✗Model wrong — prediction Tigre, result Banfield wins
Jerónimo Domina
(ast. Santiago Lopez Grobin)
10'
6'
Adrián Balboa
36'
(ast. Santiago Esquivel)
Tomas Adoryan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 62% win probability (draw 17%, Banfield 20%). The final result was Tigre 1–2 Banfield. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Banfield.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
2.46
Actual xG
0.67
0
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
Adrián Balboa⚽
⚽Jerónimo Domina
· ast. Santiago Lopez Grobin
10'
29'
David Zalazar
Luciano Minniti
29'
Santiago Lopez Grobin
30'
36'
ast. Santiago Esquivel ·
Tomas Adoryan⚽
Jerónimo Domina
45'+2
45'
Juan Luis Alfaro
54'
Thomas Rodríguez
/
Federico Medina
71'
Brandon Oviedo
/
Lisandro Geronimo Piñero
Santiago Lopez Grobin
/ Alfio Oviedo
73'
Valentín Moreno
/ Manuel Fernández
78'
Jerónimo Domina
/ Martin Garay
78'
80'
Jeremías Acosta
/
Adrián Balboa
80'
Nehuén Paz
/
David Zalazar
85'
Tomas Adoryan
Federico Alvarez
/ Juan Villalba
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
62.77%
Tigre
17.09%
X
20.14%
Banfield ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Banfield)
20.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.82
2.46
-0.36
1.46
0.67
-0.8
Tigre dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
24
F. Álvarez
89'
D
F. Álvarez
89'
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
A. Barrionuevo
D
2
J. Laso
D
J. Laso
D
4
V. Moreno
78'
D
V. Moreno
78'
D
22
S. López
1 👟
73'
M
S. López
1 👟
73'
M
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
27
S. González
M
S. González
M
10
J. Saralegui
M
J. Saralegui
M
29
I. Russo
F
I. Russo
F
30
J. Dómina
1 ⚽
78'
F
J. Dómina
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
47
A. Lezcano
M
A. Lezcano
M
19
A. Oviedo
17'
F
A. Oviedo
17'
F
23
G. Requena
D
G. Requena
D
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
25
Ian Martin Subiabre
F
Ian Martin Subiabre
F
50
I. Peluffo
F
I. Peluffo
F
32
J. Villalba
1'
D
J. Villalba
1'
D
40
L. Minniti
D
L. Minniti
D
26
L. Morales
G
L. Morales
G
18
M. Fernández
12'
F
M. Fernández
12'
F
8
M. Garay
12'
M
M. Garay
12'
M
11
T. Serrago
M
T. Serrago
M
50
D. Rodríguez
G
D. Rodríguez
G
27
I. Abraham
D
I. Abraham
D
6
N. Meriano
D
N. Meriano
D
2
S. Daniele
D
S. Daniele
D
4
J. Alfaro
D
J. Alfaro
D
20
T. Adoryán
1 ⚽
M
T. Adoryán
1 ⚽
M
5
Santiago Esquivel
1 👟
M
Santiago Esquivel
1 👟
M
40
D. Zalazar
80'
M
D. Zalazar
80'
M
7
Lisandro Piñero
71'
M
Lisandro Piñero
71'
M
18
Federico Medina
54'
M
Federico Medina
54'
M
9
A. Balboa
1 ⚽
80'
F
A. Balboa
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
13
Brandon Oviedo
19'
D
Brandon Oviedo
19'
D
30
F. Anselmo
F
F. Anselmo
F
25
G. Santilli
G
G. Santilli
G
35
I. Pais
M
I. Pais
M
16
J. Acosta
10'
F
J. Acosta
10'
F
19
L. Cano
D
L. Cano
D
21
L. Villegas
M
L. Villegas
M
28
M. Hernández
F
M. Hernández
F
3
N. Paz
10'
D
N. Paz
10'
D
37
R. Malanca
D
R. Malanca
D
24
S. López
M
S. López
M
77
T. Rodríguez
36'
F
T. Rodríguez
36'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Balboa
F · Banfield
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
T. Adoryán
M · Banfield
7.40
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 21 pass
J. Dómina
F · Tigre
7.27
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
J. Saralegui
M · Tigre
7.20
4 shots
· 46 pass
D. Rodríguez
G · Banfield
7.18
· 25 pass
Santiago Esquivel
M · Banfield
7.17
1 👟
· 27 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 89 | 6.59 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 6 | 70 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Laso | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 78 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 73 | 6.44 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| S. González | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dómina | F | 78 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Oviedo | F | 17 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Villalba | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fernández | F | 12 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 12 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Banfield — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rodríguez | G | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Abraham | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Meriano | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Daniele | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Alfaro | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| T. Adoryán | M | 90 | 7.40 | 1 | — | 4 | 21 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Esquivel | M | 90 | 7.17 | — | 1 | 0 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zalazar | M | 80 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Piñero | M | 71 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Medina | M | 54 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Balboa | F | 80 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Brandon Oviedo | D | 19 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Acosta | F | 10 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Paz | D | 10 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | F | 36 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs Banfield?
The final score was Tigre 1–2 Banfield.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs Banfield?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Tigre win, 17% to a draw, and 20% to an Banfield win.