Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 18:00
Dermane Karim
(ast. Zuberu Sharani)
17'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Togo a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Burundi 28%). The final result was Togo 1–0 Burundi.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
6
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Dermane Karim
· ast. Zuberu Sharani
17'
45'
Bienvenue Kanakimana
/
S. Ntibazonkiza
Komlavi Komi
/ Sadik Fofana
55'
Kevin Boma
56'
61'
Asman ndikumana
/
Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana
Kodjo Jean Claude
/ samsondin ouro
73'
Kevin Denkey
/ Laba Kodjo
73'
75'
Christophe Nduwarugira
76'
Cedric Amissi
/
Mokono Elie Eldhino
76'
H. Msanga
/
Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
Zuberu Sharani
80'
83'
Mohamed Amissi
/
J. Girumugisha
Zuberu Sharani
/ Loic·Bessile
85'
90'+2
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Pre-match prediction
43.56%
Togo ←
27.59%
X
28.85%
Burundi
we assigned to the actual result (Togo)
43.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
—
—
1.96
—
—
Lineups
16
M. Barcola
G
8
D
5
S. Nador
D
S. Nador
D
2
K. Boma
D
K. Boma
D
19
H. Koudossou
D
H. Koudossou
D
21
D. Dakonam
M
D. Dakonam
M
15
K. Aziangbe
73'
M
K. Aziangbe
73'
M
11
S. Zuberu
1 👟
85'
M
S. Zuberu
1 👟
85'
M
17
D. Karim
1 ⚽
M
D. Karim
1 ⚽
M
13
M
10
K. Denkey
73'
F
K. Denkey
73'
F
Bench
4
G. Akueson
D
G. Akueson
D
18
I. Akakpo
D
I. Akakpo
D
9
K. Laba
17'
F
K. Laba
17'
F
3
L. Bessilé
5'
D
L. Bessilé
5'
D
14
M. Ouro-Tagba
F
M. Ouro-Tagba
F
7
P. Nadjombe
D
P. Nadjombe
D
20
S. Fofana
35'
M
S. Fofana
35'
M
1
S. Mensah
G
S. Mensah
G
6
S. Ouro
17'
M
S. Ouro
17'
M
22
Y. Annor
F
Y. Annor
F
1
J. Nahimana
G
J. Nahimana
G
22
C. Nduwarugira
D
C. Nduwarugira
D
15
D
19
F. Nsabiyumva
D
F. Nsabiyumva
D
4
D
8
M
14
Y. Ndayishimiye
M
Y. Ndayishimiye
M
6
M
7
F
12
B. Bimenyimana
61'
F
B. Bimenyimana
61'
F
10
S. Ntibazonkiza
46'
F
S. Ntibazonkiza
46'
F
Bench
20
B. Kanakimana
44'
F
B. Kanakimana
44'
F
2
D. Mukombozi
D
D. Mukombozi
D
11
M. Amissi
7'
F
M. Amissi
7'
F
9
S. Abdallah
F
S. Abdallah
F
Best on the pitch
D. Karim
M · Togo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
M. Barcola
G · Togo
8.06
· 12 pass
S. Zuberu
M · Togo
7.49
1 👟
4 shots
· 25 pass
S. Fofana
M · Togo
6.85
2 shots
· 6 pass
S. Ouro
M · Togo
6.74
1 shots
· 7 pass
S. Nador
D · Togo
6.69
· 46 pass
Togo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barcola | G | 90 | 8.06 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| S. Nador | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Boma | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Dakonam | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Aziangbe | M | 73 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Zuberu | M | 85 | 7.49 | — | 1 | 4 | 25 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Karim | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| K. Denkey | F | 73 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Laba | F | 17 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Bessilé | D | 5 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 35 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Ouro | M | 17 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Burundi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nahimana | G | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Nduwarugira | D | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F. Nsabiyumva | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 43% | 6 | 1 | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| B. Bimenyimana | F | 61 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Ntibazonkiza | F | 46 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Kanakimana | F | 44 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Amissi | F | 7 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Togo vs Burundi?
The final score was Togo 1–0 Burundi.
What did the model predict before Togo vs Burundi?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Togo win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Burundi win.