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Tochigi City - Omiya Ardija

J2 League November 08, 2026 06:00 Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
Tochigi City
#2 · 3 pts
vs
Omiya Ardija
#2 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 19.9°C 💨 6 km/h · Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
15.73%
Win
Tochigi City
16.84%
Draw
67.43%
Win
Omiya Ardija
0.84
Expected xG
2.39
Most likely outcome
Omiya Ardija
67.43%
Probability
40.7%
1X2 accuracy · 54 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–2 (11.39%)
1X2 Result
1 16%
X 17%
2 67%
Double Chance
1X 33%
X2 84%
12 83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Omiya Ardija a 67% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Tochigi City. Expected goals are 0.8 for Tochigi City and 2.4 for Omiya Ardija (total 3.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 11.39% probability.

Season Stats

Tochigi City
3W 3D 9L
Omiya Ardija
7W 6D 2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.8
1.9
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in J2 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
Tochigi City
3W 3D 4L · at home
Omiya Ardija
4W 3D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.8
1.7
Conceded
1.4
30%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
90%
90%
O 2.5
60%
70%
O 3.5
30%
80%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Tochigi City Omiya Ardija →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 9.5% 11.4% 9.0% 5.4% 2.6%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.5% 4.5% 2.2%
2 1.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Tochigi City Tochigi City
L Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3–0
L Iwaki 1–3
L Shonan Bellmare 2–1
D Fujieda MYFC 2–2
D Yokohama FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija
W Iwaki 2–1
W Vegalta Sendai 1–2
D Yokohama FC 2–2
L Kataller Toyama 0–3
L Sagan Tosu 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Tochigi City Tochigi City
Attack
22
Defence
44
Form
33
Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija
Attack
46
Defence
62
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Placement Play-offs - Final

# Team G Pts
1 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1 3
2 Tochigi City Tochigi City 1 3
3 Nara Club Nara Club 1 3
4 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1 3
5 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1 3
6 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1 3
7 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1 1
8 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1 1
9 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1 1
10 FC Ryukyu FC Ryukyu 1 1
11 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1 1
12 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1 1
13 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1 0
14 Biwako Shiga Biwako Shiga 1 0
15 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1 0
16 Iwaki Iwaki 1 0
17 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1 0
18 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1 0

What's at stake · Placement Play-offs - Final

Top 2 advance to the next round

Tochigi City Omiya Ardija
Current #2 #1
→ Tochigi City #1 #1
→ Draw #1 #1
→ Omiya Ardija #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?
The model gives Tochigi City a 15% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 67% for an Omiya Ardija win.
How many goals are expected in Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?
Expected goals: Tochigi City 0.8, Omiya Ardija 2.4 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.39%.