← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 22:30
Tondela
#17 · 28 pts
0 – 0
Final score
AVS
#18 · 20 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Tondela, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tondela a 53% win probability (draw 30%, AVS 16%). The final result was Tondela 0–0 AVS. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AVS.

Match statistics
3
Shots on target
2
0.64
Actual xG
0.80
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
53.21%
Tondela
30.14%
X ←
16.65%
AVS
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tondela
1.25
0.64
-0.61
AVS
0.44
0.80
+0.36
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tondela vs AVS?
The final score was Tondela 0–0 AVS.
What did the model predict before Tondela vs AVS?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Tondela win, 30% to a draw, and 16% to an AVS win.