Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 21:30 Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela

0 – 0

Final score

AVS

✗Model wrong — prediction Tondela, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tondela a 53% win probability (draw 30%, AVS 16%). The final result was Tondela 0–0 AVS. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AVS.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

2

0.64

Actual xG

0.80

60%

Possession

40%

7

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

53.21%

Tondela

30.14%

X ←

16.65%

AVS

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.14% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Tondela

1.25

0.64

-0.61

AVS

0.44

0.80

+0.36

xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	21
2	Benfica	7	16
3	Sporting CP	7	15
4	Santa Clara	7	15
5	Arouca	7	11
6	SC Braga	6	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	11
8	Estrela	7	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	8
10	Alverca	7	8
11	Maritimo	7	8
12	Moreirense	7	8
13	Famalicao	7	7
14	Vitória SC	7	5
15	Nacional	7	4
16	Rio Ave	7	4
17	Casa Pia	7	4
18	Estoril	7	2