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Toluca - FC Dallas

Leagues Cup August 13, 2026 04:00
Toluca
vs
FC Dallas
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.45%
Win
Toluca
28.19%
Draw
27.36%
Win
FC Dallas
2.15
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.9%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Toluca a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Dallas. Expected goals are 2.1 for Toluca and 1.2 for FC Dallas (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.9% probability.

Season Stats

Toluca
5W 3D 7L
FC Dallas
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
1.5
5.6
Shots OT
4.7
5.3
Corners
4.4
61%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
44%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Toluca
5W 3D 2L · at home
FC Dallas
4W 1D 3L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.8
0.9
Conceded
1.1
50%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
63%
80%
O 1.5
75%
60%
O 2.5
63%
50%
O 3.5
38%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
25%
20%
Failed to Score
25%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Toluca FC Dallas →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Toluca Toluca
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
FC Dallas FC Dallas
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Toluca Toluca
Attack
40
Defence
68
Form
51
FC Dallas FC Dallas
Attack
40
Defence
57
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toluca vs FC Dallas?
The model gives Toluca a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an FC Dallas win.
How many goals are expected in Toluca vs FC Dallas?
Expected goals: Toluca 2.1, FC Dallas 1.2 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Toluca vs FC Dallas?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.