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Tochigi City - Montedio Yamagata

J2 League May 16, 2026 07:00
Tochigi City
#9 · 18 pts
vs
Montedio Yamagata
#7 · 19 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 14.9°C 💨 3 km/h · Tochigi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.96%
Win
Tochigi City
28.8%
Draw
38.24%
Win
Montedio Yamagata
1.04
Expected xG
1.19

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Montedio Yamagata a 38% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tochigi City. Expected goals are 1.0 for Tochigi City and 1.2 for Montedio Yamagata (total 2.2), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Tochigi City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Montedio Yamagata.

Score Matrix
↕ Tochigi City Montedio Yamagata →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Tochigi City Tochigi City
D Thespakusatsu Gunma 0–0
D Yokohama FC 2–2
W Shonan Bellmare 1–2
L Sagamihara 1–0
W Tochigi SC 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata
L Sagamihara 2–3
L Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–2
D Tochigi SC 2–2
L Blaublitz Akita 2–0
L Vegalta Sendai 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Tochigi City Tochigi City
Attack
25
Defence
60
Form
45
Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata
Attack
28
Defence
67
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Tochigi City
0
Draw
0
Montedio Yamagata
W 29 Mar 2026 J2 League 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 16 37
1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 16 32
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 16 43
1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 16 40
2 Kochi United Kochi United 16 30
2 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 16 31
2 Iwaki Iwaki 16 28
2 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 16 30
3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 16 28
3 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 16 29
3 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 16 27
3 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 16 29
4 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 16 26
4 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 16 27
4 Sagamihara Sagamihara 16 27
4 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 16 28
5 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 16 25
5 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 16 26
5 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 16 23
5 Ehime FC Ehime FC 16 25
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma Thespakusatsu Gunma 16 20
6 FC Gifu FC Gifu 16 27
6 Kanazawa Kanazawa 16 22
6 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 16 22
7 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 16 23
7 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 16 21
7 Imabari Imabari 16 19
7 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 16 19
8 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 16 17
8 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 16 22
8 Nara Club Nara Club 16 18
8 Biwako Shiga Biwako Shiga 16 16
9 Osaka Osaka 16 17
9 Fukushima United Fukushima United 16 16
9 Tochigi City Tochigi City 16 18
9 Kitakyushu Kitakyushu 16 15
10 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 16 15
10 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 16 11
10 FC Ryukyu FC Ryukyu 16 15
10 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 16 16
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model gives Tochigi City a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 38% for an Montedio Yamagata win.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata?
Expected goals: Tochigi City 1.0, Montedio Yamagata 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Tochigi City vs Montedio Yamagata?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.