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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 4 August 08, 2026 22:00
Tigre
#10 · 20 pts
1 – 0
Final score
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
I. Russo (ast. J. Saralegui) 78'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 32% win probability (draw 36%, River Plate 31%). The final result was Tigre 1–0 River Plate. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for River Plate.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.62
Actual xG
0.38
1
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
1
Corners
4
24
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
↕ P. Martinez / T. Serrago
4'
J. Elias
41'
45'+4
A. Moreno
N. Banegas
62'
↕ J. Elias / S. Gonzalez
71'
↕ N. Banegas / F. Alvarez
71'
74'
T. Andrada
77'
R. Borre / J. Freitas ↕
⚽I. Russo · ast. J. Saralegui
78'
81'
L. Martinez Quarta
↕ J. Saralegui / N. Dubersarsky
85'
↕ S. Lopez / J. Villalba
85'
85'
L. Pereyra / T. Galvan ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.1%
Tigre ←
36.41%
X
31.48%
River
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre) 32.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tigre
0.72
0.62
-0.1
River
0.68
0.38
-0.3
xG dominance was balanced (0.62 – 0.38). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
Tigre Tigre 4-4-1-1
12 F. Zenobio F. Zenobio G 7.20
3 N. Banegas N. Banegas 71' D 7.20
20 A. Barrionuevo A. Barrionuevo D 7.60
2 J. Laso J. Laso D 7.00
4 V. Moreno V. Moreno D 7.00
22 S. López S. López 85' M 6.30
30 J. Elías J. Elías 71' M 6.70
8 M. Garay M. Garay M 6.90
10 J. Saralegui J. Saralegui 1 👟 85' M 6.90
28 P. Martínez P. Martínez 4' F
29 I. Russo I. Russo 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
19 A. Oviedo A. Oviedo F
24 F. Álvarez F. Álvarez 23' D 6.90
23 G. Requena G. Requena D
17 G. Soto G. Soto D
25 Ian Martin Subiabre Ian Martin Subiabre F
50 I. Peluffo I. Peluffo F
32 J. Villalba J. Villalba 9' D 6.30
26 L. Morales L. Morales G
16 N. Dubersarsky N. Dubersarsky 9' M 6.70
27 S. González S. González 23' M 6.60
21 S. Medina S. Medina M
11 T. Serrago T. Serrago 90' M 6.50
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 6.30
3 F. Ortega F. Ortega D 6.50
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez D 6.90
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 8.20
29 G. Montiel G. Montiel D 7.20
50 T. Andrada T. Andrada M 6.90
6 A. Moreno A. Moreno M 6.30
26 T. Galván T. Galván 85' M 6.50
10 Á. Correa Á. Correa M 6.20
35 Joaquín Freitas Joaquín Freitas 77' M 6.30
18 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán F 6.00
Bench
33 E. Centurión E. Centurión G
31 Facundo González Facundo González D
15 F. Vera F. Vera M
20 G. González G. González D
24 J. Meza J. Meza M
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra 9' M 6.30
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero D
44 L. Silva L. Silva M
19 R. Borré R. Borré 17' F 6.30
43 V. Lucero V. Lucero M
Best on the pitch
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
D · River
8.20
· 102 pass
I. Russo
I. Russo
F · Tigre
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
A. Barrionuevo
A. Barrionuevo
D · Tigre
7.60
1 shots · 41 pass
G. Montiel
G. Montiel
D · River
7.20
· 110 pass
F. Zenobio
F. Zenobio
G · Tigre
7.20
· 30 pass
N. Banegas
N. Banegas
D · Tigre
7.20
· 23 pass
Tigre Tigre — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Zenobio G 94 7.20 — — — 30 20% — — —
N. Banegas D 71 7.20 — — — 23 14% 3 1 —
A. Barrionuevo D 94 7.60 — — 1 41 34% 1 — —
J. Laso D 94 7.00 — — — 44 31% — — —
V. Moreno D 94 7.00 — — — 20 14% 2 — —
S. López M 85 6.30 — — — 20 12% 2 — —
J. Elías M 71 6.70 — — — 19 16% 1 1 —
M. Garay M 94 6.90 — — — 40 26% 6 — —
J. Saralegui M 85 6.90 — 1 1 15 5% 1 — —
P. Martínez F 4 — — — — — — — — —
I. Russo F 94 7.90 1 — 1 16 11% 2 — —
F. Álvarez D 23 6.90 — — — 8 5% 3 — —
J. Villalba D 9 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
N. Dubersarsky M 9 6.70 — — — — — — — —
S. González M 23 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
T. Serrago M 90 6.50 — — 1 14 10% 3 — —
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 94 6.30 — — — 19 14% — — —
F. Ortega D 94 6.50 — — 1 50 44% — — —
L. Martínez D 94 6.90 — — 1 70 65% 2 1 —
N. Otamendi D 94 8.20 — — — 102 92% 5 — —
G. Montiel D 94 7.20 — — — 110 95% 3 — —
T. Andrada M 94 6.90 — — 1 85 68% 4 1 —
A. Moreno M 94 6.30 — — — 72 66% 2 1 —
T. Galván M 85 6.50 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Á. Correa M 94 6.20 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
Joaquín Freitas M 77 6.30 — — 1 48 40% 3 — —
L. Beltrán F 94 6.00 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
L. Pereyra M 9 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
R. Borré F 17 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs River Plate?
The final score was Tigre 1–0 River Plate.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs River Plate?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Tigre win, 36% to a draw, and 31% to an River Plate win.