Alianza Atletico win.