Liga MX
· Clausura - Quarter-finals
May 03, 2026 03:00
J. Angulo
(ast. J. Brunetta)
45'
J. Brunetta
53'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
55'
11'
R. Marin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Guadalajara Chivas 22%). The final result was Tigres UANL 3–1 Guadalajara Chivas. In 3 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
1
1.57
Actual xG
0.76
0
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
4
13
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
R. Marin⚽
R. Aguirre
32'
33'
O. Govea
F. Gorriaran
38'
⚽J. Angulo
· ast. J. Brunetta
45'
F. Reyes
/ D. A. Sanchez Guevara
46'
⚽J. Brunetta
53'
⚽D. A. Sanchez Guevara
55'
61'
A. Sepulveda
/
S. Sandoval
R. Aguirre
/ J. Vigon
65'
68'
Y. Padilla
/
E. Alvarez
68'
M. Gomez
/
R. Ledezma
J. Angulo
/ R. Guerrero
80'
80'
S. Aguayo
/
R. Marin
D. Lainez
/ V. Lorona
86'
J. Brunetta
/ A. Gignac
86'
A. Correa
89'
R. Guerrero
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
49.39%
Tigres ←
28.1%
X
22.51%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Tigres UANL)
49.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
1.57
-0.1
1.04
0.76
-0.28
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.57 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
Francisco Reyes
45'
D
Francisco Reyes
45'
D
27
Jesús Angulo
1 ⚽
80'
D
Jesús Angulo
1 ⚽
80'
D
23
Rômulo
D
Rômulo
D
14
D
8
F. Gorriarán
M
F. Gorriarán
M
5
C. Araújo
M
C. Araújo
M
7
Á. Correa
M
Á. Correa
M
11
J. Brunetta
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
J. Brunetta
1 ⚽
1 👟
86'
M
16
D. Lainez
86'
M
D. Lainez
86'
M
17
R. Aguirre
65'
F
R. Aguirre
65'
F
Bench
10
André-Pierre Gignac
8'
F
André-Pierre Gignac
8'
F
30
D. Sánchez
1 ⚽
45'
F
D. Sánchez
1 ⚽
45'
F
20
Marcelo Flores
M
Marcelo Flores
M
33
R. Guerrero
10'
D
R. Guerrero
10'
D
204
Simeone
M
Simeone
M
32
Vladimir Loroña
8'
D
Vladimir Loroña
8'
D
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
5
Bryan González
D
Bryan González
D
4
D
19
D. Campillo
D
D. Campillo
D
2
José Castillo
D
José Castillo
D
10
E. Álvarez
68'
M
E. Álvarez
68'
M
28
R. González
M
R. González
M
6
O. Govea
M
O. Govea
M
37
R. Ledezma
68'
M
R. Ledezma
68'
M
17
R. Marín
1 ⚽
80'
F
R. Marín
1 ⚽
80'
F
226
61'
F
Bench
24
Miguel Gómez
22'
D
Miguel Gómez
22'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Brunetta
M · Tigres
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 32 pass
Jesús Angulo
D · Tigres
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 86 pass
O. Govea
M · Guadalajara
7.50
· 60 pass
D. Sánchez
F · Tigres
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Miguel Gómez
D · Guadalajara
7.50
· 8 pass
Á. Correa
M · Tigres
7.30
2 shots
· 37 pass
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Francisco Reyes | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Angulo | D | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 86 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 97 | 91% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 4 | — | — | |
| F. Gorriarán | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Araújo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Brunetta | M | 86 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D. Lainez | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André-Pierre Gignac | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Sánchez | F | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Guerrero | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Vladimir Loroña | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Whalley | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Bryan González | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Campillo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| José Castillo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. González | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Govea | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Ledezma | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Marín | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Miguel Gómez | D | 22 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Tigres UANL 3–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.