Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 4
August 08, 2026 22:00
I. Russo
(ast. J. Saralegui)
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 32% win probability (draw 36%, River Plate 31%). The final result was Tigre 1–0 River Plate. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for River Plate.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.62
Actual xG
0.38
1
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
4
24
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
P. Martinez
/ T. Serrago
4'
J. Elias
41'
45'+4
A. Moreno
N. Banegas
62'
J. Elias
/ S. Gonzalez
71'
N. Banegas
/ F. Alvarez
71'
74'
T. Andrada
77'
R. Borre
/
J. Freitas
⚽I. Russo
· ast. J. Saralegui
78'
81'
L. Martinez Quarta
J. Saralegui
/ N. Dubersarsky
85'
S. Lopez
/ J. Villalba
85'
85'
L. Pereyra
/
T. Galvan
Pre-match prediction
32.1%
Tigre ←
36.41%
X
31.48%
River
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
32.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
0.62
-0.1
0.68
0.38
-0.3
xG dominance was balanced (0.62 – 0.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
3
N. Banegas
71'
D
N. Banegas
71'
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
A. Barrionuevo
D
2
Joaquín Laso
D
Joaquín Laso
D
4
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
22
S. López
85'
M
S. López
85'
M
30
J. Elías
71'
M
J. Elías
71'
M
8
M. Garay
M
M. Garay
M
10
J. Saralegui
1 👟
85'
M
J. Saralegui
1 👟
85'
M
28
P. Martínez
4'
F
P. Martínez
4'
F
29
I. Russo
1 ⚽
F
I. Russo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
F
Alfio Oviedo
F
24
F. Álvarez
23'
D
F. Álvarez
23'
D
23
G. Requena
D
G. Requena
D
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
25
Ian Martin Subiabre
F
Ian Martin Subiabre
F
50
I. Peluffo
F
I. Peluffo
F
32
J. Villalba
9'
D
J. Villalba
9'
D
26
L. Morales
G
L. Morales
G
16
Nicolas Dubersarsky
9'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
9'
M
27
S. González
23'
M
S. González
23'
M
21
S. Medina
M
S. Medina
M
11
T. Serrago
90'
M
T. Serrago
90'
M
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
3
F. Ortega
D
F. Ortega
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
50
T. Andrada
M
T. Andrada
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
M
Aníbal Moreno
M
26
T. Galván
85'
M
T. Galván
85'
M
10
Á. Correa
M
Á. Correa
M
35
J. Freitas
77'
M
J. Freitas
77'
M
18
L. Beltrán
F
L. Beltrán
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
31
Facundo González
D
Facundo González
D
15
F. Vera
M
F. Vera
M
20
G. González
D
G. González
D
24
J. Meza
M
J. Meza
M
25
L. Pereyra
9'
M
L. Pereyra
9'
M
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
19
R. Borré
17'
F
R. Borré
17'
F
43
V. Lucero
M
V. Lucero
M
Best on the pitch
N. Otamendi
D · River
8.20
· 102 pass
I. Russo
F · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
A. Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.60
1 shots
· 41 pass
G. Montiel
D · River
7.20
· 110 pass
F. Zenobio
G · Tigre
7.20
· 30 pass
N. Banegas
D · Tigre
7.20
· 23 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| N. Banegas | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elías | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Garay | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Martínez | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Villalba | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. González | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Serrago | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F. Ortega | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 102 | 92% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 110 | 95% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Andrada | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 68% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Galván | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Freitas | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | F | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pereyra | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs River Plate?
The final score was Tigre 1–0 River Plate.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs River Plate?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Tigre win, 36% to a draw, and 31% to an River Plate win.