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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 11, 2026 08:00 Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu
Tokyo Verdy
#18 · 8 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 26 pts
47' (ast. Akito Suzuki) Taishi Matsumoto
58' Akito Suzuki
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 20%). The final result was Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
0.65
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
3
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
4
14
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Kim Hyun-Woo
15'
17'
Kim Ju-sung
Kaito Suzuki
40'
45'
Taishi Matsumoto / Yotaro Nakajima ↕
45'
Sébastien Haller / Mutsuki Kato ↕
45'
Shunki Higashi / Kim Ju-sung ↕
47'
ast. Akito Suzuki · Taishi Matsumoto⚽
Itsuki Someno
55'
↕ Kim Hyun-Woo / Kazunari Ichimi
57'
58'
Akito Suzuki⚽
67'
Naoki Maeda / Daiki Suga ↕
↕ Kanya Fujimoto / Issei Kumatoriya
70'
↕ Yuya Fukuda / Shuhei Mizoguchi
70'
81'
Takuma Asano / Shun Ayukawa ↕
↕ Kazunari Ichimi / Goki Yamada
85'
↕ Kai Shibato / Shion Nakayama
85'
Pre-match prediction
20.44%
Tokyo
27.61%
X
51.95%
Sanfrecce ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 51.95% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tokyo
0.31
0.65
+0.34
Sanfrecce
1.44
1.09
-0.36
Sanfrecce Hiroshima dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 4-4-2
1 Matheus Vidotto Matheus Vidotto G 5.79
40 Y. Arai Y. Arai D 6.20
29 M. Sako M. Sako D 5.68
4 N. Hayashi N. Hayashi D 5.58
15 K. Suzuki K. Suzuki D 5.91
14 Y. Fukuda Y. Fukuda 70' M 6.29
8 K. Saito K. Saito M 5.95
2 K. Shibato K. Shibato 85' M 6.07
19 K. Fujimoto K. Fujimoto 70' M 6.21
17 Kim Hyun-Woo Kim Hyun-Woo 57' F 6.52
9 I. Someno I. Someno F 5.81
Bench
13 G. Yamada G. Yamada 5' F 6.31
25 I. Kumatoriya I. Kumatoriya 20' F 6.39
33 K. Ichimi K. Ichimi 28' F 6.13
16 R. Hirakawa R. Hirakawa M 0.00
5 R. Inoue R. Inoue D 0.00
24 Shion Nakayama Shion Nakayama 5' M 6.47
18 S. Mizoguchi S. Mizoguchi 20' D 6.57
21 Y. Nagasawa Y. Nagasawa G 0.00
22 Y. Uchida Y. Uchida D 0.00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1 K. Osako K. Osako G 6.93
37 Kim Ju-Sung Kim Ju-Sung 45' D 6.99
4 H. Araki H. Araki D 7.03
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 7.10
18 D. Suga D. Suga 67' M 6.34
35 Y. Nakajima Y. Nakajima 45' M 6.69
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe M 6.71
5 N. Arai N. Arai M 6.32
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.38
11 M. Kato M. Kato 45' M 6.59
23 S. Ayukawa S. Ayukawa 81' F 6.48
Bench
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G 0.00
41 N. Maeda N. Maeda 23' F 6.05
46 R. Noguchi R. Noguchi M 0.00
22 S. Haller S. Haller 45' F 6.47
7 S. Higashi S. Higashi 45' M 6.77
45 S. Kobayashi S. Kobayashi M 0.00
32 S. Koshimichi S. Koshimichi M 0.00
29 T. Asano T. Asano 9' F 6.40
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 1 ⚽ 45' M 8.20
Best on the pitch
A. Suzuki
A. Suzuki
M · Sanfrecce
8.38
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 24 pass
T. Matsumoto
T. Matsumoto
M · Sanfrecce
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 38 pass
S. Nakano
S. Nakano
D · Sanfrecce
7.10
· 86 pass
H. Araki
H. Araki
D · Sanfrecce
7.03
· 79 pass
Kim Ju-Sung
Kim Ju-Sung
D · Sanfrecce
6.99
· 56 pass
K. Osako
K. Osako
G · Sanfrecce
6.93
· 46 pass
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matheus Vidotto G 90 5.79 — — 0 26 13% 0 — —
Y. Arai D 90 6.20 — — 2 25 15% 3 — —
M. Sako D 90 5.68 — — 0 30 16% 0 — —
N. Hayashi D 90 5.58 — — 0 26 18% 1 — —
K. Suzuki D 90 5.91 — — 0 26 21% 2 1 —
Y. Fukuda M 70 6.29 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
K. Saito M 90 5.95 — — 1 44 32% 3 — —
K. Shibato M 85 6.07 — — 0 22 17% 0 — —
K. Fujimoto M 70 6.21 — — 0 21 15% 2 — —
Kim Hyun-Woo F 57 6.52 — — 1 15 12% 0 1 —
I. Someno F 90 5.81 — — 1 19 14% 0 1 —
G. Yamada F 5 6.31 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
I. Kumatoriya F 20 6.39 — — 0 7 5% 1 — —
K. Ichimi F 28 6.13 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
Shion Nakayama M 5 6.47 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
S. Mizoguchi D 20 6.57 — — 0 10 4% 0 — —
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Osako G 90 6.93 — — 0 46 33% 0 — —
Kim Ju-Sung D 45 6.99 — — 0 56 50% 2 1 —
H. Araki D 90 7.03 — — 0 79 68% 0 — —
S. Nakano D 90 7.10 — — 0 86 75% 2 — —
D. Suga M 67 6.34 — — 1 32 24% 1 — —
Y. Nakajima M 45 6.69 — — 0 31 26% 1 — —
H. Kawabe M 90 6.71 — — 1 59 50% 2 — —
N. Arai M 90 6.32 — — 1 71 58% 1 — —
A. Suzuki M 90 8.38 1 1 3 24 19% 2 — —
M. Kato M 45 6.59 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
S. Ayukawa F 81 6.48 — — 0 19 12% 0 — —
N. Maeda F 23 6.05 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
S. Haller F 45 6.47 — — 2 12 9% 2 — —
S. Higashi M 45 6.77 — — 0 39 33% 0 — —
T. Asano F 9 6.40 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
T. Matsumoto M 45 8.20 1 — 2 38 36% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The final score was Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What did the model predict before Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Tokyo Verdy win, 27% to a draw, and 51% to an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.