Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 33
May 11, 2026 21:15
M. Aiko
(ast. Pedro Maranhao)
18'
Rony Lopes
(ast. T. Manso)
60'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tondela a 40% win probability (draw 33%, Moreirense 26%). The final result was Tondela 2–0 Moreirense. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Moreirense.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
0.29
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
8
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Aiko
· ast. Pedro Maranhao
18'
29'
Alanzinho
46'
C. Teguia
/
Kiko Bondoso
46'
L. Semedo
/
M. Stjepanovic
⚽Rony Lopes
· ast. T. Manso
60'
72'
Landerson
/
Kiko
Rony Lopes
/ J. Hodge
72'
M. Aiko
/ H. Tavares
72'
Cicero
/ B. Kimpioka
72'
72'
Yan Maranhao
/
Alanzinho
77'
Fabiano
83'
L. Santos
/
Fabiano
H. Felix
/ J. Siebatcheu
83'
90'+3
C. Teguia
90'+4
Maracas
J. Siebatcheu
90'+4
Pedro Maranhao
/ J. Afonso
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.0%
Tondela ←
33.45%
X
26.54%
Moreirense
we assigned to the actual result (Tondela)
40.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
1.39
+0.48
0.67
0.29
-0.38
Tondela dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
Bernardo Fontes
G
Bernardo Fontes
G
27
Rodrigo Conceição
D
Rodrigo Conceição
D
4
Christian Marques
D
Christian Marques
D
44
João Silva
D
João Silva
D
48
Tiago Manso
1 👟
D
Tiago Manso
1 👟
D
32
Juan Rodríguez
M
Juan Rodríguez
M
97
Cicero
72'
M
Cicero
72'
M
90
Makan Aïko
1 ⚽
72'
M
Makan Aïko
1 ⚽
72'
M
79
Hugo Félix
83'
M
Hugo Félix
83'
M
7
Maranhão
1 👟
89'
M
Maranhão
1 👟
89'
M
16
Rony Lopes
1 ⚽
72'
F
Rony Lopes
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
26
Arjen Van Der Heide
F
Arjen Van Der Heide
F
2
Bebeto
D
Bebeto
D
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
18'
F
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
18'
F
1
Gabriel Souza
G
Gabriel Souza
G
8
Hélder Tavares
18'
M
Hélder Tavares
18'
M
5
João Afonso
1'
D
João Afonso
1'
D
10
Joe Hodge
18'
M
Joe Hodge
18'
M
29
Jordan Siebatcheu
11'
F
Jordan Siebatcheu
11'
F
15
Siphephelo Sithole
M
Siphephelo Sithole
M
22
Caio Secco
G
Caio Secco
G
27
Kiko
72'
D
Kiko
72'
D
26
Maracás
D
Maracás
D
4
Kevyn Monteiro
D
Kevyn Monteiro
D
70
Fabiano Souza
83'
D
Fabiano Souza
83'
D
25
Afonso Assis
M
Afonso Assis
M
8
Mateja Stjepanović
45'
M
Mateja Stjepanović
45'
M
10
Kiko Bondoso
45'
M
Kiko Bondoso
45'
M
23
Nile John
M
Nile John
M
2
Diogo Travassos
M
Diogo Travassos
M
11
Alan
72'
F
Alan
72'
F
Bench
17
Álvaro Martínez
D
Álvaro Martínez
D
7
Cedric Teguia
45'
F
Cedric Teguia
45'
F
66
Gilberto Batista
D
Gilberto Batista
D
30
Jimi Gower
M
Jimi Gower
M
78
Landerson
18'
F
Landerson
18'
F
71
Leandro Santos
11'
D
Leandro Santos
11'
D
9
Luís Semedo
45'
F
Luís Semedo
45'
F
16
Mika
G
Mika
G
99
Yan Maranhão
18'
F
Yan Maranhão
18'
F
Best on the pitch
Makan Aïko
M · Tondela
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Rony Lopes
F · Tondela
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Tiago Manso
D · Tondela
7.50
1 👟
· 29 pass
Kevyn Monteiro
D · Moreirense
7.30
· 72 pass
Bernardo Fontes
G · Tondela
7.20
· 33 pass
João Silva
D · Tondela
7.20
· 58 pass
Tondela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Marques | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| João Silva | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Cicero | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Makan Aïko | M | 72 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Félix | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Maranhão | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony Lopes | F | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hélder Tavares | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Hodge | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Moreirense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Secco | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kiko | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Maracás | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | — | — | 1 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabiano Souza | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Afonso Assis | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Nile John | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Alan | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cedric Teguia | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Landerson | F | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Santos | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Luís Semedo | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yan Maranhão | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tondela vs Moreirense?
The final score was Tondela 2–0 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Tondela vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Tondela win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Moreirense win.