← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29 April 13, 2026 23:15
Tondela
#17 · 28 pts
2 – 2
Final score
GIL Vicente
#6 · 50 pts
Rony Lopes 16'
J. Hodge 90'+8
(pen.) 29' Murilo de Souza
90' (ast. J. Fernandes) Carlos Eduardo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GIL Vicente a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Tondela 26%). The final result was Tondela 2–2 GIL Vicente. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for GIL Vicente.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
1.73
Actual xG
1.67
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
5
20
Tackles
8
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
C. Marques
8'
⚽Rony Lopes
16'
29'
(pen.) Murilo de Souza⚽
M. Ouattara
46'
57'
Murilo de Souza
↕ M. Ouattara / S. Sithole
60'
↕ H. Felix / M. Aiko
60'
L. Canizares
66'
↕ Pedro Maranhao / A. van der Heide
68'
74'
M. Fernandez / A. Moreira ↕
↕ Rony Lopes / J. Siebatcheu
74'
↕ Bebeto / T. Manso
75'
J. Silva
79'
85'
Carlos Eduardo / G. Varela ↕
85'
J. Fernandes / Murilo de Souza ↕
Bebeto
90'+4
⚽J. Hodge (missed pen.)
90'+8
⚽J. Hodge
90'+8
R. Conceicao
90'+9
90'+9
J. Buatu
90'
ast. J. Fernandes · Carlos Eduardo⚽
Pre-match prediction
26.75%
Tondela
26.72%
X ←
46.53%
GIL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tondela
0.85
1.73
+0.88
GIL
1.45
1.67
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.73 – 1.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Tondela Tondela 4-3-3
31
G 6.50
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição D 6.70
4 Christian Marques Christian Marques D 6.30
44 João Silva João Silva D 6.60
2 Bebeto Bebeto 75' D 7.00
79 Hugo Félix Hugo Félix 60' M 5.90
32
M 6.20
10 Joe Hodge Joe Hodge 1 ⚽ M 7.30
70
60' F 6.60
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.00
7 Maranhão Maranhão 68' F 6.90
Bench
26 Arjen Van Der Heide Arjen Van Der Heide 32' F 6.30
20 B. Medina B. Medina D
8 Hélder Tavares Hélder Tavares M
30
L. Canizares G
90 Makan Aïko Makan Aïko 40' F 6.90
15 Siphephelo Sithole Siphephelo Sithole 40' M 6.50
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso 25' D 6.50
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4-4-2
99 Dani Figueira Dani Figueira G 6.90
3 Ghislain Konan Ghislain Konan D 6.50
39 Jonathan Buatu Jonathan Buatu D 6.30
48 Antonio Espigares Antonio Espigares D 7.20
2 Zé Carlos Zé Carlos D 5.90
27 Agustín Moreira Agustín Moreira 74' M 6.00
10 Luís Esteves Luís Esteves M 6.30
5 Facundo Cáseres Facundo Cáseres M 6.30
77 Murilo Murilo 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.20
89 Gustavo Varela Gustavo Varela 85' F 6.30
95 Santi García Santi García F 6.60
Bench
29 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.50
20 Hevertton Santos Hevertton Santos D
45
J. Mutombo D
32 Martin Fernández Martin Fernández 26' M 6.30
80
Rodrigo Rodrigues M
Best on the pitch
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes
F · Tondela
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
F · GIL
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
Joe Hodge
Joe Hodge
M · Tondela
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
Murilo
Murilo
M · GIL
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Antonio Espigares
Antonio Espigares
D · GIL
7.20
· 60 pass
Bebeto
Bebeto
D · Tondela
7.00
· 50 pass
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 6.50 — — — 27 16% — — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 100 6.70 — — 1 36 29% 3 1 —
Christian Marques D 100 6.30 — — — 58 44% 3 1 —
João Silva D 100 6.60 — — — 66 56% 4 1 —
Bebeto D 75 7.00 — — — 50 37% 3 1 —
Hugo Félix M 60 5.90 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
M 100 6.20 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
Joe Hodge M 100 7.30 1 — 2 31 26% 3 — —
F 60 6.60 — — 2 12 9% — 1 —
Rony Lopes F 74 8.00 1 — 1 24 23% 2 — —
Maranhão F 68 6.90 — — 2 16 10% — — —
Arjen Van Der Heide F 32 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Makan Aïko F 40 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
Siphephelo Sithole M 40 6.50 — — — 18 14% — — —
Tiago Manso D 25 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Figueira G 100 6.90 — — — 30 20% — — —
Ghislain Konan D 100 6.50 — — — 45 34% — — —
Jonathan Buatu D 100 6.30 — — — 44 37% — 1 —
Antonio Espigares D 100 7.20 — — — 60 55% 2 — —
Zé Carlos D 100 5.90 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Agustín Moreira M 74 6.00 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Luís Esteves M 100 6.30 — — 4 54 45% — — —
Facundo Cáseres M 100 6.30 — — — 32 29% 4 — —
Murilo M 85 7.20 1 — 2 26 21% 1 1 —
Gustavo Varela F 85 6.30 — — 3 10 7% — — —
Santi García F 100 6.60 — — 2 22 16% — — —
Carlos Eduardo F 15 7.50 1 — 1 — — — — —
Martin Fernández M 26 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tondela vs GIL Vicente?
The final score was Tondela 2–2 GIL Vicente.
What did the model predict before Tondela vs GIL Vicente?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Tondela win, 26% to a draw, and 46% to an GIL Vicente win.