Liga MX
· Apertura - 2
July 26, 2026 05:00
F. Gorriaran
(ast. Joaquim)
11'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
(ast. J. Brunetta)
53'
39'
R. Llorente
89'
(ast. R. Torres)
D. Rodriguez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico San Luis 31%). The final result was Tigres UANL 2–2 Atletico San Luis. In 2 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico San Luis.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
0.47
43%
Possession
57%
9
Corners
3
Match Events
⚽F. Gorriaran
· ast. Joaquim
11'
C. Araujo
13'
39'
R. Llorente⚽
45'+4
Robson Bambu
⚽D. A. Sanchez Guevara
· ast. J. Brunetta
53'
69'
R. Meraz
/
L. Flores
C. Araujo
/ A. Franco
74'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
/ J. Vigon
82'
82'
R. Najera
/
M. Garcia
82'
S. Munoz
/
R. Llorente
82'
S. Perez
/
O. Macias
A. Franco
86'
87'
A. Duarte
/
Lucas Esteves
89'
ast. R. Torres ·
D. Rodriguez⚽
V. Lorona
/ A. de Maria Campos
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
37.13%
Tigres
31.83%
X ←
31.04%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.17
-0.41
1.05
0.47
-0.58
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?
The final score was Tigres UANL 2–2 Atletico San Luis.
What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico San Luis win.