Toluca - Los Angeles FC
Leagues Cup
August 09, 2026 05:10
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.76%
Win
Toluca
28.6%
Draw
34.64%
Win
Los Angeles FC
1.69
1.74
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.18%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
29%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
63%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Toluca a 36% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Los Angeles FC. Expected goals are 1.7 for Toluca and 1.7 for Los Angeles FC (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.18% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Toluca have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Los Angeles FC.
Season Stats
5W
3D
7L
6W
3D
6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.6
5.6
Shots OT
4.5
5.3
Corners
5.8
61%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
73%
53%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
3W
3D
4L
· away
2.2
gls/g
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
70%
50%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Toluca
Los Angeles FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Toluca
Attack
40
Defence
68
Form
51
Los Angeles FC
Attack
53
Defence
72
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?
The model gives Toluca a 36% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 34% for an Los Angeles FC win.
How many goals are expected in Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?
Expected goals: Toluca 1.7, Los Angeles FC 1.7 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Toluca vs Los Angeles FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.18%.