Tigres UANL - Minnesota United FC
Leagues Cup
August 08, 2026 03:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.38%
Win
Tigres UANL
30.37%
Draw
29.26%
Win
Minnesota United FC
1.74
1.15
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.96%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tigres UANL a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals are 1.7 for Tigres UANL and 1.1 for Minnesota United FC (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.96% probability.
Season Stats
6W
4D
5L
5W
5D
5L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.1
5.5
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
5.2
51%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
7W
2D
1L
· at home
4W
1D
5L
· away
2.4
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
2.1
70%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
80%
50%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Tigres UANL
Minnesota United FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Tigres UANL
Attack
33
Defence
73
Form
59
Minnesota United FC
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
The model gives Tigres UANL a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Minnesota United FC win.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
Expected goals: Tigres UANL 1.7, Minnesota United FC 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.96%.