Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán — pre-match prediction — Liga MX — April 26, 2026

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Liga MX · Clausura - 17 April 26, 2026 01:00

Tigres UANL

#2 · 36 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Mazatlán

#16 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Tigres UANL

J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 15'

A. Correa (ast. O. Herrera) 58'

J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 63'

D. A. Sanchez Guevara (ast. A. Correa) 81'

O. Herrera (ast. A. Correa) 84'

78' (ast. Fabio Gomes) G. Lopez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 73% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 10%). The final result was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán. In 1 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mazatlán.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.86

Actual xG

0.32

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa

15'

Romulo

22'

35'

M. Zaleta

46'

Fabio Gomes / S. Godinez ↕

46'

G. Lopez / J. Esquivel ↕

46'

M. Lainez / M. Zaleta ↕

↕ D. Lainez / O. Herrera

55'

↕ A. Gignac / J. Vigon

56'

↕ M. Flores / D. A. Sanchez Guevara

56'

⚽A. Correa · ast. O. Herrera

58'

60'

B. Arce / Y. Barcenas ↕

↕ C. Araujo / Simeone

62'

⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa

63'

69'

L. Carrillo / B. Rubio ↕

78'

ast. Fabio Gomes · G. Lopez⚽

⚽D. A. Sanchez Guevara · ast. A. Correa

81'

⚽O. Herrera · ast. A. Correa

84'

↕ J. Angulo / R. Guerrero

86'

Pre-match prediction

73.95%

Tigres ←

15.77%

10.28%

Mazatlán

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tigres UANL) 73.95% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Tigres

2.53

1.86

-0.67

Mazatlán

0.75

0.32

-0.43

Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monterrey	2	3
1	Toluca	17	37
1	Guadalajara Chivas	16	35
1	Toluca	2	3
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	36
1	CF Pachuca	1	3
1	Cruz Azul	2	4
1	FC Juarez	1	3
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
2	Tigres UANL	2	3
2	Toluca	2	3
2	CF Pachuca	1	0
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	36
2	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	33
2	Toluca	2	4
2	Club Tijuana	1	3
3	Tigres UANL	2	3
3	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	0
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
3	Cruz Azul	17	33
3	Cruz Azul	2	2
3	CF Pachuca	16	31
4	Tigres UANL	2	2
4	Cruz Azul	16	30
4	Monterrey	2	3
4	Club America	17	34
4	FC Juarez	1	0
4	CF Pachuca	17	31
5	Toluca	16	27
5	Toluca	17	30
5	Monterrey	17	31
5	Club America	2	3
6	Atlas	17	26
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
6	Club Tijuana	2	3
6	Club America	16	25
7	Atlas	16	23
7	Tigres UANL	17	25
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
7	Guadalajara Chivas	2	1
8	FC Juarez	17	23
8	Club America	17	25
8	FC Juarez	2	1
8	Tigres UANL	16	22
9	Club Tijuana	17	23
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	22
10	Leon	16	22
10	Leon	17	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
11	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
12	FC Juarez	17	19
12	Monterrey	16	18
13	Monterrey	17	18
13	Atletico San Luis	16	18
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atletico San Luis	17	18
14	Atlas	17	17
14	Necaxa	16	18
15	Necaxa	17	18
15	FC Juarez	16	16
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
16	Mazatlán	17	15
16	Mazatlán	17	14
16	Mazatlán	16	15
17	Leon	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
17	Puebla	17	13
18	Santos Laguna	17	12
18	Puebla	17	12
18	Santos Laguna	16	9

Lineups

Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1

G 6.50

Diego Reyes D 6.50

Jesús Angulo 86' D 6.90

Rômulo Zwarg D 6.90

D 6.30

Juan Brunetta 2 ⚽ M 9.30

César Araújo 62' M 7.70

Marcelo Flores 56' M 7.00

Ángel Correa 1 ⚽ 4 👟 M 10.00

Diego Lainez 55' M 7.30

André-Pierre Gignac 56' F 6.00

Bench

Diego Sánchez 1 ⚽ 34' F 8.30

O. Herrera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 35' F 7.90

Rafael Guerrero 8' D 6.60

R. Aguirre F

204

Simeone 28' M 6.90

Mazatlán 5-4-1

G 6.00

M. Zaleta 45' D 6.60

J. Diaz D 5.90

J. Esquivel 45' D 6.60

F. Almada D 5.90

D 5.50

J. Ovalle M 6.20

45' M 6.30

Y. Barcenas 60' M 6.70

M 5.90

Brian Rubio 69' F 6.70

Bench

Angel Leyva D

B. Arce 30' M 6.20

D. Hernandez F

Fabio Gomes 1 👟 45' F 6.70

193

G. Lopez 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90

Best on the pitch

Ángel Correa

M · Tigres

10.00

1 ⚽ 4 👟

3 shots · 48 pass

Juan Brunetta

M · Tigres

9.30

2 ⚽

5 shots · 59 pass

Diego Sánchez

F · Tigres

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

G. Lopez

F · Mazatlán

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

O. Herrera

F · Tigres

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 8 pass

César Araújo

M · Tigres

7.70

· 41 pass

Tigres UANL — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	41	37%	—	—	—
Diego Reyes	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	45	42%	5	—	—
Jesús Angulo	D	86	6.90	—	—	—	60	57%	—	—	—
Rômulo Zwarg	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	68	61%	1	1	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	46	43%	2	—	—
Juan Brunetta	M	90	9.30	2	—	5	59	50%	1	—	—
César Araújo	M	62	7.70	—	—	—	41	39%	3	—	—
Marcelo Flores	M	56	7.00	—	—	1	11	10%	—	—	—
Ángel Correa	M	90	10.00	1	4	3	48	43%	2	—	—
Diego Lainez	M	55	7.30	—	—	1	33	29%	—	—	—
André-Pierre Gignac	F	56	6.00	—	—	3	7	5%	—	—	—
Diego Sánchez	F	34	8.30	1	—	2	16	13%	1	—	—
O. Herrera	F	35	7.90	1	1	3	8	7%	—	—	—
Rafael Guerrero	D	8	6.60	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Simeone	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	23	20%	1	—	—

Mazatlán — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	26	15%	—	—	—
M. Zaleta	D	45	6.60	—	—	1	14	11%	3	1	—
J. Diaz	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	41	33%	4	—	—
J. Esquivel	D	45	6.60	—	—	1	10	7%	1	—	—
F. Almada	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	30	26%	—	—	—
	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	27	21%	2	—	—
J. Ovalle	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	17	13%	1	—	—
Y. Barcenas	M	60	6.70	—	—	2	25	21%	—	—	—
	M	90	5.90	—	—	—	21	19%	—	—	—
Brian Rubio	F	69	6.70	—	—	—	21	19%	—	—	—
B. Arce	M	30	6.20	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
Fabio Gomes	F	45	6.70	—	1	—	6	4%	—	—	—
G. Lopez	F	45	7.90	1	—	1	15	13%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?

The final score was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán.

What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?

The model assigned 73% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 15% to a draw, and 10% to an Mazatlán win.