Liga MX
· Apertura - 6
August 31, 2026 02:00
Helinho
(ast. E. del Villar)
10'
J. Murillo
34'
(og)
O. Virgen
73'
F. Vinas
(ast. O. Virgen)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 54% win probability (draw 23%, FC Juarez 21%). The final result was Toluca 4–0 FC Juarez. In 4 previous meetings, Toluca have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
2
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
3
Match Events
⚽Helinho
· ast. E. del Villar
10'
17'
⚽J. Murillo
(og)
34'
Helinho
35'
A. Vega
/ N. Castro
46'
F. Pereira
/ J. Gallardo
46'
58'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
65'
A. Mayorga
/
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
65'
Guilherme Castilho
/
Monchu
Helinho
/ F. Vinas
70'
F. Romero
/ F. Arce
70'
⚽O. Virgen
73'
74'
Madson
/
G. Sepulveda
⚽F. Vinas
· ast. O. Virgen
79'
81'
J. Sigala
/
J. Rodriguez
81'
Ricardinho
/
O. Estupinan
O. Virgen
/ A. Briseno
81'
Pre-match prediction
54.88%
Toluca ←
23.54%
X
21.57%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Toluca)
54.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.37
—
—
0.66
—
—
Lineups
1
H. González
G
H. González
G
25
E. López
1 👟
D
E. López
1 👟
D
6
F. Pereira
D
F. Pereira
D
13
Luan
D
Luan
D
184
S. Aceves
D
S. Aceves
D
23
O. Virgen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
O. Virgen
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
5
F. Romero
M
F. Romero
M
9
A. Vega
M
A. Vega
M
7
V. Guzmán
M
V. Guzmán
M
11
Helinho
1 ⚽
M
Helinho
1 ⚽
M
29
J. Díaz
F
J. Díaz
F
Bench
3
A. Briseño
D
A. Briseño
D
4
B. Méndez
D
B. Méndez
D
24
F. Arce
M
F. Arce
M
16
Federico Viñas
1 ⚽
F
Federico Viñas
1 ⚽
F
198
J. Estrada
M
J. Estrada
M
20
J. Gallardo
D
J. Gallardo
D
192
L. Navarrete
D
L. Navarrete
D
8
N. Castro
M
N. Castro
M
15
P. Pérez
M
P. Pérez
M
12
R. Beltrán
G
R. Beltrán
G
1
S. Jurado
G
S. Jurado
G
20
J. Aquino
D
J. Aquino
D
2
G. Sepúlveda
D
G. Sepúlveda
D
3
J. Murillo
1 ⚽
D
J. Murillo
1 ⚽
D
33
F. Nevárez
D
F. Nevárez
D
6
Monchu
M
Monchu
M
13
Rodrigo Dourado
M
Rodrigo Dourado
M
11
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
10
J. Torres
M
J. Torres
M
5
D. García
M
D. García
M
19
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Ó. Estupiñán
F
Bench
4
A. Mayorga
D
A. Mayorga
D
24
B. Díaz
G
B. Díaz
G
14
E. López
M
E. López
M
8
Guilherme Castilho
M
Guilherme Castilho
M
23
H. Ortega
D
H. Ortega
D
201
Jan Carmona
M
16
J. Sigala
M
J. Sigala
M
9
Madson
F
Madson
F
7
R. Fulgencio
M
R. Fulgencio
M
21
Ricardinho
M
Ricardinho
M
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. González | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. López | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Pereira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Aceves | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Virgen | M | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Romero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Vega | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Helinho | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Juarez — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Jurado | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Aquino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Sepúlveda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Murillo | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Nevárez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Monchu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Dourado | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ó. Estupiñán | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toluca vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Toluca 4–0 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Toluca vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Toluca win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an FC Juarez win.