Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 00:00
54'
(ast. Matías Miranda)
Federico Paz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 33% win probability (draw 41%, Macara 25%). The final result was Tigre 0–1 Macara. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Macara.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
0.93
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
3
21
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
-5'
Luca Ferro
36'
Luis Ayala
37'
Santiago Etchebarne
54'
ast. Matías Miranda ·
Federico Paz⚽
58'
Gonzalo Martínez
59'
Ignacio Russo
61'
Santiago López
/ Manuel Fernandez
74'
Martín Garay
/ Valentín Moreno
74'
Jalil Elias
/ Elías Cabrera
74'
77'
Luca Ferro
/
Franco Posse
77'
Leonar Espinoza
/
Mateo Viera
81'
Martin Tello
/
Matías Miranda
90'
Jeison Chala
/
Jean Carlos Estacio
Pre-match prediction
33.11%
Tigre
41.32%
X
25.57%
Macara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Macara)
25.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.63
0.93
+0.3
0.45
0.65
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (0.93 – 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
20
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
8
M. Garay
74'
D
M. Garay
74'
D
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
30
J. Elías
74'
M
J. Elías
74'
M
22
S. López
74'
M
S. López
74'
M
28
P. Martínez
59'
M
P. Martínez
59'
M
10
J. Saralegui
M
J. Saralegui
M
29
I. Russo
F
I. Russo
F
Bench
33
E. Cabrera
16'
M
E. Cabrera
16'
M
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
55
J. Mosqueira
M
J. Mosqueira
M
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
21
S. Medina
M
S. Medina
M
11
T. Serrago
M
T. Serrago
M
4
V. Moreno
16'
D
V. Moreno
16'
D
1
G
13
L. Ayala
D
L. Ayala
D
14
José Luis Marrufo
D
José Luis Marrufo
D
21
S. Etchebarne
D
S. Etchebarne
D
5
Jean Carlos Estacio
89'
D
Jean Carlos Estacio
89'
D
10
M. Miranda
1 👟
81'
M
M. Miranda
1 👟
81'
M
16
J. Cazares
M
J. Cazares
M
8
Gaston Blanc
M
Gaston Blanc
M
7
F. Paz
1 ⚽
F
F. Paz
1 ⚽
F
9
Franco Posse
77'
F
Franco Posse
77'
F
20
Mateo Viera
77'
F
Mateo Viera
77'
F
Bench
27
Jordán Mohor
M
Jordán Mohor
M
11
Leonar Espinoza
13'
M
Leonar Espinoza
13'
M
22
Luca Ferro
13'
F
Luca Ferro
13'
F
15
M. Tello
9'
M
M. Tello
9'
M
30
Tommy Chamba
M
Tommy Chamba
M
Best on the pitch
F. Paz
F · Macara
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
Jean Carlos Estacio
D · Macara
7.60
1 shots
· 34 pass
José Luis Marrufo
D · Macara
7.50
· 34 pass
G · Macara
7.50
· 29 pass
Gaston Blanc
M · Macara
7.30
· 42 pass
J. Cazares
M · Macara
7.30
· 46 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Banegas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| Ramón Arias | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Garay | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Martínez | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | 1 |
| J. Saralegui | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Macara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| L. Ayala | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| José Luis Marrufo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Etchebarne | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Estacio | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Miranda | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Gaston Blanc | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Paz | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Franco Posse | F | 77 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Viera | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonar Espinoza | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Ferro | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tello | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs Macara?
The final score was Tigre 0–1 Macara.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs Macara?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Tigre win, 41% to a draw, and 25% to an Macara win.