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Tigres UANL - Minnesota United FC

Leagues Cup August 08, 2026 03:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.38%
Win
Tigres UANL
30.37%
Draw
29.26%
Win
Minnesota United FC
1.74
Expected xG
1.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.96%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tigres UANL a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Minnesota United FC. Expected goals are 1.7 for Tigres UANL and 1.1 for Minnesota United FC (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.96% probability.

Season Stats

Tigres UANL
6W 4D 5L
Minnesota United FC
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.1
5.5
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
5.2
51%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Tigres UANL
7W 2D 1L · at home
Minnesota United FC
4W 1D 5L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
2.1
70%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
80%
50%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Tigres UANL Minnesota United FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.1% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Attack
33
Defence
73
Form
59
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
The model gives Tigres UANL a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Minnesota United FC win.
How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
Expected goals: Tigres UANL 1.7, Minnesota United FC 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tigres UANL vs Minnesota United FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.96%.