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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 18, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#13 · 29 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Austin
#13 · 31 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Toronto FC, result Draw
D. Salloi 52'
R. Laryea 68'
K. Franklin 88'
29' J. Bell
78' F. Torres
82' C. Ramirez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Austin 23%). The final result was Toronto FC 3–3 Austin.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
6
3.11
Actual xG
1.48
3
Saves
8
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
5
19
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
N. Dubersarsky
29'
J. Bell⚽
R. Edwards
43'
45'+2
Guilherme Biro
⚽D. Salloi
52'
J. Cifuentes
53'
58'
R. Taylor / J. Nelson ↕
↕ D. Etienne / M. Henry
62'
↕ R. Edwards / L. Stefanovic
62'
⚽R. Laryea
68'
71'
C. Ramirez / M. Desler ↕
71'
B. Sabovic / N. Dubersarsky ↕
78'
F. Torres⚽
L. Stefanovic
79'
82'
C. Ramirez⚽
⚽K. Franklin
88'
A. Coello
89'
90'+4
I. Sanchez / J. Rosales ↕
90'+4
C. Fodrey / M. Uzuni ↕
↕ J. Cifuentes / E. Aristizabal
90'+4
E. Aristizabal
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
51.51%
Toronto
24.65%
X ←
23.84%
Austin
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
2.74
3.11
+0.37
Austin
0.95
1.48
+0.53
Toronto FC dominated by xG (3.11 vs 1.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-3-3
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 6.50
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards 62' D 6.70
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 5.90
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello D 7.20
22 Richie Laryea Richie Laryea 1 ⚽ D 7.60
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio M 6.90
8
J. Cifuentes 89' M 7.50
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 1 ⚽ M 7.00
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 ⚽ F 8.50
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 62' F 7.20
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent F 7.50
Bench
29 Deandre Kerr Deandre Kerr F
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 1' F
76 L. Stefanovic L. Stefanovic 28' D 6.30
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry 28' M 6.50
71 Markus Cimermancic Markus Cimermancic M
Austin Austin 4-4-2
1
G 8.90
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro D 5.60
15 J. Bell J. Bell 1 ⚽ D 6.90
5
D 6.90
3 M. Desler M. Desler 71' D 6.60
7 J. Nelson J. Nelson 57' M 6.20
30 J. Rosales J. Rosales 89' M 6.50
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky Nicolas Dubersarsky 71' M 6.20
17 J. Gallagher J. Gallagher M 6.00
10 M. Uzuni M. Uzuni 89' F 6.30
11 F. Torres F. Torres 1 ⚽ F 8.00
Bench
14 B. Šabović B. Šabović 19' M 6.90
19 C. Fodrey C. Fodrey 1' M
21 C. Ramirez C. Ramirez 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.00
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez 8' M 6.70
35 M. Đorđević M. Đorđević D
Best on the pitch
G · Austin
8.90
· 42 pass
D. Sallói
D. Sallói
F · Toronto
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
F. Torres
F. Torres
F · Austin
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 49 pass
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea
D · Toronto
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
J. Cifuentes
M · Toronto
7.50
1 shots · 33 pass
J. Sargent
J. Sargent
F · Toronto
7.50
4 shots · 27 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 6.50 — — — 30 22% — — —
R. Edwards D 62 6.70 — — — 24 17% 4 1 —
Z. Monlouis D 90 5.90 — — 1 39 34% 1 — —
Alonso Coello D 90 7.20 — — — 65 52% 1 1 —
Richie Laryea D 90 7.60 1 — 1 40 31% 4 — —
J. Osorio M 90 6.90 — — — 44 40% 3 — —
J. Cifuentes M 89 7.50 — — 1 33 24% 2 1 —
K. Franklin M 90 7.00 1 — 2 34 32% 1 — —
D. Sallói F 90 8.50 1 — 2 27 21% — — —
D. Etienne F 62 7.20 — — 3 8 6% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 7.50 — — 4 27 19% — — —
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 1 — — — — 1 1% — 1 —
L. Stefanovic D 28 6.30 — — 1 10 9% 2 1 —
Malik Henry M 28 6.50 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.90 — — — 42 29% — — —
Guilherme Biro D 90 5.60 — — — 36 28% — 1 —
J. Bell D 90 6.90 1 — 1 49 40% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 58 49% 1 — —
M. Desler D 71 6.60 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
J. Nelson M 57 6.20 — — 1 19 13% — — —
J. Rosales M 89 6.50 — — — 53 46% 1 — —
Nicolas Dubersarsky M 71 6.20 — — — 33 26% 1 1 —
J. Gallagher M 90 6.00 — — 1 29 21% 3 — —
M. Uzuni F 89 6.30 — — 2 17 13% — — —
F. Torres F 90 8.00 1 — 3 49 43% 1 — —
B. Šabović M 19 6.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
C. Fodrey M 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
C. Ramirez F 19 7.00 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
Ilie Sánchez M 8 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Austin?
The final score was Toronto FC 3–3 Austin.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Austin?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Toronto FC win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Austin win.