Togo - Algeria
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.98%
Win
Togo
32.0%
Draw
35.02%
Win
Algeria
0.87
0.93
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.26%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Algeria a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Togo. Expected goals are 0.9 for Togo and 0.9 for Algeria (total 1.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.26% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
2.0
Shots OT
4.5
7.0
Corners
4.0
57%
Poss.
69%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Togo
Algeria →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.6% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Togo
Attack
33
Defence
69
Form
40
Algeria
Attack
49
Defence
68
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group I
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Togo | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Algeria | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Togo vs Algeria?
The model gives Togo a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 35% for an Algeria win.
How many goals are expected in Togo vs Algeria?
Expected goals: Togo 0.9, Algeria 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Togo vs Algeria?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.26%.