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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 08:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
Tokyo Verdy
#18 · 8 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Avispa Fukuoka
#19 · 7 pts
Issei Kumatoriya 10'
Yuan Matsuhashi (ast. Kazunari Ichimi) 74'
Shimon Teranuma (ast. Shuhei Mizoguchi) 90'
56' (ast. Yuji Kitajima) Werik Popo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avispa Fukuoka a 34% win probability (draw 40%, Tokyo Verdy 25%). The final result was Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka. In 1 previous meetings, Tokyo Verdy have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Avispa Fukuoka.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
2
1.22
Actual xG
1.20
0
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
5
15
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Issei Kumatoriya
10'
Naoki Soma
16'
41'
Keiya Shiihashi
45'+4
Shu Morooka
45'
Werik Popo / Keiya Shiihashi ↕
↕ Naoki Hayashi / Maaya Sako
49'
56'
ast. Yuji Kitajima · Werik Popo⚽
61'
Masato Yuzawa / Yu Hashimoto ↕
↕ Issei Kumatoriya / Yuan Matsuhashi
66'
↕ Kosuke Saito / Koki Morita
67'
68'
Daiki Miya
⚽Yuan Matsuhashi · ast. Kazunari Ichimi
74'
76'
Yuma Tsujioka / Daiki Miya ↕
76'
Shohei Takemoto / Yuji Kitajima ↕
86'
Hiroki Akino / Masato Shigemi ↕
↕ Kazunari Ichimi / Shimon Teranuma
88'
↕ Yuta Arai / Goki Yamada
88'
⚽Shimon Teranuma · ast. Shuhei Mizoguchi
90'
Pre-match prediction
25.03%
Tokyo ←
40.35%
X
34.63%
Avispa
we assigned to the actual result (Tokyo Verdy) 25.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tokyo
0.37
1.22
+0.85
Avispa
0.62
1.20
+0.58
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 4-4-2
1 Matheus Vidotto Matheus Vidotto G 6.04
18 S. Mizoguchi S. Mizoguchi 1 👟 D 7.07
96 Cho Yu-Min Cho Yu-Min D 6.74
4 N. Hayashi N. Hayashi 49' D 6.09
22 Y. Uchida Y. Uchida D 6.53
40 Y. Arai Y. Arai 88' M 6.35
16 R. Hirakawa R. Hirakawa M 6.42
8 K. Saito K. Saito 67' M 6.52
19 K. Fujimoto K. Fujimoto M 6.24
25 I. Kumatoriya I. Kumatoriya 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.96
33 K. Ichimi K. Ichimi 1 👟 88' F 6.82
Bench
13 G. Yamada G. Yamada 2' F 6.57
10 K. Morita K. Morita 23' M 6.95
2 K. Shibato K. Shibato M 0.00
15 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki D 0.00
29 M. Sako M. Sako 41' D 6.43
38 S. Kanda S. Kanda F 0.00
45 S. Teranuma S. Teranuma 1 ⚽ 2' F 7.48
7 Y. Matsuhashi Y. Matsuhashi 1 ⚽ 24' M 7.37
21 Y. Nagasawa Y. Nagasawa G 0.00
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
24 Y. Obata Y. Obata G 5.54
38 D. Miya D. Miya 76' D 6.02
37 M. Tashiro M. Tashiro D 6.16
16 T. Oka T. Oka D 6.92
29 Y. Maejima Y. Maejima M 5.70
6 M. Shigemi M. Shigemi 86' M 5.57
34 K. Shiihashi K. Shiihashi 45' M 5.74
47 Y. Hashimoto Y. Hashimoto 61' M 5.98
11 T. Miki T. Miki M 5.41
25 Y. Kitajima Y. Kitajima 1 👟 76' M 7.32
13 S. Morooka S. Morooka F 6.13
Bench
17 H. Akino H. Akino 4' M 5.78
49 I. Maeda I. Maeda F 0.00
2 M. Yuzawa M. Yuzawa 29' D 5.92
52 Shohei Takemoto Shohei Takemoto 14' M 5.77
14 S. Nago S. Nago M 0.00
5 T. Kamijima T. Kamijima D 0.00
1 T. Nagaishi T. Nagaishi G 0.00
9 Werik Popó Werik Popó 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
15 Y. Tsujioka Y. Tsujioka 14' D 6.05
Best on the pitch
Werik Popó
Werik Popó
F · Avispa
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
I. Kumatoriya
I. Kumatoriya
F · Tokyo
7.96
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
S. Teranuma
S. Teranuma
F · Tokyo
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Y. Matsuhashi
Y. Matsuhashi
M · Tokyo
7.37
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Y. Kitajima
Y. Kitajima
M · Avispa
7.32
1 👟
1 shots · 12 pass
S. Mizoguchi
S. Mizoguchi
D · Tokyo
7.07
1 👟
· 52 pass
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matheus Vidotto G 90 6.04 — — 0 25 10% 0 — —
S. Mizoguchi D 90 7.07 — 1 0 52 42% 1 — —
Cho Yu-Min D 90 6.74 — — 0 44 38% 1 — —
N. Hayashi D 49 6.09 — — 0 20 14% 0 — —
Y. Uchida D 90 6.53 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
Y. Arai M 88 6.35 — — 1 31 26% 1 — —
R. Hirakawa M 90 6.42 — — 2 32 27% 1 — —
K. Saito M 67 6.52 — — 2 42 36% 1 — —
K. Fujimoto M 90 6.24 — — 1 40 31% 1 — —
I. Kumatoriya F 66 7.96 1 — 2 18 14% 0 — —
K. Ichimi F 88 6.82 — 1 1 15 11% 2 — —
G. Yamada F 2 6.57 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
K. Morita M 23 6.95 — — 0 20 18% 3 — —
M. Sako D 41 6.43 — — 0 30 23% 1 — —
S. Teranuma F 2 7.48 1 — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Y. Matsuhashi M 24 7.37 1 — 2 8 6% 1 — —
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Obata G 90 5.54 — — 0 32 16% 0 — —
D. Miya D 76 6.02 — — 1 43 35% 0 1 —
M. Tashiro D 90 6.16 — — 0 48 42% 0 — —
T. Oka D 90 6.92 — — 0 51 47% 7 — —
Y. Maejima M 90 5.70 — — 1 32 26% 0 — —
M. Shigemi M 86 5.57 — — 1 20 14% 3 — —
K. Shiihashi M 45 5.74 — — 0 19 18% 1 1 —
Y. Hashimoto M 61 5.98 — — 0 24 20% 3 — —
T. Miki M 90 5.41 — — 1 38 30% 1 — —
Y. Kitajima M 76 7.32 — 1 1 12 10% 1 — —
S. Morooka F 90 6.13 — — 2 27 23% 1 1 —
H. Akino M 4 5.78 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
M. Yuzawa D 29 5.92 — — 0 11 6% 0 — —
Shohei Takemoto M 14 5.77 — — 1 7 3% 0 — —
Werik Popó F 45 8.20 1 — 2 11 8% 0 — —
Y. Tsujioka D 14 6.05 — — 0 16 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The final score was Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka.
What did the model predict before Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Tokyo Verdy win, 40% to a draw, and 34% to an Avispa Fukuoka win.