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Liga MX · Clausura - 17 April 26, 2026 01:00
Tigres UANL
#2 · 36 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Mazatlán
#16 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Tigres UANL
J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 15'
A. Correa (ast. O. Herrera) 58'
J. Brunetta (ast. A. Correa) 63'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara (ast. A. Correa) 81'
O. Herrera (ast. A. Correa) 84'
78' (ast. Fabio Gomes) G. Lopez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 73% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 10%). The final result was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán. In 1 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mazatlán.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
5
13
Shots on target
3
1.86
Actual xG
0.32
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
1
16
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa
15'
Romulo
22'
35'
M. Zaleta
46'
Fabio Gomes / S. Godinez ↕
46'
G. Lopez / J. Esquivel ↕
46'
M. Lainez / M. Zaleta ↕
↕ D. Lainez / O. Herrera
55'
↕ A. Gignac / J. Vigon
56'
↕ M. Flores / D. A. Sanchez Guevara
56'
⚽A. Correa · ast. O. Herrera
58'
60'
B. Arce / Y. Barcenas ↕
↕ C. Araujo / Simeone
62'
⚽J. Brunetta · ast. A. Correa
63'
69'
L. Carrillo / B. Rubio ↕
78'
ast. Fabio Gomes · G. Lopez⚽
⚽D. A. Sanchez Guevara · ast. A. Correa
81'
⚽O. Herrera · ast. A. Correa
84'
↕ J. Angulo / R. Guerrero
86'
Pre-match prediction
73.95%
Tigres ←
15.77%
X
10.28%
Mazatlán
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Tigres UANL) 73.95% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tigres
2.53
1.86
-0.67
Mazatlán
0.75
0.32
-0.43
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Toluca Toluca 17 37
2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 17 36
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 17 35
4 Club America Club America 17 34
5 Monterrey Monterrey 17 31
6 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 17 29
7 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 17 24
8 FC Juarez FC Juarez 17 23
9 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 17 22
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 21
11 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 17 20
12 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 17 20
13 Necaxa Necaxa 17 17
14 Atlas Atlas 17 17
15 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 17 16
16 Mazatlán Mazatlán 17 14
17 Leon Leon 17 13
18 Puebla Puebla 17 12
Lineups
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
2 Diego Reyes Diego Reyes D 6.50
27 Jesús Angulo Jesús Angulo 86' D 6.90
23 Rômulo Zwarg Rômulo Zwarg D 6.90
14
D 6.30
11 J. Brunetta J. Brunetta 2 ⚽ M 9.30
5 C. Araújo C. Araújo 62' M 7.70
20 Marcelo Flores Marcelo Flores 56' M 7.00
7 Á. Correa Á. Correa 1 ⚽ 4 👟 M 10.00
16 D. Lainez D. Lainez 55' M 7.30
10 André-Pierre Gignac André-Pierre Gignac 56' F 6.00
Bench
30 Diego Sánchez Diego Sánchez 1 ⚽ 34' F 8.30
77 O. Herrera O. Herrera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 35' F 7.90
33 Rafael Guerrero Rafael Guerrero 8' D 6.60
17 Rodrigo Aguirre Rodrigo Aguirre F
204
Simeone 28' M 6.90
Mazatlán Mazatlán 5-4-1
33
G 6.00
14
M. Zaleta 45' D 6.60
4
J. Diaz D 5.90
16
J. Esquivel 45' D 6.60
5
F. Almada D 5.90
21
D 5.50
17
J. Ovalle M 6.20
25
45' M 6.30
11 Yoel Bárcenas Yoel Bárcenas 60' M 6.70
7
M 5.90
15
Brian Rubio 69' F 6.70
Bench
26
Angel Leyva D
9
B. Arce 30' M 6.20
28
D. Hernandez F
90
Fabio Gomes 1 👟 45' F 6.70
193
G. Lopez 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90
Best on the pitch
Á. Correa
Á. Correa
M · Tigres
10.00
1 ⚽ 4 👟
3 shots · 48 pass
J. Brunetta
J. Brunetta
M · Tigres
9.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 59 pass
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez
F · Tigres
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
G. Lopez
F · Mazatlán
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
O. Herrera
O. Herrera
F · Tigres
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 8 pass
C. Araújo
C. Araújo
M · Tigres
7.70
· 41 pass
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 41 37% — — —
Diego Reyes D 90 6.50 — — — 45 42% 5 — —
Jesús Angulo D 86 6.90 — — — 60 57% — — —
Rômulo Zwarg D 90 6.90 — — 1 68 61% 1 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 46 43% 2 — —
J. Brunetta M 90 9.30 2 — 5 59 50% 1 — —
C. Araújo M 62 7.70 — — — 41 39% 3 — —
Marcelo Flores M 56 7.00 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Á. Correa M 90 10.00 1 4 3 48 43% 2 — —
D. Lainez M 55 7.30 — — 1 33 29% — — —
André-Pierre Gignac F 56 6.00 — — 3 7 5% — — —
Diego Sánchez F 34 8.30 1 — 2 16 13% 1 — —
O. Herrera F 35 7.90 1 1 3 8 7% — — —
Rafael Guerrero D 8 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
Simeone M 28 6.90 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Mazatlán Mazatlán — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.00 — — — 26 15% — — —
M. Zaleta D 45 6.60 — — 1 14 11% 3 1 —
J. Diaz D 90 5.90 — — — 41 33% 4 — —
J. Esquivel D 45 6.60 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
F. Almada D 90 5.90 — — — 30 26% — — —
D 90 5.50 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
J. Ovalle M 90 6.20 — — — 21 15% 1 — —
M 45 6.30 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Yoel Bárcenas M 60 6.70 — — 2 25 21% — — —
M 90 5.90 — — — 21 19% — — —
Brian Rubio F 69 6.70 — — — 21 19% — — —
B. Arce M 30 6.20 — — — 16 14% — — —
Fabio Gomes F 45 6.70 — 1 — 6 4% — — —
G. Lopez F 45 7.90 1 — 1 15 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
The final score was Tigres UANL 5–1 Mazatlán.
What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 15% to a draw, and 10% to an Mazatlán win.