Alexis Vega
4'
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 51% win probability (draw 29%, Monterrey 19%). The final result was Toluca 2–0 Monterrey. In 4 previous meetings, Toluca have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
15
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Andres Pereira
1'
⚽Alexis Vega
4'
13'
Orbelín Pineda
Franco Romero
38'
Jesús Angulo
/ Jorge Diaz
61'
Brian Garcia
/ Diego Barbosa
61'
Alexis Vega
/ Víctor Guzmán
68'
Nicolás Castro
/ Luan Garcia
68'
⚽Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
70'
Diego Barbosa
74'
75'
Uros Djurdjevic
/
Ricardo Chávez
75'
Lucas Orellano
/
Óliver Torres
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
/ João Paulo Dias Fernandes
78'
88'
Fidel Ambriz
/
Jesús Corona
88'
Iker Fimbres
/
Orbelín Pineda
90'
Hugo Cuypers
Pre-match prediction
51.03%
Toluca ←
29.93%
X
19.04%
Monterrey
we assigned to the actual result (Toluca)
51.03%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
—
—
0.46
—
—
Lineups
1
H. González
G
H. González
G
20
J. Gallardo
D
J. Gallardo
D
25
E. López
D
E. López
D
6
F. Pereira
D
F. Pereira
D
17
B. García
61'
D
B. García
61'
D
10
J. Angulo
61'
M
J. Angulo
61'
M
5
F. Romero
M
F. Romero
M
8
N. Castro
68'
M
N. Castro
68'
M
9
A. Vega
1 ⚽
68'
F
A. Vega
1 ⚽
68'
F
16
F. Viñas
F
F. Viñas
F
11
Helinho
1 ⚽
78'
F
Helinho
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
3
A. Briseño
D
A. Briseño
D
2
D. Barbosa
29'
D
D. Barbosa
29'
D
18
D. Shrem
G
D. Shrem
G
24
F. Arce
M
F. Arce
M
29
J. Díaz
29'
M
J. Díaz
29'
M
192
L. Navarrete
D
L. Navarrete
D
13
Luan
22'
D
Luan
22'
D
23
O. Virgen
F
O. Virgen
F
26
Paulinho
12'
F
Paulinho
12'
F
15
P. Pérez
M
P. Pérez
M
12
R. Beltrán
G
R. Beltrán
G
7
V. Guzmán
22'
M
V. Guzmán
22'
M
1
E. Andrada
G
E. Andrada
G
3
G. Arteaga
D
G. Arteaga
D
13
C. Salcedo
D
C. Salcedo
D
4
V. Guzmán
D
V. Guzmán
D
2
R. Chávez
75'
D
R. Chávez
75'
D
25
O. Pineda
88'
M
O. Pineda
88'
M
8
Óliver Torres
75'
M
Óliver Torres
75'
M
17
J. Corona
88'
M
J. Corona
88'
M
9
D. Rossi
M
D. Rossi
M
7
L. Ocampos
M
L. Ocampos
M
99
H. Cuypers
F
H. Cuypers
F
Bench
18
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
31
C. Ramos
G
C. Ramos
G
14
É. Aguirre
M
É. Aguirre
M
5
F. Ambríz
2'
M
F. Ambríz
2'
M
11
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
2'
M
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
2'
M
30
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
22
L. Cárdenas
G
L. Cárdenas
G
10
L. Orellano
15'
F
L. Orellano
15'
F
21
L. Reyes
D
L. Reyes
D
27
R. de la Rosa
F
R. de la Rosa
F
33
S. Medina
D
S. Medina
D
32
U. Đurđević
15'
F
U. Đurđević
15'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Vega
F · Toluca
8.15
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Helinho
F · Toluca
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
H. González
G · Toluca
7.34
· 40 pass
G. Arteaga
D · Monterrey
7.19
1 shots
· 32 pass
E. López
D · Toluca
7.00
· 43 pass
J. Angulo
M · Toluca
6.89
· 15 pass
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. González | G | 90 | 7.34 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gallardo | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| E. López | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. García | D | 61 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | M | 61 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Romero | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Castro | M | 68 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vega | F | 68 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Viñas | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Helinho | F | 78 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Barbosa | D | 29 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 7 | 1 | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Luan | D | 22 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | 22 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Andrada | G | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Arteaga | D | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 6 | — | — |
| C. Salcedo | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | D | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 75 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 88 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 75 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 88 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | M | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 90 | 5.86 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Ambríz | M | 2 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa | M | 2 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Orellano | F | 15 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| U. Đurđević | F | 15 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toluca vs Monterrey?
The final score was Toluca 2–0 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Toluca vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Toluca win, 29% to a draw, and 19% to an Monterrey win.