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Toluca - Seattle Sounders

Leagues Cup August 06, 2026 04:00
Toluca
vs
Seattle Sounders
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.53%
Win
Toluca
26.17%
Draw
24.31%
Win
Seattle Sounders
2.38
Expected xG
1.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.25%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 26%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 51%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Toluca a 49% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Seattle Sounders. Expected goals are 2.4 for Toluca and 1.1 for Seattle Sounders (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.25% probability.

Season Stats

Toluca
5W 3D 7L
Seattle Sounders
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.5
5.6
Shots OT
5.1
5.3
Corners
5.2
61%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Toluca
5W 3D 2L · at home
Seattle Sounders
4W 2D 4L · away
2.2
gls/g
0.8
0.9
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
40%
60%
O 2.5
20%
50%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
20%
30%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Toluca Seattle Sounders →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
1 7.3% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Toluca Toluca
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Toluca Toluca
Attack
40
Defence
68
Form
51
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
Attack
38
Defence
51
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Toluca vs Seattle Sounders?
The model gives Toluca a 49% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 24% for an Seattle Sounders win.
How many goals are expected in Toluca vs Seattle Sounders?
Expected goals: Toluca 2.4, Seattle Sounders 1.1 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Toluca vs Seattle Sounders?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.25%.