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Liga MX · Clausura - 17 April 26, 2026 01:00
Tigres UANL
#15 · 15 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Mazatlán
✓Model correct — prediction Tigres UANL
J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 15'
A. Correa (ast. O. Herrera) 58'
J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 63'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara (ast. A. Correa) 81'
O. Herrera (ast. A. Correa) 84'
78' (ast. Fabio Gomes) G. Lopez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 73% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 10%). The final result was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán. In 1 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mazatlán.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
13
Shots on target
3
1.86
Actual xG
0.32
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
1
16
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa
15'
Romulo
22'
35'
M. Zaleta
46'
Fabio Gomes / S. Godinez ↕
46'
G. Lopez / J. Esquivel ↕
46'
M. Lainez / M. Zaleta ↕
↕ D. Lainez / O. Herrera
55'
↕ A. Gignac / J. Vigon
56'
↕ M. Flores / D. A. Sanchez Guevara
56'
⚽A. Correa · ast. O. Herrera
58'
60'
B. Arce / Y. Barcenas ↕
↕ C. Araujo / Simeone
62'
⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa
63'
69'
L. Carrillo / B. Rubio ↕
78'
ast. Fabio Gomes · G. Lopez⚽
⚽D. A. Sanchez Guevara · ast. A. Correa
81'
⚽O. Herrera · ast. A. Correa
84'
↕ J. Angulo / R. Guerrero
86'
Pre-match prediction
73.95%
Tigres ←
15.77%
X
10.28%
Mazatlán
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tigres UANL) 73.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tigres
2.53
1.86
-0.67
Mazatlán
0.75
0.32
-0.43
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
2 Francisco Reyes Francisco Reyes D 6.50
27 Jesús Angulo Jesús Angulo 86' D 6.90
23 Rômulo Rômulo D 6.90
14
D 6.30
11 J. Brunetta J. Brunetta 2 ⚽ M 9.30
5 C. Araújo C. Araújo 62' M 7.70
20 Marcelo Flores Marcelo Flores 56' M 7.00
7 Á. Correa Á. Correa 1 ⚽ 4 👟 M 10.00
16 D. Lainez D. Lainez 55' M 7.30
10 André-Pierre Gignac André-Pierre Gignac 56' F 6.00
Bench
30 D. Sánchez D. Sánchez 1 ⚽ 34' F 8.30
77 O. Herrera O. Herrera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 35' F 7.90
17 R. Aguirre R. Aguirre F
33 R. Guerrero R. Guerrero 8' D 6.60
204 Simeone Simeone 28' M 6.90
Mazatlán Mazatlán 5-4-1
33
G 6.00
14 M. Zaleta M. Zaleta 45' D 6.60
4 J. Díaz J. Díaz D 5.90
16
J. Esquivel 45' D 6.60
5 F. Almada F. Almada D 5.90
21
D 5.50
17 J. Ovalle J. Ovalle M 6.20
25
45' M 6.30
11 Y. Bárcenas Y. Bárcenas 60' M 6.70
7
M 5.90
15
Brian Rubio 69' F 6.70
Bench
26 Á. Leyva Á. Leyva D
9 B. Arce B. Arce 30' M 6.20
28
D. Hernandez F
90 Fábio Gomes Fábio Gomes 1 👟 45' F 6.70
193
G. Lopez 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90
Best on the pitch
Á. Correa
Á. Correa
M · Tigres
10.00
1 ⚽ 4 👟
3 shots · 48 pass
J. Brunetta
J. Brunetta
M · Tigres
9.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 59 pass
D. Sánchez
D. Sánchez
F · Tigres
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
G. Lopez
F · Mazatlán
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
O. Herrera
O. Herrera
F · Tigres
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 8 pass
C. Araújo
C. Araújo
M · Tigres
7.70
· 41 pass
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 41 37% — — —
Francisco Reyes D 90 6.50 — — — 45 42% 5 — —
Jesús Angulo D 86 6.90 — — — 60 57% — — —
Rômulo D 90 6.90 — — 1 68 61% 1 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 46 43% 2 — —
J. Brunetta M 90 9.30 2 — 5 59 50% 1 — —
C. Araújo M 62 7.70 — — — 41 39% 3 — —
Marcelo Flores M 56 7.00 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Á. Correa M 90 10.00 1 4 3 48 43% 2 — —
D. Lainez M 55 7.30 — — 1 33 29% — — —
André-Pierre Gignac F 56 6.00 — — 3 7 5% — — —
D. Sánchez F 34 8.30 1 — 2 16 13% 1 — —
O. Herrera F 35 7.90 1 1 3 8 7% — — —
R. Guerrero D 8 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
Simeone M 28 6.90 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Mazatlán Mazatlán — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.00 — — — 26 15% — — —
M. Zaleta D 45 6.60 — — 1 14 11% 3 1 —
J. Díaz D 90 5.90 — — — 41 33% 4 — —
J. Esquivel D 45 6.60 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
F. Almada D 90 5.90 — — — 30 26% — — —
D 90 5.50 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
J. Ovalle M 90 6.20 — — — 21 15% 1 — —
M 45 6.30 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Y. Bárcenas M 60 6.70 — — 2 25 21% — — —
M 90 5.90 — — — 21 19% — — —
Brian Rubio F 69 6.70 — — — 21 19% — — —
B. Arce M 30 6.20 — — — 16 14% — — —
Fábio Gomes F 45 6.70 — 1 — 6 4% — — —
G. Lopez F 45 7.90 1 — 1 15 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
The final score was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán.
What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 15% to a draw, and 10% to an Mazatlán win.