Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United
National League South
November 17, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.82%
Win
Tonbridge Angels
21.33%
Draw
25.85%
Win
Chesham United
2.79
1.74
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.28%)
1X2 Result
1
53%
X
21%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
47%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tonbridge Angels a 52% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Chesham United. Expected goals are 2.8 for Tonbridge Angels and 1.7 for Chesham United (total 4.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Tonbridge Angels have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Chesham United.
Season Stats
7W
3D
5L
3W
2D
10L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.3
1.1
Conceded
2.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
73%
47%
BTTS
47%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
4W
0D
6L
· at home
3W
1D
6L
· away
1.5
gls/g
1.8
1.4
Conceded
1.9
40%
Win %
30%
40%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Tonbridge Angels
Chesham United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Tonbridge Angels
Attack
46
Defence
74
Form
58
Chesham United
Attack
34
Defence
42
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ebbsfleet United
|
12 | 28 |
| 2 |
Truro City
|
13 | 27 |
| 3 |
Maidstone Utd
|
14 | 26 |
| 4 |
Salisbury
|
13 | 25 |
| 5 |
Tonbridge Angels
|
14 | 24 |
| 6 |
Farnham Town
|
13 | 23 |
| 7 |
Dagenham & Redbridge
|
14 | 23 |
| 8 |
Billericay Town
|
12 | 22 |
| 9 |
Dorking Wanderers
|
13 | 21 |
| 10 |
Folkestone Invicta
|
14 | 19 |
| 11 |
Dover
|
13 | 19 |
| 12 |
Horsham
|
14 | 19 |
| 13 |
Chelmsford City
|
12 | 18 |
| 14 |
Weston-super-Mare
|
12 | 18 |
| 15 |
Torquay
|
13 | 17 |
| 16 |
AFC Totton
|
14 | 16 |
| 17 |
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
14 | 15 |
| 18 |
Maidenhead
|
14 | 14 |
| 19 |
Farnborough
|
12 | 14 |
| 20 |
Braintree
|
13 | 13 |
| 21 |
Chesham United
|
13 | 10 |
| 22 |
Hampton & Richmond
|
13 | 9 |
| 23 |
Walton & Hersham
|
13 | 8 |
| 24 |
Slough Town
|
14 | 4 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
The model gives Tonbridge Angels a 52% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 25% for an Chesham United win.
How many goals are expected in Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
Expected goals: Tonbridge Angels 2.8, Chesham United 1.7 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Tonbridge Angels vs Chesham United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.28%.