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M. Aiko (ast. Pedro Maranhao) 18'
Rony Lopes (ast. T. Manso) 60'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tondela a 40% win probability (draw 33%, Moreirense 26%). The final result was Tondela 2–0 Moreirense. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Moreirense.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
0.29
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
8
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
M. Aiko · ast. Pedro Maranhao
18'
29'
Alanzinho
46'
C. Teguia / Kiko Bondoso
46'
L. Semedo / M. Stjepanovic
Rony Lopes · ast. T. Manso
60'
72'
Landerson / Kiko
Rony Lopes / J. Hodge
72'
M. Aiko / H. Tavares
72'
Cicero / B. Kimpioka
72'
72'
Yan Maranhao / Alanzinho
77'
Fabiano
83'
L. Santos / Fabiano
H. Felix / J. Siebatcheu
83'
90'+3
C. Teguia
90'+4
Maracas
J. Siebatcheu
90'+4
Pedro Maranhao / J. Afonso
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.0%
Tondela ←
33.45%
X
26.54%
Moreirense
we assigned to the actual result (Tondela) 40.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Tondela
0.91
1.39
+0.48
Moreirense
0.67
0.29
-0.38
Tondela dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Tondela Tondela 4-2-3-1
31 Bernardo Fontes Bernardo Fontes G 7.20
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição D 6.60
4
Christian Marques D 6.90
44 João Silva João Silva D 7.20
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso 1 👟 D 7.50
32 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez M 6.70
97
Cícero 72' M 7.20
90 M. Aïko M. Aïko 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.50
79
Hugo Félix 83' M 6.60
7 Pedro Maranhão Pedro Maranhão 1 👟 89' M 7.00
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.90
Bench
26
A. van der Heide F
2
Bebeto D
23 B. Mbunga Kimpioka B. Mbunga Kimpioka 18' F 6.50
1
Gabriel Souza G
8
Hélder Tavares 18' M 6.70
10 J. Hodge J. Hodge 18' M 6.50
5
João Afonso 1' D
29 J. Siebatcheu J. Siebatcheu 11' F 6.50
15
S. Sithole M
Moreirense Moreirense 4-2-3-1
22
Caio Secco G 6.90
27 Kiko Kiko 72' D 6.20
26 Maracás Maracás D 6.90
4 Kevyn Monteiro Kevyn Monteiro D 7.30
70 Fabiano Fabiano 83' D 6.30
25 Afonso Assis Afonso Assis M 7.20
8 M. Stjepanović M. Stjepanović 45' M 6.60
10 Kiko Bondoso Kiko Bondoso 45' M 6.70
23 N. John N. John M 6.20
2 Diogo Travassos Diogo Travassos M 6.50
11 Alan Alan 72' F 6.20
Bench
17 Álvaro Martínez Álvaro Martínez D
7 Cedric Teguia Cedric Teguia 45' F 6.90
66 Gilberto Batista Gilberto Batista D
30 Jimi Gower Jimi Gower M
78 Landerson Landerson 18' F 6.60
71 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 11' D 6.90
9 Luís Semedo Luís Semedo 45' F 6.70
99 Maranhão Maranhão 18' F 6.50
16 Mika Mika G
Best on the pitch
M. Aïko
M. Aïko
M · Tondela
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes
F · Tondela
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Tiago Manso
Tiago Manso
D · Tondela
7.50
1 👟
· 29 pass
Kevyn Monteiro
Kevyn Monteiro
D · Moreirense
7.30
· 72 pass
Bernardo Fontes
Bernardo Fontes
G · Tondela
7.20
· 33 pass
João Silva
João Silva
D · Tondela
7.20
· 58 pass
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bernardo Fontes G 90 7.20 33 20%
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 6.60 24 20% 1
Christian Marques D 90 6.90 44 40%
João Silva D 90 7.20 58 47% 4
Tiago Manso D 90 7.50 1 29 23% 4
J. Rodríguez M 90 6.70 35 29%
Cícero M 72 7.20 1 41 35% 1
M. Aïko M 72 8.50 1 2 16 10% 1
Hugo Félix M 83 6.60 31 25% 1
Pedro Maranhão M 89 7.00 1 3 18 12% 1
Rony Lopes F 72 7.90 1 3 22 18% 1
B. Mbunga Kimpioka F 18 6.50 2 2%
Hélder Tavares M 18 6.70 4 4%
J. Hodge M 18 6.50 8 3%
João Afonso D 1
J. Siebatcheu F 11 6.50 1
Moreirense Moreirense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Caio Secco G 90 6.90 27 18%
Kiko D 72 6.20 1 57 47% 2
Maracás D 90 6.90 83 76% 1
Kevyn Monteiro D 90 7.30 72 68% 2
Fabiano D 83 6.30 34 28% 3 1
Afonso Assis M 90 7.20 62 60% 2
M. Stjepanović M 45 6.60 19 13% 1
Kiko Bondoso M 45 6.70 21 19% 1
N. John M 90 6.20 2 31 28% 1
Diogo Travassos M 90 6.50 1 48 38% 5
Alan F 72 6.20 42 35% 1 1
Cedric Teguia F 45 6.90 1 19 15% 1 1
Landerson F 18 6.60 2 6 6%
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D 11 6.90 9 6% 1
Luís Semedo F 45 6.70 1 4 3%
Maranhão F 18 6.50 3 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tondela vs Moreirense?
The final score was Tondela 2–0 Moreirense.
What did the model predict before Tondela vs Moreirense?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Tondela win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Moreirense win.