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Tigre - Atletico Torque

Copa Sudamericana August 12, 2026 22:00
#2 · 9 pts
vs
#1 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.89%
Win
Tigre
28.98%
Draw
33.13%
Win
Atletico Torque
1.36
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.33%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 38%
X 29%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 62%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 50%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tigre a 37% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Atletico Torque. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tigre and 1.2 for Atletico Torque (total 2.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.33% probability.

Season Stats

Tigre
3W 3D 2L
Atletico Torque
5W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.7
0.9
Conceded
0.7
3.8
Shots OT
3.6
3.3
Corners
5.1
43%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
57%
38%
O 2.5
43%
50%
BTTS
43%
38%
Clean Sht
57%
Based on the last 8 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
46%
BTTS
Tigre
2W 0D 2L · at home
Atletico Torque
1W 1D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.7
0.8
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
33%
50%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
25%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tigre Atletico Torque →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Club Nacional 1–2
W Club Nacional 0–3
W Alianza Atletico 2–0
D America de Cali 1–1
D Macara 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
D Gremio 2–2
W Deportivo Riestra 4–1
W Palestino 1–0
L Deportivo Riestra 2–1
W Palestino 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Tigre Tigre
Attack
30
Defence
76
Form
52
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
Attack
47
Defence
55
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tigre vs Atletico Torque?
The model gives Tigre a 37% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 33% for an Atletico Torque win.
How many goals are expected in Tigre vs Atletico Torque?
Expected goals: Tigre 1.4, Atletico Torque 1.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Tigre vs Atletico Torque?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.33%.