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Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Liga de Expansión MX August 07, 2026 00:00 Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
Tlaxcala
#15 · 0 pts
vs
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
#16 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 13.3°C 💨 9 km/h · Tlaxcala
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.36%
Win
Tlaxcala
31.22%
Draw
30.42%
Win
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2.12
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.32%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tlaxcala a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Expected goals are 2.1 for Tlaxcala and 1.2 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca (total 3.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.32% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tlaxcala have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

Season Stats

Tlaxcala
5W 5D 5L
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.3
1.3
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
53%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Tlaxcala
5W 3D 2L · at home
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2W 2D 6L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.1
1.2
Conceded
2.4
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tlaxcala Alebrijes de Oaxaca →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
L Mineros de Zacatecas 3–1
L Leones Negros UDG 2–4
D Venados FC 2–2
D Monarcas 0–0
L Tapatío 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
L Dorados 0–2
L Venados FC 3–0
W Correcaminos Uat 1–3
L CDS Tampico Madero 1–2
L Tepatitlán 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
Attack
28
Defence
49
Form
32
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Attack
22
Defence
43
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Tlaxcala
1
Draw
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
14 Feb 2026 Liga de Expansión MX 0–0
6 Sep 2025 Liga de Expansión MX 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG 2 6
2 Durango Durango 2 6
3 Venados FC Venados FC 2 4
4 Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat 2 4
5 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2 4
6 Piratas Piratas 2 4
7 Tapatío Tapatío 2 4
8 Dorados Dorados 1 3
9 Monarcas Monarcas 2 3
10 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2 2
11 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2 1
12 Cancún Cancún 1 0
13 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2 0
14 Tepatitlán Tepatitlán 2 0
15 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 2 0
16 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
The model gives Tlaxcala a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Alebrijes de Oaxaca win.
How many goals are expected in Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Expected goals: Tlaxcala 2.1, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.2 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.32%.