22'
(ast. Daniel Junior)
J. Ramirez
(og)
31'
B. Medina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tondela a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Nacional 33%). The final result was Tondela 0–2 Nacional. In 1 previous meetings, Tondela have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
1.82
Actual xG
0.83
5
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
7
17
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
Pablo Ruan
/
Gabriel Veron
22'
ast. Daniel Junior ·
J. Ramirez⚽
31'
(og)
B. Medina⚽
R. Conceicao
/ T. Manso
38'
T. Manso
58'
A. van der Heide
/ S. Sithole
61'
H. Felix
/ M. Aiko
61'
64'
J. Ramirez
J. Hodge
/ B. Kimpioka
76'
78'
A. Sousa
/
Daniel Junior
90'+1
J. Silva
/
F. Soares
90'+1
J. Aurelio
/
Jose Gomes
M. Aiko
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.46%
Tondela
31.89%
X
33.65%
Nacional ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nacional)
33.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.82
+0.92
0.91
0.83
-0.08
Tondela dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
27
Rodrigo Conceição
38'
D
Rodrigo Conceição
38'
D
20
B. Medina
1 ⚽
D
B. Medina
1 ⚽
D
44
João Silva
D
João Silva
D
2
Bebeto
D
Bebeto
D
79
Hugo Félix
61'
M
Hugo Félix
61'
M
10
Joe Hodge
76'
M
Joe Hodge
76'
M
32
M
26
Arjen Van Der Heide
61'
F
Arjen Van Der Heide
61'
F
16
Rony Lopes
F
Rony Lopes
F
70
F
Bench
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
21'
F
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
21'
F
8
Hélder Tavares
M
Hélder Tavares
M
30
L. Canizares
G
90
Makan Aïko
36'
F
Makan Aïko
36'
F
15
S. Sithole
36'
M
S. Sithole
36'
M
48
Tiago Manso
59'
D
Tiago Manso
59'
D
1
G
5
José Gomes
D
José Gomes
D
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
16
Alan Núñez
D
Alan Núñez
D
6
Matheus Dias
M
Matheus Dias
M
22
Filipe Soares
M
Filipe Soares
M
11
Paulinho Bóia
M
Paulinho Bóia
M
27
Gabriel Veron
14'
M
Gabriel Veron
14'
M
10
Daniel Júnior
1 👟
78'
M
Daniel Júnior
1 👟
78'
M
9
C. Ramírez
1 ⚽
F
C. Ramírez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
26
Joel Silva
6'
M
Joel Silva
6'
M
7
Witiness Quembo
F
Witiness Quembo
F
Best on the pitch
Filipe Soares
M · Nacional
7.60
1 shots
· 34 pass
C. Ramírez
F · Nacional
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
F · Tondela
7.50
· 24 pass
Tiago Manso
D · Tondela
7.30
2 shots
· 33 pass
Zé Vitor
D · Nacional
7.30
1 shots
· 25 pass
Rony Lopes
F · Tondela
7.30
4 shots
· 37 pass
Tondela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Medina | D | 97 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| João Silva | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Bebeto | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Hugo Félix | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Joe Hodge | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Rony Lopes | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Makan Aïko | F | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Sithole | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | D | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 5 | 1 | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| José Gomes | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alan Núñez | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Paulinho Bóia | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Veron | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ramírez | F | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joel Silva | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tondela vs Nacional?
The final score was Tondela 0–2 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Tondela vs Nacional?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Tondela win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Nacional win.