Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 29, 2026 00:00
Santiago López
(ast. Nahuel Banegas)
82'
11'
Maximiliano Gómez
31'
(ast. Tomas Veron Lupi)
Maximiliano Silvera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Club Nacional 25%). The final result was Tigre 1–2 Club Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Club Nacional.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
0.93
Actual xG
0.81
1
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
6
24
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
Maximiliano Gómez⚽
31'
ast. Tomas Veron Lupi ·
Maximiliano Silvera⚽
33'
51'
Lucas Rodríguez
56'
Agustín Dos Santos
Santiago González
/ Martín Garay
58'
59'
Nicolás Lodeiro
/
Agustín Dos Santos
Ignacio Russo
71'
73'
Emiliano Ancheta
73'
Rodrigo Martínez
/
Tomas Veron Lupi
Jabes Saralegui
/ Alfio Oviedo
81'
Gonzalo Martínez
/ Elías Cabrera
81'
⚽Santiago López
· ast. Nahuel Banegas
82'
Santiago López
83'
83'
Pável Núñez
/
Maximiliano Silvera
83'
Santiago Silva
/
Lucas Rodríguez
89'
Maximiliano Gómez
Tiago Serrago
90'
Santiago López
/ Tiago Serrago
90'
Ignacio Russo
/ Federico Álvarez
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.27%
Tigre
32.48%
X
25.25%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club Nacional)
25.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.93
-0.14
0.50
0.81
+0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
3
N. Banegas
1 👟
D
N. Banegas
1 👟
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
A. Barrionuevo
D
2
J. Laso
D
J. Laso
D
4
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
22
S. López
1 ⚽
89'
M
S. López
1 ⚽
89'
M
27
S. González
58'
M
S. González
58'
M
30
J. Elías
M
J. Elías
M
10
J. Saralegui
81'
M
J. Saralegui
81'
M
29
I. Russo
89'
F
I. Russo
89'
F
28
P. Martínez
81'
F
P. Martínez
81'
F
Bench
47
A. Lezcano
M
A. Lezcano
M
19
A. Oviedo
9'
F
A. Oviedo
9'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
9'
M
Elías Cabrera
9'
M
24
F. Álvarez
1'
D
F. Álvarez
1'
D
23
G. Requena
D
G. Requena
D
50
I. Peluffo
F
I. Peluffo
F
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
40
L. Minniti
D
L. Minniti
D
77
Marco Rivas
M
Marco Rivas
M
8
M. Garay
32'
M
M. Garay
32'
M
11
T. Serrago
1'
M
T. Serrago
1'
M
22
A. Martín Arias
G
21
C. Cándido
D
5
F. Calvo
D
2
A. Rogel
D
13
E. Ancheta
D
23
L. Rodríguez
83'
M
6
L. Boggio
M
10
Agustín Dos Santos
59'
M
27
T. Verón
1 👟
73'
M
11
M. Silvera
1 ⚽
83'
F
9
M. Gómez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
24
Benjamín Núñez
D
56
Juan García
M
39
L. Gonzalez
M
1
L. Mejía
G
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
31'
M
7
N. Rodríguez
D
18
Pável Núñez
13'
F
15
P. Calione
D
P. Calione
D
31
R. Martinez
17'
M
8
S. Silva
13'
M
29
T. Correa
F
32
T. Viera
D
Best on the pitch
P. Martínez
F · Tigre
7.70
2 shots
· 24 pass
T. Verón
M · Club
7.30
1 👟
· 23 pass
E. Ancheta
D · Club
7.30
· 58 pass
M. Silvera
F · Club
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
A. Rogel
D · Club
7.20
· 71 pass
N. Banegas
D · Tigre
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 39 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Banegas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Laso | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 89 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. González | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Martínez | F | 81 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Oviedo | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Elías Cabrera | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Serrago | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Martín Arias | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Cándido | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Calvo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 79 | 68% | — | — | — |
| A. Rogel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ancheta | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 43% | 5 | 1 | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Boggio | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Verón | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 12% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Silvera | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Gómez | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Lodeiro | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Pável Núñez | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Martinez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Silva | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs Club Nacional?
The final score was Tigre 1–2 Club Nacional.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs Club Nacional?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Tigre win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Club Nacional win.