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Tigre - Rosario Central

Liga Profesional September 13, 2026 19:45
Tigre
#8 · 12 pts
vs
Rosario Central
#4 · 28 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.31%
Win
Tigre
27.32%
Draw
32.37%
Win
Rosario Central
1.23
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.83%)
1X2 Result ✓ 85.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1 40%
X 27%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 60%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 39%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tigre a 40% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rosario Central. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tigre and 1.1 for Rosario Central (total 2.3), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.83% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Tigre have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rosario Central.

Season Stats

Tigre
3W 7D 5L
Rosario Central
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.1
3.3
Shots OT
4.0
3.8
Corners
5.2
48%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Profesional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Tigre
3W 6D 1L · at home
Rosario Central
4W 2D 4L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.1
30%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
60%
20%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tigre Rosario Central →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9% 10.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Tigre Tigre
L Gimnasia L.P. 2–1
D Barracas Central 0–0
W Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1
D Aldosivi 0–0
W River Plate 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Rosario Central Rosario Central
D Newells Old Boys 1–1
L Gimnasia L.P. 1–2
D Talleres Cordoba 2–2
W Barracas Central 0–1
W Aldosivi 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Tigre Tigre
Attack
29
Defence
72
Form
55
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Attack
35
Defence
67
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Tigre
1
Draw
0
Rosario Central
3 May 2026 Liga Profesional 1–1

Clausura - Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 8 17
2 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 8 15
3 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 8 15
4 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 9 14
5 River Plate River Plate 9 13
6 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 9 13
7 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 8 12
8 Tigre Tigre 8 12
9 Rosario Central Rosario Central 8 12
10 Barracas Central Barracas Central 8 11
11 Huracan Huracan 8 10
12 Banfield Banfield 8 7
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 8 6
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 9 5
15 Racing Club Racing Club 8 5

What's at stake · Clausura - Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Tigre Rosario Central
Current #8 #1
→ Tigre #3 #9
→ Draw #7 #8
→ Rosario Central #9 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tigre vs Rosario Central?
The model gives Tigre a 40% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 32% for an Rosario Central win.
How many goals are expected in Tigre vs Rosario Central?
Expected goals: Tigre 1.2, Rosario Central 1.1 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Tigre vs Rosario Central?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.83%.