✗Model wrong — prediction Toluca, result Santos Laguna wins
Federico Viñas
(ast. Alexis Vega)
25'
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
(ast. Alexis Vega)
43'
45'+1
Ezequiel Bullaude
86'
(ast. Francisco Villalba)
Kevin Palacios
90'+5
(ast. Mauricio Cuevas)
Francisco Villalba
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Santos Laguna 19%). The final result was Toluca 2–3 Santos Laguna. In 2 previous meetings, Toluca have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
22
9
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
7
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
7
24
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Federico Viñas
· ast. Alexis Vega
25'
Nicolás Castro
38'
⚽João Paulo Dias Fernandes
· ast. Alexis Vega
43'
45'+1
Ezequiel Bullaude⚽
Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich
45'+4
45'+7
Everardo Lopez
45'+7
45'+8
Facundo Cáseres
45'
Diego González
/
Emmanuel Echeverria
45'
Francisco Villalba
/
Salvador Mariscal
Alexis Vega
/ Jorge Diaz
66'
Federico Viñas
/ Jesús Angulo
66'
69'
Kevin Palacios
/
L. Gómez
69'
Eduardo Aguirre
/
Ezequiel Bullaude
75'
Javier Guemez
/
Facundo Cáseres
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
/ Luan Garcia
81'
86'
ast. Francisco Villalba ·
Kevin Palacios⚽
Nicolás Castro
/ Brian Garcia
90'+1
90'+3
90'+5
ast. Mauricio Cuevas ·
Francisco Villalba⚽
Pre-match prediction
58.2%
Toluca
22.19%
X
19.6%
Santos ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santos Laguna)
19.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.83
—
—
1.04
—
—
Lineups
22
L. García
G
L. García
G
25
E. López
52'
D
E. López
52'
D
6
F. Pereira
D
F. Pereira
D
4
B. Méndez
D
B. Méndez
D
2
D. Barbosa
D
D. Barbosa
D
8
N. Castro
89'
M
N. Castro
89'
M
205
M
9
A. Vega
2 👟
66'
M
A. Vega
2 👟
66'
M
16
F. Viñas
1 ⚽
66'
M
F. Viñas
1 ⚽
66'
M
20
J. Gallardo
M
J. Gallardo
M
26
Paulinho
1 ⚽
81'
F
Paulinho
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
17
B. García
1'
D
B. García
1'
D
10
J. Angulo
24'
M
J. Angulo
24'
M
29
J. Díaz
24'
M
J. Díaz
24'
M
198
J. Estrada
F
J. Estrada
F
13
Luan
9'
D
Luan
9'
D
23
O. Virgen
F
O. Virgen
F
15
P. Pérez
M
P. Pérez
M
12
R. Beltrán
G
R. Beltrán
G
19
S. Simón
M
S. Simón
M
1
C. Acevedo
G
C. Acevedo
G
17
E. EcheverrÃa
45'
D
E. EcheverrÃa
45'
D
25
Felipe Sánchez
D
Felipe Sánchez
D
18
F. Pardo
D
F. Pardo
D
28
Jonathan Pérez
D
Jonathan Pérez
D
3
M. Cuevas
1 👟
D
M. Cuevas
1 👟
D
193
Luis Gómez
69'
M
Luis Gómez
69'
M
23
F. Cáseres
75'
M
F. Cáseres
75'
M
8
S. Mariscal
45'
M
S. Mariscal
45'
M
10
E. Bullaude
1 ⚽
69'
M
E. Bullaude
1 ⚽
69'
M
20
E. Lozano
F
E. Lozano
F
Bench
7
D. González
45'
F
D. González
45'
F
19
E. Aguirre
21'
F
E. Aguirre
21'
F
14
E. Orona
M
E. Orona
M
21
Fran Villalba
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
Fran Villalba
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
33
H. Holguín
G
H. Holguín
G
4
J. Abella
D
J. Abella
D
6
J. Güémez
15'
M
J. Güémez
15'
M
77
K. Palacios
1 ⚽
21'
M
K. Palacios
1 ⚽
21'
M
22
K. Picón
D
K. Picón
D
26
R. Sordo
M
R. Sordo
M
Best on the pitch
A. Vega
M · Toluca
8.54
2 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Fran Villalba
M · Santos
8.23
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
C. Acevedo
G · Santos
8.08
· 24 pass
F. Viñas
M · Toluca
7.93
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
E. Bullaude
M · Santos
7.82
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 26 pass
Paulinho
F · Toluca
7.69
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 14 pass
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. García | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| E. López | D | 52 | 4.92 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | 1 |
| F. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Méndez | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Barbosa | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Castro | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 49% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Vega | M | 66 | 8.54 | — | 2 | 1 | 30 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Viñas | M | 66 | 7.93 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Gallardo | M | 90 | 5.45 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 81 | 7.69 | 1 | — | 7 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| B. García | D | 1 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 24 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Luan | D | 9 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Acevedo | G | 90 | 8.08 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| E. EcheverrÃa | D | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Pardo | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Pérez | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cuevas | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | 1 | 2 | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Luis Gómez | M | 69 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Cáseres | M | 75 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 67% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Mariscal | M | 45 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Bullaude | M | 69 | 7.82 | 1 | — | 5 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lozano | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D. González | F | 45 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Aguirre | F | 21 | 6.81 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Villalba | M | 45 | 8.23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Güémez | M | 15 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Palacios | M | 21 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was Toluca 2–3 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Toluca win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Santos Laguna win.