Togo - Burundi
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.01%
Win
Togo
28.99%
Draw
30.0%
Win
Burundi
2.25
1.49
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.39%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
29%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
59%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Togo a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Burundi. Expected goals are 2.2 for Togo and 1.5 for Burundi (total 3.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.39% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Togo
Burundi →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Playing profile
Togo
Attack
53
Defence
75
Form
62
Burundi
Attack
58
Defence
58
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Togo vs Burundi?
The model gives Togo a 41% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 30% for an Burundi win.
How many goals are expected in Togo vs Burundi?
Expected goals: Togo 2.2, Burundi 1.5 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Togo vs Burundi?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.39%.