Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 29, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Tigre
J. Saralegui
(ast. I. Russo)
47'
A. Barrionuevo
(ast. J. Mosqueira)
77'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 19%). The final result was Tigre 2–0 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.58
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
1
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
M. Garay
/ V. Moreno
7'
37'
S. Quiroga
45'+3
R. Suarez
⚽J. Saralegui
· ast. I. Russo
47'
55'
A. Munoz
57'
M. Barreda
J. Elias
57'
57'
V. Robaldo
/
S. Quiroga
58'
H. Lupu
/
G. Diaz
61'
C. Valladolid
/
F. Coronel
J. Elias
/ J. Mosqueira
67'
J. Saralegui
/ P. Martinez
67'
D. Romero
/ A. Oviedo
75'
S. Lopez
/ G. Pineiro
75'
76'
A. Antilef
/
J. Perez
76'
F. Flores
/
M. Barreda
⚽A. Barrionuevo
· ast. J. Mosqueira
77'
84'
E. Perleche
A. Barrionuevo
88'
90'+5
H. Lupu
Pre-match prediction
55.5%
Tigre ←
24.69%
X
19.8%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
55.5%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.58
+0.06
0.80
0.77
-0.03
Tigre dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Felipe Zenobio
G
Felipe Zenobio
G
24
Federico Álvarez
D
Federico Álvarez
D
20
Alan Barrionuevo
1 ⚽
D
Alan Barrionuevo
1 ⚽
D
2
Joaquín Laso
D
Joaquín Laso
D
8
Martín Garay
7'
D
Martín Garay
7'
D
22
Santiago López
75'
M
Santiago López
75'
M
30
Jalil Elias
67'
M
Jalil Elias
67'
M
5
Bruno Leyes
M
Bruno Leyes
M
10
Jabes Saralegui
1 ⚽
67'
M
Jabes Saralegui
1 ⚽
67'
M
29
I. Russo
1 👟
F
I. Russo
1 👟
F
9
D. Romero
75'
F
D. Romero
75'
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
17'
F
Alfio Oviedo
17'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
23
Gonzalo Piñeiro
17'
M
Gonzalo Piñeiro
17'
M
50
Ignacio Peluffo
F
Ignacio Peluffo
F
55
Joaquin Mosqueira
1 👟
25'
M
Joaquin Mosqueira
1 👟
25'
M
32
Juan Villalba
D
Juan Villalba
D
18
Manuel Fernandez
F
Manuel Fernandez
F
3
Nahuel Banegas
D
Nahuel Banegas
D
28
P. Martínez
25'
M
P. Martínez
25'
M
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
26
Tomás Sultani
G
Tomás Sultani
G
4
Valentín Moreno
85'
D
Valentín Moreno
85'
D
95
Daniel Prieto
G
Daniel Prieto
G
19
Jesus Mendieta
D
Jesus Mendieta
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
21
E. Perleche
D
E. Perleche
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
76'
M
Jimmy Pérez
76'
M
10
Germán Díaz
58'
M
Germán Díaz
58'
M
23
Ariel Muñoz
M
Ariel Muñoz
M
99
Mariano Barreda
76'
M
Mariano Barreda
76'
M
32
Sergio Quiroga
57'
M
Sergio Quiroga
57'
M
7
Franco Coronel
61'
F
Franco Coronel
61'
F
Bench
24
A. Gordillo
D
A. Gordillo
D
29
Alejo Antilef
16'
M
Alejo Antilef
16'
M
77
Christian Valladolid
31'
F
Christian Valladolid
31'
F
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
8
Franchesco Flores
16'
M
Franchesco Flores
16'
M
15
Hernan Lupú
34'
M
Hernan Lupú
34'
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
M
Jorge del Castillo
M
6
José Luján
D
José Luján
D
37
Juan Delgado
M
Juan Delgado
M
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
9
Valentín Robaldo
35'
F
Valentín Robaldo
35'
F
25
Williams Guzmán
D
Williams Guzmán
D
Best on the pitch
Jabes Saralegui
M · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Felipe Zenobio
G · Tigre
7.30
· 16 pass
Alan Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.00
1 shots
· 32 pass
Joaquin Mosqueira
M · Tigre
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Valentín Moreno
D · Tigre
7.00
· 22 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Zenobio | G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Federico Álvarez | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alan Barrionuevo | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Martín Garay | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago López | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Jalil Elias | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Leyes | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Jabes Saralegui | M | 67 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 92 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alfio Oviedo | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Piñeiro | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Mosqueira | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Martínez | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Moreno | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Prieto | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jesus Mendieta | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Román Suárez | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Perleche | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Mariano Barreda | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Quiroga | M | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alejo Antilef | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Valladolid | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Franchesco Flores | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Valentín Robaldo | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Tigre 2–0 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Tigre win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Alianza Atletico win.